Football · Egypt Division 2 · 29/10, 13:30

Prediction: El Mansoura vs Haras El Hedoud

Team pages: El Mansoura · Haras El Hedoud

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.22Total

El Mansoura1.04

Haras El Hedoud1.18

1X2

31% 31% 38%

El Mansoura Draw Haras El Hedoud

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

El Mansoura 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

DWWDDLWWLW

Haras El Hedoud 5-5-0 (W-D-L)

WDWWWDWDDD

Head-to-head

El Mansoura 0–5 Haras El Hedoud (5 last)

El Mansoura0-2Haras El Hedoud
Haras El Hedoud4-0El Mansoura
Haras El Hedoud1-0El Mansoura
El Mansoura0-1Haras El Hedoud
Haras El Hedoud3-0El Mansoura

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · El Mansoura 1540 · Haras El Hedoud 1534

	El Mansoura	Draw	Haras El Hedoud
Our model	31%	32%	38%
Market	31%	31%	38%

Estimated total (ours) 2.22 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Haras El Hedoud: 5-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	El Mansoura	Haras El Hedoud
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1	1.3 / 0.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.4	0.4 / 0.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	25/50/25%	25/75/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 4.8	2.3 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0	4.4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.90

X2.88

22.35

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.75

2 (-0.25)2.05

Line ⓘ

Over 22.00

Under 21.80

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:06

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.90 → 2.90	Bet365 2.90
X	2.88 → 2.88	Bet365 2.88
2	2.35 → 2.35	Pinn 2.82 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8% Pinnacle margin 9.1%

Time*	1	X	2
01:01 +5’	2.90	2.88	2.35

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
00:56 +10’	2.89	2.56	2.82

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · El Mansoura 0–0–5 Haras El Hedoud

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/03/22 Egypt Division 2	El Mansoura	0-2 HT 0-2	Haras El Hedoud
11/11/21 Egypt Division 2	Haras El Hedoud	4-0 HT 2-0	El Mansoura
10/06/21 Egypt Division 2	Haras El Hedoud	1-0 HT 0-0	El Mansoura
24/02/21 Egypt Division 2	El Mansoura	0-1 HT 0-0	Haras El Hedoud
22/03/16 Egypt Cup	Haras El Hedoud	3-0	El Mansoura

Standings · Egypt Division 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Masar	10	7	1	2	21	10	22
2	Haras El Hedoud	10	5	5	0	13	5	20
3	WE SC	10	6	1	3	14	7	19
4	Pharco FC	10	6	1	3	14	10	19
5	Kahraba Ismailia	10	5	3	2	17	9	18
6	Maleyat Kafr El Zayat	10	5	3	2	10	5	18
7	Al Nasr Cairo	10	4	5	1	15	9	17
8	Tersana SC	10	4	5	1	12	7	17
9	El Seka El Hadid	10	4	3	3	17	15	15
10	El Mansoura	10	5	2	3	13	11	14
11	Baladiyet El Mahallah	10	3	3	4	9	9	12
12	Team FC Cairo	10	3	2	5	10	15	11
13	El Entag El Harby	10	2	4	4	17	16	10
14	Ismaily SC	10	2	4	4	11	15	10
15	Tanta	10	2	4	4	7	11	10
16	El Daklyeh	10	2	4	4	9	15	10
17	Proxy SC	10	2	2	6	8	15	8
18	La Viena FC	10	1	4	5	5	11	7
19	Dayrout	10	1	3	6	4	20	6
20	Delta United	10	0	3	7	7	18	3

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	El Mansoura	Haras El Hedoud
El Entag El Harby	3-2 W	2-1 W
Al Nasr Cairo	1-2 L	0-0 D
WE SC	1-0 W	2-0 W
Tanta	1-1 D	2-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 1 L	3 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Haras El Hedoud (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

El Mansoura

DWWDDLWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/10	El Entag El Harby Egypt Division 2	1-1	3-2	1	3	W
15/10	Al Nasr Cairo Egypt Division 2	1-0	1-2	8	2	L
09/10	WE SC Egypt Division 2	0-0	1-0	8	0	W
01/10	FC Masar Egypt Division 2	0-0	2-0	5	5	W
24/09	Maleyat Kafr El Zayat Egypt Division 2	0-1	0-2	2	6	L
17/09	Team FC Cairo Egypt Division 2	1-0	1-1	2	3	D
11/09	Tersana SC Egypt Division 2	0-1	1-1	6	3	D
03/09	Kahraba Ismailia Egypt Division 2	0-0	2-0	6	2	W
20/08	Baladiyet El Mahallah Egypt Division 2	–	2-1	–	–	W
14/05	Tanta Egypt Division 2	–	1-1	–	–	D

Haras El Hedoud

WDWWWDWDDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/10	Proxy SC Egypt Division 2	–	2-2	–	–	D
15/10	La Viena FC Egypt Division 2	0-0	0-0	5	4	D
08/10	El Seka El Hadid Egypt Division 2	1-0	1-1	5	7	D
02/10	Tanta Egypt Division 2	0-0	2-0	8	4	W
25/09	Dayrout Egypt Division 2	0-0	0-0	11	7	D
17/09	Ismaily SC Egypt Division 2	1-0	2-0	3	3	W
10/09	Delta United Egypt Division 2	0-0	2-1	3	2	W
03/09	El Entag El Harby Egypt Division 2	1-1	2-1	2	4	W
28/08	Al Nasr Cairo Egypt Division 2	0-0	0-0	2	5	D
20/08	WE SC Egypt Division 2	–	2-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in El Mansoura vs Haras El Hedoud?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Haras El Hedoud win (38%). Probabilities: El Mansoura 31%, draw 31%, Haras El Hedoud 38%.

How many goals are expected in El Mansoura vs Haras El Hedoud?

The model expects 2.22 goals (El Mansoura 1.04 · Haras El Hedoud 1.18), with a 50% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in El Mansoura vs Haras El Hedoud?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.