Football · Thailand Division 3 · 01/11, 10:30

Prediction: Customs United vs Chachoengsao FC

Team pages: Customs United · Chachoengsao FC

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.47Total
Customs United1.27
Chachoengsao FC1.21
1X2
37% 28% 34%
Customs United Draw Chachoengsao FC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Customs United 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
LLWDLDWLWL
Chachoengsao FC 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
DDWLWLLWWD
Head-to-head
Customs United 2–2–1 Chachoengsao FC (5 last)
  • Customs United1-0Chachoengsao FC
  • Chachoengsao FC0-0Customs United
  • Customs United3-0Chachoengsao FC
  • Chachoengsao FC0-0Customs United
  • Chachoengsao FC1-0Customs United
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Customs United 1455 · Chachoengsao FC 1515
Customs UnitedDrawChachoengsao FC
Our model37%30%34%
Market38%27%35%
Estimated total (ours) 2.47 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Chachoengsao FC (rating 1455 vs 1515).
  • H2H favours Customs United: 2-2-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Customs UnitedChachoengsao FC
Goals for / against (FT)1.4 / 20.8 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 1.10.1 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/30/60%10/70/20%
Corners (HT / FT)1.2 / 4.12.2 / 3.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.8 / 0.15.2 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Customs United 2–2–1 Chachoengsao FC

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DateHomeScoreAway
01/02/26
Thailand Division 3
Customs United1-0
HT 0-0
Chachoengsao FC
12/10/25
Thailand Division 3
Chachoengsao FC0-0
HT 0-0
Customs United
22/12/24
Thailand Division 3 Cup
Customs United3-0
HT 0-0
Chachoengsao FC
10/11/24
Thailand Division 3
Chachoengsao FC0-0
HT 0-0
Customs United
31/01/20
World Club Friendlies
Chachoengsao FC1-0
HT 0-0
Customs United

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentCustoms UnitedChachoengsao FC
Royal Navy 1-2 L 1-0 W
Marines FC Sattahip 2-1 W 2-1 W
Burapha United 2-7 L 0-2 L
ACDC FC 3-2 W 1-0 W
Pluak Daeng United 3-3 D 1-1 D
Saimit Kabin United 0-1 L 1-1 D
Record vs common 2 W 1 D 3 L 3 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Chachoengsao FC (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Customs United

LLWDLDWLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
24/10 Royal Navy
Thailand Division 3
0-1 1-2 24 L
17/10 Marines FC Sattahip
Thailand Division 3
1-1 2-1 57 W
10/10 Burapha United
Thailand Division 3
0-3 2-7 34 L
15/03 ACDC FC
Thailand Division 3
0-1 3-2 52 W
28/02 Pluak Daeng United
Thailand Division 3
2-1 3-3 45 D
21/02 Saimit Kabin United
Thailand Division 3
0-1 0-1 13 L
15/02 Marines FC Sattahip
Thailand Division 3
1-1 1-1 53 D
01/02 Chachoengsao FC
Thailand Division 3
0-0 1-0 105 W
24/01 Bankhai United
Thailand Division 3
0-1 1-2 51 L
17/01 Fleet FC
Thailand Division 3
0-1 0-1 15 L

Chachoengsao FC

DDWLWLLWWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
24/10 Padriew City
Thailand Division 3
0-0 1-1 57 D
11/10 Marines FC Sattahip
Thailand Division 3
1-0 2-1 06 W
03/10 Royal Navy
Thailand Division 3
0-0 1-0 45 W
07/03 Burapha United
Thailand Division 3
0-1 0-2 26 L
28/02 Marines FC Sattahip
Thailand Division 3
0-0 0-1 27 L
11/02 Padriew City
Thailand Division 3
0-0 1-0 13 W
01/02 Customs United
Thailand Division 3
0-0 0-1 35 L
25/01 ACDC FC
Thailand Division 3
0-0 1-0 117 W
18/01 Pluak Daeng United
Thailand Division 3
0-1 1-1 33 D
11/01 Saimit Kabin United
Thailand Division 3
0-0 1-1 45 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Customs United vs Chachoengsao FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Customs United win (37%). Probabilities: Customs United 37%, draw 28%, Chachoengsao FC 34%.

How many goals are expected in Customs United vs Chachoengsao FC?

The model expects 2.47 goals (Customs United 1.27 · Chachoengsao FC 1.21), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Customs United vs Chachoengsao FC?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.