Football · Thailand Division 3 · 25/10, 09:30

Prediction: Chiangrai TSC FC vs Chiangrai City FC

Team pages: Chiangrai City FC

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.09Total
Chiangrai TSC FC1.6
Chiangrai City FC1.49
1X2
39% 26% 34%
Chiangrai TSC FC Draw Chiangrai City FC
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Chiangrai TSC FC 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
LLDWLWLWDL
Chiangrai City FC 2-1-7 (W-D-L)
DLLLWLWLLL
Head-to-head
Chiangrai TSC FC 0–1–1 Chiangrai City FC (2 last)
  • Chiangrai City FC4-3Chiangrai TSC FC
  • Chiangrai TSC FC1-1Chiangrai City FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Chiangrai TSC FC 1478 · Chiangrai City FC 1423
Chiangrai TSC FCDrawChiangrai City FC
Our model39%26%35%
Market39%27%34%
Estimated total (ours) 3.09 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Chiangrai TSC FC (rating 1478 vs 1423).
  • Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Chiangrai TSC FCChiangrai City FC
Goals for / against (FT)1.1 / 1.71.2 / 2.4
Goals for / against (HT)0.1 / 0.70.6 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)0/50/50%40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)1.8 / 3.81.3 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.6 / 0.13.5 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Chiangrai TSC FC 0–1–1 Chiangrai City FC

Swipe the table sideways →

DateHomeScoreAway
28/02/26
Thailand Division 3
Chiangrai City FC4-3
HT 1-0
Chiangrai TSC FC
09/11/25
Thailand Division 3
Chiangrai TSC FC1-1
HT 0-1
Chiangrai City FC

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentChiangrai TSC FCChiangrai City FC
Phichit United 0-2 L 2-3 L
Nakhon Sawan See Khwae City 1-0 W 2-1 W
Chiangmai FC 3-2 W 0-3 L
Maejo United 0-3 L 0-1 L
Northern Nakhon Mae Sot Utd 0-1 L 1-3 L
Record vs common 2 W 0 D 3 L 1 W 0 D 4 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Chiangrai TSC FC

LLDWLWLWDL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
18/10 Phichit United
Thailand Division 3
0-0 0-2 56 L
10/10 Khelang United
Thailand Division 3
0-0 0-0 47 D
04/10 Paknampho NSRU
Thailand Division 3
0-0 2-1 52 W
27/09 Thailand National Sports University
Thailand Division 3
0-1 2-4 54 L
07/03 Nakhon Sawan See Khwae City
Thailand Division 3
0-0 1-0 44 W
28/02 Chiangrai City FC
Thailand Division 3
0-1 3-4 10 L
14/02 Chiangmai FC
Thailand Division 3
1-2 3-2 54 W
01/02 Phitsanulok FC
Thailand Division 3
0-0 0-0 21 D
24/01 Maejo United
Thailand Division 3
0-2 0-3 13 L
18/01 Northern Nakhon Mae Sot Utd
Thailand Division 3
0-1 0-1 66 L

Chiangrai City FC

DLLLWLWLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
11/10 Chattrakan City FC
Thailand Division 3
0-0 1-5 86 L
03/10 Maejo United
Thailand Division 3
0-0 0-1 17 L
26/09 Phichit United
Thailand Division 3
2-1 2-3 44 L
28/02 Chiangrai TSC FC
Thailand Division 3
1-0 4-3 50 W
14/02 Kamphaeng Phet
Thailand Division 3
0-1 0-1 103 L
11/02 Nakhon Sawan See Khwae City
Thailand Division 3
1-0 2-1 26 W
25/01 Chattrakan City FC
Thailand Division 3
0-1 1-3 33 L
10/01 Chiangmai FC
Thailand Division 3
0-1 0-3 50 L
16/11 Northern Nakhon Mae Sot Utd
Thailand Division 3
1-1 1-3 34 L
09/11 Chiangrai TSC FC
Thailand Division 3
1-0 1-1 52 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Chiangrai TSC FC vs Chiangrai City FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Chiangrai TSC FC win (39%). Probabilities: Chiangrai TSC FC 39%, draw 26%, Chiangrai City FC 34%.

How many goals are expected in Chiangrai TSC FC vs Chiangrai City FC?

The model expects 3.09 goals (Chiangrai TSC FC 1.6 · Chiangrai City FC 1.49), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Chiangrai TSC FC vs Chiangrai City FC?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.