Football · Thailand Division 3 · 24/10, 10:30

Prediction: Surin City FC vs Roi-Et PB United

Team pages: Surin City FC · Roi-Et PB United

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.78Total

Surin City FC1.19

Roi-Et PB United1.59

1X2

28% 26% 46%

Surin City FC Draw Roi-Et PB United

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Surin City FC 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WWWLDDWLLL

Roi-Et PB United 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WDLWWWWDLW

Head-to-head

Surin City FC 0–1–1 Roi-Et PB United (2 last)

Roi-Et PB United6-0Surin City FC
Roi-Et PB United1-1Surin City FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Surin City FC 1469 · Roi-Et PB United 1520

	Surin City FC	Draw	Roi-Et PB United
Our model	27%	27%	45%
Market	28%	26%	46%

Estimated total (ours) 2.78 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Roi-Et PB United (rating 1469 vs 1520).
Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Surin City FC	Roi-Et PB United
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.3	1.3 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.5	0.4 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 4.1	1.9 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.2 / 0.3	4.7 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

13.20

X3.50

21.95

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)2.02

2 (-0.25)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.88

Under 2.51.93

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:51

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	1.95 → 1.95	Bet365 1.95

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
15:18 +32’	3.20	3.50	1.95

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Surin City FC 0–1–1 Roi-Et PB United

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/10/25 Thailand Division 3 Cup	Roi-Et PB United	6-0 HT 3-0	Surin City FC
18/01/25 Thailand Division 3	Roi-Et PB United	1-1 HT 1-1	Surin City FC

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Surin City FC	Roi-Et PB United
Khonkaen	1-4 L	1-1 D
EUMT FC	0-0 D	2-0 W
Muang Loei United	1-2 L	2-3 L
Yasothon FC	2-0 W	2-1 W
Surin Khongcheemoon FC	1-0 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 2 L	3 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Roi-Et PB United (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Surin City FC

WWWLDDWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	Khonkaen Thailand Division 3	0-2	1-4	2	2	L
03/10	Esan Fighter FC Thailand Division 3	0-1	2-3	5	3	L
26/09	Korat City FC Thailand Division 3	0-1	0-3	9	5	L
08/03	Korat City FC Thailand Division 3	2-0	3-0	4	4	W
11/02	EUMT FC Thailand Division 3	0-0	0-0	2	5	D
01/02	Khonkaen Thailand Division 3	0-0	0-0	7	4	D
17/01	Muang Loei United Thailand Division 3	1-1	1-2	6	4	L
10/01	Yasothon FC Thailand Division 3	1-0	2-0	2	8	W
23/11	Udon Banjan United Thailand Division 3	1-0	4-1	2	3	W
09/11	Surin Khongcheemoon FC Thailand Division 3	0-0	1-0	2	7	W

Roi-Et PB United

WDLWWWWDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Ubon Krua Napat FC Thailand Division 3	1-0	2-1	6	8	W
10/10	Khonkaen Mordindang FC Thailand Division 3	0-1	0-1	7	6	L
03/10	Udon United Thailand Division 3	0-0	0-0	4	4	D
27/09	EUMT FC Thailand Division 3	0-0	2-0	2	3	W
20/09	Yasothon FC Thailand Division 3	1-0	2-1	3	5	W
22/03	Surin Khongcheemoon FC Thailand Division 3	0-0	1-0	3	3	W
07/03	Khonkaen Mordindang FC Thailand Division 3	0-0	1-0	7	6	W
11/02	Muang Loei United Thailand Division 3	1-1	2-3	2	5	L
22/11	Khonkaen Thailand Division 3	0-1	1-1	3	3	D
16/11	Khonkaen Mordindang FC Thailand Division 3	1-0	2-1	3	6	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Surin City FC vs Roi-Et PB United?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Roi-Et PB United win (46%). Probabilities: Surin City FC 28%, draw 26%, Roi-Et PB United 46%.

How many goals are expected in Surin City FC vs Roi-Et PB United?

The model expects 2.78 goals (Surin City FC 1.19 · Roi-Et PB United 1.59), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Surin City FC vs Roi-Et PB United?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.