Football · Thailand Division 3 · 24/10, 10:30

Prediction: North Bangkok University vs Prime Bangkok

Team pages: North Bangkok University · Prime Bangkok

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.58Total

North Bangkok University1.35

Prime Bangkok1.23

1X2

39% 27% 33%

North Bangkok University Draw Prime Bangkok

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

North Bangkok University 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WLDLWLWWWD

Prime Bangkok 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WDLLWWLWLW

Head-to-head

North Bangkok University 1–4–1 Prime Bangkok (6 last)

North Bangkok University4-2Prime Bangkok
Prime Bangkok1-0North Bangkok University
North Bangkok University1-1Prime Bangkok
North Bangkok University1-1Prime Bangkok
Prime Bangkok0-0North Bangkok University
North Bangkok University1-1Prime Bangkok

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · North Bangkok University 1577 · Prime Bangkok 1514

	North Bangkok University	Draw	Prime Bangkok
Our model	38%	29%	33%
Market	40%	26%	34%

Estimated total (ours) 2.58 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours North Bangkok University (rating 1577 vs 1514).
High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	North Bangkok University	Prime Bangkok
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1	2 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.4	0.9 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 5.4	2 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.8 / 0	4.4 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.25

X3.40

22.63

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.75

2 (0)2.05

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.85

Under 2.51.95

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:20

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.25 → 2.25	Bet365 2.25
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	2.63 → 2.63	Bet365 2.63

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
14:16 +5’	2.25	3.40	2.63

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · North Bangkok University 1–4–1 Prime Bangkok

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/04/26 Thailand Division 3	North Bangkok University	4-2 HT 2-1	Prime Bangkok
10/02/26 Thailand Division 3	Prime Bangkok	1-0 HT 0-0	North Bangkok University
30/11/25 Thailand Division 3 Cup	North Bangkok University	1-1 HT 1-0	Prime Bangkok
19/10/25 Thailand Division 3	North Bangkok University	1-1 HT 1-0	Prime Bangkok
23/03/25 Thailand Division 3	Prime Bangkok	0-0 HT 0-0	North Bangkok University
23/11/24 Thailand Division 3	North Bangkok University	1-1 HT 1-0	Prime Bangkok

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	North Bangkok University	Prime Bangkok
Kasem Bundit University	0-0 D	0-2 L
Chiangmai FC	1-0 W	5-1 W
Uttaradit FC	1-2 L	2-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 1 L	2 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Prime Bangkok (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

North Bangkok University

WLDLWLWWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Kasem Bundit University Thailand Division 3	0-0	0-0	9	5	D
11/10	Royal Thai Air Force FC Thailand Division 3	1-0	2-1	7	4	W
04/10	Singburi Warriors Thailand Division 3	2-1	6-1	4	4	W
16/05	Chiangmai FC Thailand Division 3	0-0	1-0	6	5	W
02/05	Uttaradit FC Thailand Division 3	0-0	1-2	1	4	L
28/04	Prime Bangkok Thailand Division 3	2-1	4-2	9	4	W
25/04	Uttaradit FC Thailand Division 3	0-1	0-1	4	5	L
21/03	Pathum Thani University Thailand Division 3	0-0	0-0	4	9	D
07/03	Ang Thong FC Thailand Division 3	0-0	1-2	2	4	L
28/02	Kasem Bundit University Thailand Division 3	0-1	2-1	8	4	W

Prime Bangkok

WDLLWWLWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Futera United Thailand Division 3	1-0	2-0	8	5	W
10/10	Chamchuri Utd Thailand Division 3	1-1	1-2	7	6	L
03/10	Lopburi City FC Thailand Division 3	1-0	2-0	7	10	W
19/09	Kasem Bundit University Thailand Division 3	0-0	0-2	3	5	L
16/05	Uttaradit FC Thailand Division 3	0-0	2-1	3	2	W
03/05	Chiangmai FC Thailand Division 3	1-1	5-1	5	3	W
28/04	North Bangkok University Thailand Division 3	1-2	2-4	6	4	L
25/04	Chiangmai FC Thailand Division 3	0-0	0-1	2	4	L
19/04	Uttaradit FC Thailand Division 3	2-0	2-2	4	5	D
15/03	Kasem Bundit University Thailand Division 3	2-0	4-0	6	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in North Bangkok University vs Prime Bangkok?

According to our model, the most likely result is a North Bangkok University win (39%). Probabilities: North Bangkok University 39%, draw 27%, Prime Bangkok 33%.

How many goals are expected in North Bangkok University vs Prime Bangkok?

The model expects 2.58 goals (North Bangkok University 1.35 · Prime Bangkok 1.23), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in North Bangkok University vs Prime Bangkok?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.