Football · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · 02/11, 19:00
Prediction: Sportivo Barracas vs Leones de Rosario
Team pages: Sportivo Barracas · Leones de Rosario
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.66Total
Sportivo Barracas0.8
Leones de Rosario0.86
1X2
Sportivo Barracas
Draw
Leones de Rosario
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 51%
Not both to score 55%
Most likely score
0-0 20%
Recent form · 10 last
Sportivo Barracas
1-5-4 (W-D-L)
Leones de Rosario
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Sportivo Barracas
0–2
Leones de Rosario
(2 last)
- Sportivo Barracas0-2Leones de Rosario
- Leones de Rosario2-0Sportivo Barracas
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sportivo Barracas 1451 · Leones de Rosario 1541
| Sportivo Barracas | Draw | Leones de Rosario | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 30% | 37% | 33% |
| Market | 32% | 33% | 35% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.66 goals · Bet365 line 1.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 74%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Leones de Rosario (rating 1451 vs 1541).
- H2H favours Leones de Rosario: 2-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 9.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sportivo Barracas | Leones de Rosario | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.4 / 0.8 | 1.1 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.4 | 0.5 / 0.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 40/60/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 4.1 | 1.8 / 3.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0.4 | 5.4 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sportivo Barracas 0–0–2 Leones de Rosario
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/10/26 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Sportivo Barracas | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Leones de Rosario |
| 06/06/26 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Leones de Rosario | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Sportivo Barracas |
Standings · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · Primera C 2026, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lujan | 32 | 19 | 7 | 6 | 46 | 22 | 64 |
| 2 | Canuelas FC | 32 | 17 | 10 | 5 | 43 | 22 | 61 |
| 3 | Deportivo Espanol | 32 | 12 | 16 | 4 | 26 | 16 | 52 |
| 4 | Leones de Rosario | 32 | 13 | 12 | 7 | 31 | 25 | 51 |
| 5 | Central Cordoba de Rosario | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 32 | 23 | 49 |
| 6 | General Lamadrid | 32 | 9 | 14 | 9 | 23 | 27 | 41 |
| 7 | Sportivo Barracas | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 32 | 32 | 40 |
| 8 | El Porvenir | 32 | 8 | 16 | 8 | 28 | 32 | 40 |
| 9 | Central Ballester | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 29 | 34 | 38 |
| 10 | CA Atlas | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 24 | 29 | 37 |
| 11 | CA Claypole | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 27 | 40 | 36 |
| 12 | Yupanqui | 32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 33 | 36 | 35 |
| 13 | Fenix | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 24 | 32 | 34 |
| 14 | Deportivo Muniz | 32 | 6 | 11 | 15 | 23 | 38 | 29 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sportivo Barracas | Leones de Rosario |
|---|---|---|
| General Lamadrid | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| CA Atlas | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Deportivo Muniz | 2-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 0 L | 2 W 1 D 0 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sportivo Barracas
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10 | Sacachispas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 19/10 | Sacachispas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 12/10 | General Lamadrid Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | D |
| 05/10 | Leones de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 27/09 | CA Atlas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 21/09 | Canuelas FC Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 13/09 | Defensores de Cambaceres Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 07/09 | Deportivo Muniz Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 31/08 | Deportivo Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 26/08 | Central Ballester Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | D |
Leones de Rosario
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10 | Club Mercedes Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 10 | W |
| 17/10 | Club Mercedes Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 11 | L |
| 12/10 | Fenix Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 05/10 | Sportivo Barracas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 28/09 | Lujan Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 20/09 | General Lamadrid Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 7 | D |
| 12/09 | CA Lugano Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 04/09 | Yupanqui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 31/08 | CA Atlas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 25/08 | Deportivo Muniz Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sportivo Barracas vs Leones de Rosario?
According to our model, the most likely result is a draw (35%). Probabilities: Sportivo Barracas 31%, draw 35%, Leones de Rosario 34%.
How many goals are expected in Sportivo Barracas vs Leones de Rosario?
The model expects 1.66 goals (Sportivo Barracas 0.8 · Leones de Rosario 0.86), with a 53% chance of under 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Sportivo Barracas vs Leones de Rosario?
The model gives a 55% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.