Football · Egypt Division 2 · 30/10, 13:30

Prediction: Proxy SC vs Ismaily SC

Team pages: Proxy SC · Ismaily SC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.2Total

Proxy SC1.18

Ismaily SC1.02

1X2

39% 31% 31%

Proxy SC Draw Ismaily SC

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Proxy SC 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LLWLLLLDWD

Ismaily SC 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

LLDDLWDWDL

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Proxy SC 1467 · Ismaily SC 1460

	Proxy SC	Draw	Ismaily SC
Our model	38%	32%	30%
Market	39%	30%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 2.2 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Proxy SC	Ismaily SC
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 1.5	1.1 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.6	0.4 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	13/50/38%	14/57/29%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 5	2.3 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.1 / 0.1	3.1 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.30

X3.00

22.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.02

2 (+0.25)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 21.75

Under 22.05

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 2.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:07

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.30 → 2.30	Bet365 2.30
X	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
2	2.90 → 2.90	Bet365 2.90

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
02:00 +7’	2.30	3.00	2.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · Egypt Division 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Masar	10	7	1	2	21	10	22
2	Haras El Hedoud	10	5	5	0	13	5	20
3	WE SC	10	6	1	3	14	7	19
4	Pharco FC	10	6	1	3	14	10	19
5	Kahraba Ismailia	10	5	3	2	17	9	18
6	Maleyat Kafr El Zayat	10	5	3	2	10	5	18
7	Al Nasr Cairo	10	4	5	1	15	9	17
8	Tersana SC	10	4	5	1	12	7	17
9	El Seka El Hadid	10	4	3	3	17	15	15
10	El Mansoura	10	5	2	3	13	11	14
11	Baladiyet El Mahallah	10	3	3	4	9	9	12
12	Team FC Cairo	10	3	2	5	10	15	11
13	El Entag El Harby	10	2	4	4	17	16	10
14	Ismaily SC	10	2	4	4	11	15	10
15	Tanta	10	2	4	4	7	11	10
16	El Daklyeh	10	2	4	4	9	15	10
17	Proxy SC	10	2	2	6	8	15	8
18	La Viena FC	10	1	4	5	5	11	7
19	Dayrout	10	1	3	6	4	20	6
20	Delta United	10	0	3	7	7	18	3

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Proxy SC	Ismaily SC
Haras El Hedoud	2-2 D	0-2 L
El Entag El Harby	3-2 W	1-1 D
Al Nasr Cairo	1-1 D	1-1 D
WE SC	0-3 L	1-2 L
FC Masar	0-1 L	1-3 L
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 2 L	0 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Proxy SC (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Proxy SC

LLWLLLLDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/10	Haras El Hedoud Egypt Division 2	–	2-2	–	–	D
16/10	El Entag El Harby Egypt Division 2	0-0	3-2	9	4	W
08/10	Al Nasr Cairo Egypt Division 2	1-1	1-1	1	4	D
02/10	WE SC Egypt Division 2	0-1	0-3	3	8	L
24/09	FC Masar Egypt Division 2	0-1	0-1	4	0	L
18/09	Maleyat Kafr El Zayat Egypt Division 2	0-0	0-1	9	4	L
11/09	Team FC Cairo Egypt Division 2	0-0	0-1	7	1	L
04/09	Tersana SC Egypt Division 2	1-0	2-0	3	3	W
27/08	Kahraba Ismailia Egypt Division 2	0-2	0-3	4	2	L
21/08	Pharco FC Egypt Division 2	–	0-1	–	–	L

Ismaily SC

LLDDLWDWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/10	La Viena FC Egypt Division 2	0-0	0-1	5	5	L
16/10	El Seka El Hadid Egypt Division 2	0-0	0-0	2	2	D
09/10	Tanta Egypt Division 2	–	2-1	–	–	W
02/10	Dayrout Egypt Division 2	1-1	2-2	1	7	D
25/09	Delta United Egypt Division 2	1-1	3-2	5	6	W
17/09	Haras El Hedoud Egypt Division 2	0-1	0-2	2	3	L
11/09	El Entag El Harby Egypt Division 2	1-0	1-1	3	0	D
04/09	Al Nasr Cairo Egypt Division 2	–	1-1	–	–	D
28/08	WE SC Egypt Division 2	0-2	1-2	8	1	L
21/08	FC Masar Egypt Division 2	–	1-3	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Proxy SC vs Ismaily SC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Proxy SC win (39%). Probabilities: Proxy SC 39%, draw 31%, Ismaily SC 31%.

How many goals are expected in Proxy SC vs Ismaily SC?

The model expects 2.2 goals (Proxy SC 1.18 · Ismaily SC 1.02), with a 53% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Proxy SC vs Ismaily SC?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.