Football · Thailand Division 3 · 01/11, 09:30

Prediction: Thonburi United FC vs Suphanburi FC

Team pages: Thonburi United FC · Suphanburi FC

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.1Total
Thonburi United FC1.75
Suphanburi FC1.35
1X2
46% 25% 29%
Thonburi United FC Draw Suphanburi FC
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Thonburi United FC 2-4-4 (W-D-L)
LWLDDWDDLL
Suphanburi FC 6-4-0 (W-D-L)
DWWWDWDWWD
Head-to-head
Thonburi United FC 1–1–0 Suphanburi FC (2 last)
  • Suphanburi FC2-2Thonburi United FC
  • Thonburi United FC2-0Suphanburi FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Thonburi United FC 1489 · Suphanburi FC 1552
Thonburi United FCDrawSuphanburi FC
Our model46%26%29%
Market46%25%29%
Estimated total (ours) 3.1 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Suphanburi FC (rating 1489 vs 1552).
  • Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Thonburi United FCSuphanburi FC
Goals for / against (FT)1.3 / 1.81.6 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.70.6 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/30/40%20/70/10%
Corners (HT / FT)2.3 / 4.71.8 / 3.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.5 / 0.24.5 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · Thonburi United FC 1–1–0 Suphanburi FC

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DateHomeScoreAway
11/01/26
Thailand Division 3
Suphanburi FC2-2
HT 1-0
Thonburi United FC
20/09/25
Thailand Division 3
Thonburi United FC2-0
HT 1-0
Suphanburi FC

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentThonburi United FCSuphanburi FC
Samut Sakhon 2-3 L 2-2 D
VRN Muangnont FC 1-1 D 3-3 D
Samut Songkhram City 1-1 D 2-1 W
Assumption United 3-2 W 1-0 W
Record vs common 1 W 2 D 1 L 2 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Suphanburi FC (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Thonburi United FC

LWLDDWDDLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
25/10 Bangkok FC
Thailand Division 3
0-1 0-1 99 L
18/10 Samut Sakhon
Thailand Division 3
1-2 2-3 410 L
11/10 VRN Muangnont FC
Thailand Division 3
0-0 1-1 84 D
04/10 Samut Songkhram City
Thailand Division 3
1-0 1-1 33 D
20/09 Assumption United
Thailand Division 3
1-0 3-2 65 W
16/05 Nara United
Thailand Division 3
0-0 1-1 31 D
10/05 Samut Sakhon
Thailand Division 3
2-2 3-3 11 D
03/05 PT Satun
Thailand Division 3
0-1 0-2 30 L
29/04 Samut Sakhon
Thailand Division 3
1-0 2-1 32 W
26/04 PT Satun
Thailand Division 3
0-1 0-3 72 L

Suphanburi FC

DWWWDWDWWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
25/10 Samut Sakhon
Thailand Division 3
0-1 2-2 76 D
17/10 Phetchaburi PBRU FC
Thailand Division 3
0-0 2-1 48 W
10/10 Samut Songkhram City
Thailand Division 3
1-1 2-1 25 W
04/10 VRN Muangnont FC
Thailand Division 3
2-2 3-3 06 D
07/03 Raj Pracha
Thailand Division 3
1-0 1-0 58 W
28/02 VRN Muangnont FC
Thailand Division 3
1-1 1-1 42 D
14/02 Assumption United
Thailand Division 3
0-0 1-0 43 W
01/02 Hua Hin City
Thailand Division 3
0-0 2-1 45 W
24/01 Samut Songkhram City
Thailand Division 3
1-0 2-1 23 W
17/01 Nonthaburi United
Thailand Division 3
0-0 0-0 32 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Thonburi United FC vs Suphanburi FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Thonburi United FC win (46%). Probabilities: Thonburi United FC 46%, draw 25%, Suphanburi FC 29%.

How many goals are expected in Thonburi United FC vs Suphanburi FC?

The model expects 3.1 goals (Thonburi United FC 1.75 · Suphanburi FC 1.35), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Thonburi United FC vs Suphanburi FC?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.