Football · Venezuela Segunda Division · 07/11, 23:00

Prediction: Barquisimeto vs Deportivo Miranda FC

Team pages: Barquisimeto · Deportivo Miranda FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.86Total

Barquisimeto1.67

Deportivo Miranda FC1.19

1X2

47% 27% 26%

Barquisimeto Draw Deportivo Miranda FC

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Barquisimeto 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WDWWWLLLWW

Deportivo Miranda FC 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

WDLLWLWLDL

Head-to-head

Barquisimeto 1–0 Deportivo Miranda FC (1 last)

Deportivo Miranda FC0-2Barquisimeto

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Barquisimeto 1526 · Deportivo Miranda FC 1469

	Barquisimeto	Draw	Deportivo Miranda FC
Our model	47%	26%	26%
Market	47%	28%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 2.86 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Barquisimeto (rating 1526 vs 1469).
Cards-heavy: 10.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Barquisimeto	Deportivo Miranda FC
Goals for / against (FT)	2.3 / 1.1	1.6 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	1.3 / 0.5	0.8 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/40/10%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 3.1	1.9 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.3 / 0.3	4.9 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

11.91

X3.25

23.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)2.00

2 (+0.5)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.52.00

Under 2.51.80

Diff.: 0.7 · xG: 3.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 21:50

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.91 → 1.91	Bet365 1.91
X	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25
2	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
21:35 +15’	1.91	3.25	3.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Barquisimeto 1–0–0 Deportivo Miranda FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/11/26 Venezuela Segunda Division	Deportivo Miranda FC	0-2 HT 0-0	Barquisimeto

Standings · Venezuela Segunda Division · Segunda Division 2026, Central-West

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CD Lara	32	21	7	4	56	24	70
2	Barquisimeto	32	16	8	8	58	36	56
3	Yaracuyanos	32	16	7	9	50	31	55
4	Urena SC	32	12	12	8	46	43	48
5	Zamora II	32	13	7	12	55	49	46
6	Atletico El Vigia	32	12	8	12	43	52	44
7	Academia Puerto Cabello II	32	9	7	16	39	52	34
8	Atletico Barinas	32	9	5	18	50	63	32
9	Real Frontera	32	4	3	25	27	74	15

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Barquisimeto

WDWWWLLLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	Deportivo Miranda FC Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	2-0	3	2	W
25/10	Real Frontera Venezuela Segunda Division	3-0	4-0	2	5	W
19/10	CD Lara Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	0-1	3	8	L
10/10	Yaracuyanos Venezuela Segunda Division	0-3	2-3	2	7	L
03/10	Atletico El Vigia Venezuela Segunda Division	1-1	2-4	1	7	L
30/09	Atletico Barinas Venezuela Segunda Division	2-1	2-1	2	6	W
27/09	Urena SC Venezuela Segunda Division	2-0	3-0	3	5	W
16/09	Zamora II Venezuela Segunda Division	1-0	2-0	3	4	W
12/09	Academia Puerto Cabello II Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	1-1	6	8	D
05/09	Real Frontera Venezuela Segunda Division	4-0	5-1	6	4	W

Deportivo Miranda FC

WDLLWLWLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	Barquisimeto Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	0-2	7	2	L
25/10	Bolivar SC Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	0-0	1	4	D
18/10	Monagas II Venezuela Segunda Division	0-1	0-1	3	8	L
11/10	Dynamo Puerto FC Venezuela Segunda Division	1-1	4-2	4	8	W
04/10	Mineros Venezuela Segunda Division	2-2	2-3	4	5	L
20/09	Atletico Avila Venezuela Segunda Division	1-0	4-0	6	4	W
13/09	Aragua Venezuela Segunda Division	0-1	1-2	6	4	L
06/09	Bolivar SC Venezuela Segunda Division	0-1	1-2	8	7	L
30/08	Monagas II Venezuela Segunda Division	1-1	1-1	6	5	D
23/08	Dynamo Puerto FC Venezuela Segunda Division	3-0	3-1	0	7	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Barquisimeto vs Deportivo Miranda FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Barquisimeto win (47%). Probabilities: Barquisimeto 47%, draw 27%, Deportivo Miranda FC 26%.

How many goals are expected in Barquisimeto vs Deportivo Miranda FC?

The model expects 2.86 goals (Barquisimeto 1.67 · Deportivo Miranda FC 1.19), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Barquisimeto vs Deportivo Miranda FC?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.