Football · Thailand Division 3 · 01/11, 09:30

Prediction: Udon United vs Ubon Krua Napat FC

Team pages: Udon United · Ubon Krua Napat FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.31Total

Udon United2.65

Ubon Krua Napat FC0.66

1X2

80% 14% 7%

Udon United Draw Ubon Krua Napat FC

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

2-0 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Udon United 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

LWWLDWDWWW

Ubon Krua Napat FC 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

WDDLWLDLDL

Head-to-head

Udon United 4–1–1 Ubon Krua Napat FC (6 last)

Udon United2-2Ubon Krua Napat FC
Udon United3-0Ubon Krua Napat FC
Udon United2-1Ubon Krua Napat FC
Ubon Krua Napat FC1-0Udon United
Ubon Krua Napat FC0-2Udon United
Ubon Krua Napat FC0-1Udon United

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Udon United 1566 · Ubon Krua Napat FC 1446

	Udon United	Draw	Ubon Krua Napat FC
Our model	79%	15%	6%
Market	80%	13%	7%

Estimated total (ours) 3.31 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Udon United (rating 1566 vs 1446).
H2H favours Udon United: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Udon United	Ubon Krua Napat FC
Goals for / against (FT)	2.4 / 0.9	1 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.3	0.2 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/60/10%	10/60/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 4.8	1.4 / 3.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0.1	4.9 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.14

X7.00

213.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2.25)1.88

2 (+2.25)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.82

Under 3.251.98

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 2.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:42

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.14 → 1.14	Bet365 1.14
X	7.00 → 7.00	Bet365 7.00
2	13.00 → 13.00	Bet365 13.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.5%

Time*	1	X	2
17:04 +38’	1.14	7.00	13.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Udon United 4–1–1 Ubon Krua Napat FC

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
07/12/25 Thailand Division 3 Cup	Udon United	2-2 HT 1-0	Ubon Krua Napat FC
16/11/25 Thailand Division 3	Udon United	3-0 HT 1-0	Ubon Krua Napat FC
08/10/25 Thailand Division 3 Cup	Udon United	2-1 HT 1-0	Ubon Krua Napat FC
09/03/25 Thailand Division 3	Ubon Krua Napat FC	1-0 HT 0-0	Udon United
06/09/24 Thailand League Cup	Ubon Krua Napat FC	0-2 HT 0-0	Udon United
26/02/23 Thailand Division 3	Ubon Krua Napat FC	0-1 HT 0-0	Udon United

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Udon United	Ubon Krua Napat FC
Khonkaen Mordindang FC	4-2 W	2-1 W
EUMT FC	7-0 W	0-2 L
Roi-Et PB United	0-0 D	1-2 L
Khonkaen	2-2 D	1-1 D
Muang Loei United	2-1 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 0 L	1 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Udon United (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Udon United

LWWLDWDWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Khonkaen Mordindang FC Thailand Division 3	1-2	4-2	6	3	W
17/10	Esan Fighter FC Thailand Division 3	2-0	2-0	2	2	W
11/10	EUMT FC Thailand Division 3	3-0	7-0	3	2	W
03/10	Roi-Et PB United Thailand Division 3	0-0	0-0	5	4	D
27/09	Pitchayabundit College Thailand Division 3	0-0	2-1	7	2	W
20/09	Khonkaen Thailand Division 3	1-1	2-2	3	5	D
16/05	Burapha United Thailand Division 3	0-0	0-1	7	5	L
09/05	Muang Loei United Thailand Division 3	0-0	2-1	5	6	W
02/05	Fleet FC Thailand Division 3	2-0	4-0	5	7	W
28/04	Muang Loei United Thailand Division 3	0-0	1-2	5	3	L

Ubon Krua Napat FC

WDDLWLDLDL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Roi-Et PB United Thailand Division 3	0-1	1-2	1	8	L
04/10	Khonkaen Thailand Division 3	0-0	1-1	1	4	D
27/09	Udon Banjan United Thailand Division 3	1-0	2-5	4	3	L
18/09	Korat City FC Thailand Division 3	0-0	0-0	4	4	D
15/02	Khonkaen Thailand Division 3	0-0	0-1	4	5	L
10/02	Korat City FC Thailand Division 3	1-1	3-2	3	4	W
31/01	EUMT FC Thailand Division 3	0-1	0-2	2	5	L
17/01	Udon Banjan United Thailand Division 3	0-0	0-0	3	5	D
11/01	Muang Loei United Thailand Division 3	0-0	1-1	6	6	D
23/11	Khonkaen Mordindang FC Thailand Division 3	0-1	2-1	3	7	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Udon United vs Ubon Krua Napat FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Udon United win (80%). Probabilities: Udon United 80%, draw 14%, Ubon Krua Napat FC 7%.

How many goals are expected in Udon United vs Ubon Krua Napat FC?

The model expects 3.31 goals (Udon United 2.65 · Ubon Krua Napat FC 0.66), with a 50% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Udon United vs Ubon Krua Napat FC?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.