Football · Egypt Division 2 · 30/10, 13:30

Prediction: Baladiyet El Mahallah vs Al Nasr Cairo

Team pages: Baladiyet El Mahallah · Al Nasr Cairo

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.04Total

Baladiyet El Mahallah1.08

Al Nasr Cairo0.96

1X2

37% 32% 31%

Baladiyet El Mahallah Draw Al Nasr Cairo

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 67% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Baladiyet El Mahallah 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

LDWLLDWLWD

Al Nasr Cairo 4-5-1 (W-D-L)

DDDWLWWDWD

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Baladiyet El Mahallah 1488 · Al Nasr Cairo 1567

	Baladiyet El Mahallah	Draw	Al Nasr Cairo
Our model	37%	33%	30%
Market	38%	31%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 2.04 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Al Nasr Cairo (rating 1488 vs 1567).
Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Baladiyet El Mahallah	Al Nasr Cairo
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 0.9	1.5 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.1 / 0.4	0.5 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	13/50/38%	25/50/25%
Corners (HT / FT)	1 / 3.4	2.9 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0.3	4.1 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.38

X2.90

22.88

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.08

2 (+0.25)1.73

Line ⓘ

Over 21.93

Under 21.88

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:08

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.38 → 2.38	Bet365 2.38
X	2.90 → 2.90	Bet365 2.90
2	2.88 → 2.88	Bet365 2.88

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
00:51 +18’	2.38	2.90	2.88

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · Egypt Division 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Masar	10	7	1	2	21	10	22
2	Haras El Hedoud	10	5	5	0	13	5	20
3	WE SC	10	6	1	3	14	7	19
4	Pharco FC	10	6	1	3	14	10	19
5	Kahraba Ismailia	10	5	3	2	17	9	18
6	Maleyat Kafr El Zayat	10	5	3	2	10	5	18
7	Al Nasr Cairo	10	4	5	1	15	9	17
8	Tersana SC	10	4	5	1	12	7	17
9	El Seka El Hadid	10	4	3	3	17	15	15
10	El Mansoura	10	5	2	3	13	11	14
11	Baladiyet El Mahallah	10	3	3	4	9	9	12
12	Team FC Cairo	10	3	2	5	10	15	11
13	El Entag El Harby	10	2	4	4	17	16	10
14	Ismaily SC	10	2	4	4	11	15	10
15	Tanta	10	2	4	4	7	11	10
16	El Daklyeh	10	2	4	4	9	15	10
17	Proxy SC	10	2	2	6	8	15	8
18	La Viena FC	10	1	4	5	5	11	7
19	Dayrout	10	1	3	6	4	20	6
20	Delta United	10	0	3	7	7	18	3

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Baladiyet El Mahallah	Al Nasr Cairo
El Daklyeh	0-0 D	2-2 D
El Mansoura	1-2 L	2-1 W
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 1 L	1 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Al Nasr Cairo (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Baladiyet El Mahallah

LDWLLDWLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/10	WE SC Egypt Division 2	0-0	0-0	0	2	D
16/10	FC Masar Egypt Division 2	1-0	2-1	3	3	W
09/10	Maleyat Kafr El Zayat Egypt Division 2	0-1	0-1	2	4	L
02/10	Team FC Cairo Egypt Division 2	0-0	3-1	2	4	W
25/09	Tersana SC Egypt Division 2	0-0	1-1	1	6	D
18/09	Kahraba Ismailia Egypt Division 2	0-1	0-1	8	7	L
10/09	Pharco FC Egypt Division 2	0-1	1-2	4	6	L
04/09	Delta United Egypt Division 2	0-0	1-0	7	4	W
28/08	El Daklyeh Egypt Division 2	–	0-0	–	–	D
20/08	El Mansoura Egypt Division 2	–	1-2	–	–	L

Al Nasr Cairo

DDDWLWWDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/10	El Daklyeh Egypt Division 2	1-0	2-2	2	4	D
15/10	El Mansoura Egypt Division 2	0-1	2-1	6	2	W
08/10	Proxy SC Egypt Division 2	1-1	1-1	3	4	D
01/10	La Viena FC Egypt Division 2	0-0	3-1	5	4	W
24/09	El Seka El Hadid Egypt Division 2	2-1	3-1	6	3	W
17/09	Tanta Egypt Division 2	0-1	0-1	4	8	L
10/09	Dayrout Egypt Division 2	0-0	2-0	12	3	W
04/09	Ismaily SC Egypt Division 2	–	1-1	–	–	D
28/08	Haras El Hedoud Egypt Division 2	0-0	0-0	5	5	D
20/08	El Entag El Harby Egypt Division 2	–	1-1	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Baladiyet El Mahallah vs Al Nasr Cairo?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Baladiyet El Mahallah win (37%). Probabilities: Baladiyet El Mahallah 37%, draw 32%, Al Nasr Cairo 31%.

How many goals are expected in Baladiyet El Mahallah vs Al Nasr Cairo?

The model expects 2.04 goals (Baladiyet El Mahallah 1.08 · Al Nasr Cairo 0.96), with a 52% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Baladiyet El Mahallah vs Al Nasr Cairo?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.