Football · Thailand Division 3 · 24/10, 13:00

Prediction: Chachoengsao FC vs Padriew City

Team pages: Chachoengsao FC · Padriew City

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.87Total

Chachoengsao FC1.22

Padriew City0.64

1X2

51% 29% 20%

Chachoengsao FC Draw Padriew City

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 57% Not both to score 54%

Most likely score

1-0 18%

Recent form · 10 last

Chachoengsao FC 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LDDWLWLLWW

Padriew City 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

DLLDLWLLLW

Head-to-head

Chachoengsao FC 3–3 Padriew City (6 last)

Chachoengsao FC1-0Padriew City
Chachoengsao FC0-1Padriew City
Padriew City1-0Chachoengsao FC
Chachoengsao FC2-1Padriew City
Chachoengsao FC0-1Padriew City
Padriew City0-2Chachoengsao FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Chachoengsao FC 1500 · Padriew City 1487

	Chachoengsao FC	Draw	Padriew City
Our model	49%	33%	18%
Market	52%	26%	21%

Estimated total (ours) 1.87 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 77%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Chachoengsao FC	Padriew City
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 0.9	0.8 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.1 / 0.3	0.3 / 0.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/60/30%	20/80/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 3.4	1.7 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.9 / 0.1	3.2 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.73

X3.40

24.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)2.00

2 (+0.75)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.95

Under 2.251.85

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 1.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:25

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.73 → 1.73	Bet365 1.73
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
14:15 +10’	1.73	3.40	4.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Chachoengsao FC 3–0–3 Padriew City

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/02/26 Thailand Division 3	Chachoengsao FC	1-0 HT 0-0	Padriew City
06/12/25 Thailand Division 3 Cup	Chachoengsao FC	0-1 HT 0-0	Padriew City
19/10/25 Thailand Division 3	Padriew City	1-0 HT 1-0	Chachoengsao FC
15/02/25 Thailand Division 3	Chachoengsao FC	2-1 HT 1-1	Padriew City
30/11/24 Thailand Division 3 Cup	Chachoengsao FC	0-1 HT 0-1	Padriew City
19/10/24 Thailand Division 3	Padriew City	0-2 HT 0-0	Chachoengsao FC

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Chachoengsao FC	Padriew City
Marines FC Sattahip	2-1 W	0-1 L
Royal Navy	1-0 W	1-1 D
Burapha United	0-2 L	0-4 L
ACDC FC	1-0 W	1-0 W
Pluak Daeng United	1-1 D	1-3 L
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 1 L	1 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Chachoengsao FC (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Chachoengsao FC

LDDWLWLLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	Marines FC Sattahip Thailand Division 3	1-0	2-1	0	6	W
03/10	Royal Navy Thailand Division 3	0-0	1-0	4	5	W
07/03	Burapha United Thailand Division 3	0-1	0-2	2	6	L
28/02	Marines FC Sattahip Thailand Division 3	0-0	0-1	2	7	L
11/02	Padriew City Thailand Division 3	0-0	1-0	1	3	W
01/02	Customs United Thailand Division 3	0-0	0-1	3	5	L
25/01	ACDC FC Thailand Division 3	0-0	1-0	11	7	W
18/01	Pluak Daeng United Thailand Division 3	0-1	1-1	3	3	D
11/01	Saimit Kabin United Thailand Division 3	0-0	1-1	4	5	D
23/11	BFB Pattaya City Thailand Division 3	0-1	1-2	4	3	L

Padriew City

DLLDLWLLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/10	Mnk Soccer Club Thailand Division 3	1-0	5-0	5	1	W
20/09	Burapha United Thailand Division 3	0-0	0-4	6	2	L
08/03	Pluak Daeng United Thailand Division 3	1-1	1-3	5	2	L
21/02	Marines FC Sattahip Thailand Division 3	0-0	0-1	4	1	L
14/02	ACDC FC Thailand Division 3	1-0	1-0	2	8	W
11/02	Chachoengsao FC Thailand Division 3	0-0	0-1	4	3	L
25/01	Royal Navy Thailand Division 3	0-0	1-1	3	7	D
10/01	Fleet FC Thailand Division 3	0-0	0-1	4	6	L
22/11	Bankhai United Thailand Division 3	0-0	0-1	5	3	L
15/11	Pluak Daeng United Thailand Division 3	0-0	0-0	6	2	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Chachoengsao FC vs Padriew City?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Chachoengsao FC win (51%). Probabilities: Chachoengsao FC 51%, draw 29%, Padriew City 20%.

How many goals are expected in Chachoengsao FC vs Padriew City?

The model expects 1.87 goals (Chachoengsao FC 1.22 · Padriew City 0.64), with a 58% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Chachoengsao FC vs Padriew City?

The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.