Football · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · 31/10, 19:00
Prediction: Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn vs Deportivo Espanol
Team pages: Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn · Deportivo Espanol
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.59Total
Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn0.85
Deportivo Espanol0.75
1X2
Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn
Draw
Deportivo Espanol
Markets
Under 1.5 goals 51%
Not both to score 56%
Most likely score
0-0 22%
Recent form · 10 last
Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn
3-5-2 (W-D-L)
Deportivo Espanol
6-4-0 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn
0–1–1
Deportivo Espanol
(2 last)
- Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn1-1Deportivo Espanol
- Deportivo Espanol1-0Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn 1512 · Deportivo Espanol 1571
| Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn | Draw | Deportivo Espanol | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 38% | 28% |
| Market | 36% | 33% | 31% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.59 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 76%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Deportivo Espanol (rating 1512 vs 1571).
- Cards-heavy: 9.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn | Deportivo Espanol | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1 | 0.9 / 0.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.2 | 0.5 / 0.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/60/10% | 40/60/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.7 | 1.9 / 3.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.6 / 1.2 | 4.1 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn 0–1–1 Deportivo Espanol
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10/25 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Deportivo Espanol |
| 30/09/25 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Deportivo Espanol | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn |
Standings · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · Primera C 2026, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lujan | 32 | 19 | 7 | 6 | 46 | 22 | 64 |
| 2 | Canuelas FC | 32 | 17 | 10 | 5 | 43 | 22 | 61 |
| 3 | Deportivo Espanol | 32 | 12 | 16 | 4 | 26 | 16 | 52 |
| 4 | Leones de Rosario | 32 | 13 | 12 | 7 | 31 | 25 | 51 |
| 5 | Central Cordoba de Rosario | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 32 | 23 | 49 |
| 6 | General Lamadrid | 32 | 9 | 14 | 9 | 23 | 27 | 41 |
| 7 | Sportivo Barracas | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 32 | 32 | 40 |
| 8 | El Porvenir | 32 | 8 | 16 | 8 | 28 | 32 | 40 |
| 9 | Central Ballester | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 29 | 34 | 38 |
| 10 | CA Atlas | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 24 | 29 | 37 |
| 11 | CA Claypole | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 27 | 40 | 36 |
| 12 | Yupanqui | 32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 33 | 36 | 35 |
| 13 | Fenix | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 24 | 32 | 34 |
| 14 | Deportivo Muniz | 32 | 6 | 11 | 15 | 23 | 38 | 29 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | General Lamadrid Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 11 | W |
| 17/10 | General Lamadrid Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 8 | D |
| 12/10 | Juventud Unida San Miguel Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
2-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 7 | W |
| 04/10 | Sacachispas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 10 | D |
| 26/09 | Argentino de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 20/09 | CA Lugano Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 12/09 | Yupanqui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 06/09 | Berazategui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 30/08 | Victoriano Arenas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 24/08 | Centro Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
Deportivo Espanol
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Victoriano Arenas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 8 | D |
| 17/10 | Victoriano Arenas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 12/10 | Central Cordoba de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 06/10 | CA Claypole Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 26/09 | Central Ballester Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 21/09 | El Porvenir Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 11/09 | Club Mercedes Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 06/09 | Fenix Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 31/08 | Sportivo Barracas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 24/08 | Lujan Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn vs Deportivo Espanol?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn win (35%). Probabilities: Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn 35%, draw 35%, Deportivo Espanol 30%.
How many goals are expected in Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn vs Deportivo Espanol?
The model expects 1.59 goals (Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn 0.85 · Deportivo Espanol 0.75), with a 55% chance of under 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn vs Deportivo Espanol?
The model gives a 56% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.