Football · Thailand Division 3 · 24/10, 10:30

Prediction: Udon United vs Khonkaen Mordindang FC

Team pages: Udon United · Khonkaen Mordindang FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.14Total

Udon United2.46

Khonkaen Mordindang FC0.68

1X2

77% 15% 8%

Udon United Draw Khonkaen Mordindang FC

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

2-0 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Udon United 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LLWWLDWDWW

Khonkaen Mordindang FC 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LLWLDLLLDW

Head-to-head

Udon United 5–1–0 Khonkaen Mordindang FC (6 last)

Udon United2-0Khonkaen Mordindang FC
Khonkaen Mordindang FC0-1Udon United
Khonkaen Mordindang FC0-4Udon United
Udon United3-1Khonkaen Mordindang FC
Udon United1-1Khonkaen Mordindang FC
Khonkaen Mordindang FC0-2Udon United

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Udon United 1586 · Khonkaen Mordindang FC 1428

	Udon United	Draw	Khonkaen Mordindang FC
Our model	76%	17%	8%
Market	77%	14%	9%

Estimated total (ours) 3.14 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Udon United (rating 1586 vs 1428).
H2H favours Udon United: 5-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Udon United	Khonkaen Mordindang FC
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 0.9	0.7 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.1	0.3 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	33/67/0%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 4.7	1.5 / 3.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0.1	4.8 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

11.17

X6.50

210.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2.25)1.98

2 (+2.25)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.88

Under 3.251.93

Diff.: 0.85 · xG: 2.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:20

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.17 → 1.17	Bet365 1.17
X	6.50 → 6.50	Bet365 6.50
2	10.00 → 10.00	Bet365 10.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
14:14 +6’	1.17	6.50	10.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Udon United 5–1–0 Khonkaen Mordindang FC

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
28/02/26 Thailand Division 3	Udon United	2-0 HT 1-0	Khonkaen Mordindang FC
08/11/25 Thailand Division 3	Khonkaen Mordindang FC	0-1 HT 0-0	Udon United
15/02/25 Thailand Division 3	Khonkaen Mordindang FC	0-4 HT 0-1	Udon United
19/10/24 Thailand Division 3	Udon United	3-1 HT 1-0	Khonkaen Mordindang FC
20/01/24 Thailand Division 3	Udon United	1-1 HT 0-0	Khonkaen Mordindang FC
28/10/23 Thailand Division 3	Khonkaen Mordindang FC	0-2 HT 0-1	Udon United

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Udon United	Khonkaen Mordindang FC
EUMT FC	7-0 W	0-0 D
Roi-Et PB United	0-0 D	1-0 W
Muang Loei United	2-1 W	2-3 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 0 L	1 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Udon United (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Udon United

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Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Esan Fighter FC Thailand Division 3	2-0	2-0	2	2	W
11/10	EUMT FC Thailand Division 3	3-0	7-0	3	2	W
03/10	Roi-Et PB United Thailand Division 3	0-0	0-0	5	4	D
27/09	Pitchayabundit College Thailand Division 3	0-0	2-1	7	2	W
20/09	Khonkaen Thailand Division 3	1-1	2-2	3	5	D
16/05	Burapha United Thailand Division 3	0-0	0-1	7	5	L
09/05	Muang Loei United Thailand Division 3	0-0	2-1	5	6	W
02/05	Fleet FC Thailand Division 3	2-0	4-0	5	7	W
28/04	Muang Loei United Thailand Division 3	0-0	1-2	5	3	L
25/04	Fleet FC Thailand Division 3	–	0-2	–	–	L

Khonkaen Mordindang FC

LLWLDLLLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Roi-Et PB United Thailand Division 3	1-0	1-0	2	6	W
04/10	EUMT FC Thailand Division 3	0-0	0-0	4	5	D
26/09	Yasothon FC Thailand Division 3	0-0	0-1	3	7	L
07/03	Roi-Et PB United Thailand Division 3	0-0	0-1	2	6	L
28/02	Udon United Thailand Division 3	0-1	0-2	4	2	L
11/02	Yasothon FC Thailand Division 3	1-0	1-1	2	6	D
31/01	Muang Loei United Thailand Division 3	0-0	2-3	0	2	L
24/01	Surin Khongcheemoon FC Thailand Division 3	0-0	1-0	5	7	W
10/01	Korat City FC Thailand Division 3	0-1	1-2	4	5	L
23/11	Ubon Krua Napat FC Thailand Division 3	1-0	1-2	6	7	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Udon United vs Khonkaen Mordindang FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Udon United win (77%). Probabilities: Udon United 77%, draw 15%, Khonkaen Mordindang FC 8%.

How many goals are expected in Udon United vs Khonkaen Mordindang FC?

The model expects 3.14 goals (Udon United 2.46 · Khonkaen Mordindang FC 0.68), with a 52% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Udon United vs Khonkaen Mordindang FC?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.