Prediction: Dunston UTS vs Grimsby Borough
Team pages: Dunston UTS · Grimsby Borough
See it on the live radar ↗- Grimsby Borough0-1Dunston UTS
- Dunston UTS2-1Grimsby Borough
- Grimsby Borough1-1Dunston UTS
- Dunston UTS2-1Grimsby Borough
| Dunston UTS | Draw | Grimsby Borough | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 74% | 19% | 8% |
| Market | 75% | 16% | 9% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dunston UTS (rating 1571 vs 1422).
- H2H favours Dunston UTS: 3-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Dunston UTS | Grimsby Borough | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 0.6 | 1.3 / 2.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.2 | 0.9 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 56/33/11% | 40/10/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 5.7 | 2.2 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0.2 | 2.5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Dunston UTS 3–1–0 Grimsby Borough
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08/26 England FA Trophy | Grimsby Borough | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Dunston UTS |
| 28/10/25 England Northern League Division One | Dunston UTS | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Grimsby Borough |
| 15/03/25 England Northern League Division One | Grimsby Borough | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Dunston UTS |
| 18/04/23 England Northern League Division One | Dunston UTS | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Grimsby Borough |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Dunston UTS | Grimsby Borough |
|---|---|---|
| Hallam | 1-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Heaton Stannington | 1-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Ashington | 1-1 D | 3-0 W |
| Consett | 1-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Pontefract Collieries | 1-2 L | 1-3 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 1 L | 2 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Dunston UTS (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dunston UTS
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Beverley Town England Northern League Division One |
3-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 17/10 | Silsden England Northern League Division One |
1-0 | 3-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 03/10 | Hallam England Northern League Division One |
1-0 | 1-0 | 11 | 4 | W |
| 29/09 | Guisborough Town England Northern League Division One |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 15/09 | Heaton Stannington England Northern League Division One |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 31/08 | West Auckland England Northern League Division One |
2-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 25/08 | Ashington England Northern League Division One |
0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 7 | D |
| 18/08 | Consett England Northern League Division One |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 28/04 | Emley AFC England Northern League Division One |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 25/04 | Pontefract Collieries England Northern League Division One |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
Grimsby Borough
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Blyth Spartans England Northern League Division One |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 10/10 | Pontefract Collieries England Northern League Division One |
0-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 03/10 | Ashington England Northern League Division One |
3-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 30/09 | Hallam England Northern League Division One |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 26/09 | Heaton Stannington England Northern League Division One |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 19/09 | Consett England Northern League Division One |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 16/09 | Stocksbridge PS England Northern League Division One |
0-1 | 0-1 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 11/09 | Bradford P A England Northern League Division One |
0-3 | 1-7 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 26/08 | Bridlington Town England Northern League Division One |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 19/08 | Garforth Town England Northern League Division One |
3-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dunston UTS vs Grimsby Borough?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Dunston UTS win (74%). Probabilities: Dunston UTS 74%, draw 17%, Grimsby Borough 8%.
How many goals are expected in Dunston UTS vs Grimsby Borough?
The model expects 2.81 goals (Dunston UTS 2.21 · Grimsby Borough 0.6), with a 55% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Dunston UTS vs Grimsby Borough?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.