Football · Thailand Division 3 · 25/10, 09:30

Prediction: Samut Songkhram City vs VRN Muangnont FC

Team pages: Samut Songkhram City · VRN Muangnont FC

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.16Total
Samut Songkhram City1.17
VRN Muangnont FC0.98
1X2
40% 30% 30%
Samut Songkhram City Draw VRN Muangnont FC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Samut Songkhram City 1-5-4 (W-D-L)
DDLDLLDDLW
VRN Muangnont FC 2-6-2 (W-D-L)
DLLDWDDDDW
Head-to-head
Samut Songkhram City 1–2–0 VRN Muangnont FC (3 last)
  • VRN Muangnont FC0-0Samut Songkhram City
  • Samut Songkhram City4-2VRN Muangnont FC
  • VRN Muangnont FC1-1Samut Songkhram City
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Samut Songkhram City 1456 · VRN Muangnont FC 1494
Samut Songkhram CityDrawVRN Muangnont FC
Our model39%32%29%
Market41%28%31%
Estimated total (ours) 2.16 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Samut Songkhram CityVRN Muangnont FC
Goals for / against (FT)0.9 / 1.50.9 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 0.70.6 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)0/70/30%20/70/10%
Corners (HT / FT)1.8 / 3.62.1 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.1 / 04.2 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Samut Songkhram City 1–2–0 VRN Muangnont FC

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DateHomeScoreAway
10/02/26
Thailand Division 3
VRN Muangnont FC0-0
HT 0-0
Samut Songkhram City
18/10/25
Thailand Division 3
Samut Songkhram City4-2
HT 3-0
VRN Muangnont FC
02/02/25
Thailand Division 3
VRN Muangnont FC1-1
HT 0-0
Samut Songkhram City

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentSamut Songkhram CityVRN Muangnont FC
Thap Luang United 3-1 W 0-0 D
Suphanburi FC 1-2 L 3-3 D
Thonburi United FC 1-1 D 1-1 D
Royal Thai Army 0-0 D 1-1 D
Record vs common 1 W 2 D 1 L 0 W 4 D 0 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Samut Songkhram City

DDLDLLDDLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
18/10 Thap Luang United
Thailand Division 3
0-0 3-1 63 W
10/10 Suphanburi FC
Thailand Division 3
1-1 1-2 25 L
04/10 Thonburi United FC
Thailand Division 3
0-1 1-1 43 D
19/09 Royal Thai Army
Thailand Division 3
0-0 0-0 52 D
15/03 Raj Pracha
Thailand Division 3
1-2 2-4 12 L
08/03 Hua Hin City
Thailand Division 3
0-2 0-2 53 L
01/03 Nonthaburi United
Thailand Division 3
0-0 0-0 32 D
15/02 Samut Sakhon
Thailand Division 3
0-0 0-3 36 L
10/02 VRN Muangnont FC
Thailand Division 3
0-0 0-0 25 D
31/01 Royal Thai Army
Thailand Division 3
1-1 2-2 50 D

VRN Muangnont FC

DLLDWDDDDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
18/10 Assumption United
Thailand Division 3
2-0 2-1 26 W
11/10 Thonburi United FC
Thailand Division 3
0-0 1-1 74 D
04/10 Suphanburi FC
Thailand Division 3
2-2 3-3 46 D
20/09 Thap Luang United
Thailand Division 3
0-0 0-0 66 D
22/03 Royal Thai Army
Thailand Division 3
1-0 1-1 –– D
08/03 Assumption United
Thailand Division 3
0-0 1-0 27 W
28/02 Suphanburi FC
Thailand Division 3
1-1 1-1 52 D
21/02 Thap Luang United
Thailand Division 3
0-2 0-2 40 L
14/02 Thonburi United FC
Thailand Division 3
0-0 0-2 53 L
10/02 Samut Songkhram City
Thailand Division 3
0-0 0-0 45 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Samut Songkhram City vs VRN Muangnont FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Samut Songkhram City win (40%). Probabilities: Samut Songkhram City 40%, draw 30%, VRN Muangnont FC 30%.

How many goals are expected in Samut Songkhram City vs VRN Muangnont FC?

The model expects 2.16 goals (Samut Songkhram City 1.17 · VRN Muangnont FC 0.98), with a 58% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Samut Songkhram City vs VRN Muangnont FC?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.