Football · Thailand Division 3 · 24/10, 10:30

Prediction: Raj Pracha vs Assumption United

Team pages: Raj Pracha · Assumption United

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.33Total
Raj Pracha0.98
Assumption United1.35
1X2
27% 28% 45%
Raj Pracha Draw Assumption United
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Raj Pracha 1-2-7 (W-D-L)
LLDLWLLLDL
Assumption United 3-1-6 (W-D-L)
LDLWLLLWWL
Head-to-head
Raj Pracha 2–3 Assumption United (5 last)
  • Raj Pracha0-2Assumption United
  • Assumption United1-0Raj Pracha
  • Assumption United3-2Raj Pracha
  • Assumption United1-2Raj Pracha
  • Assumption United0-1Raj Pracha
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Raj Pracha 1425 · Assumption United 1482
Raj PrachaDrawAssumption United
Our model26%30%44%
Market28%26%46%
Estimated total (ours) 2.33 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Assumption United (rating 1425 vs 1482).
  • H2H favours Assumption United: 3-0-2.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Raj PrachaAssumption United
Goals for / against (FT)0.7 / 1.70.9 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.70.2 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/40/40%10/60/30%
Corners (HT / FT)2.1 / 4.91.3 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.4 / 0.54.2 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · Raj Pracha 2–0–3 Assumption United

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DateHomeScoreAway
22/02/26
Thailand Division 3
Raj Pracha0-2
HT 0-0
Assumption United
01/11/25
Thailand Division 3
Assumption United1-0
HT 0-0
Raj Pracha
05/10/24
Thailand Division 3
Assumption United3-2
HT 2-0
Raj Pracha
27/01/24
Thailand Division 3
Assumption United1-2
HT 1-1
Raj Pracha
29/11/20
Thailand Division 3
Assumption United0-1
HT 0-1
Raj Pracha

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentRaj PrachaAssumption United
Phetchaburi PBRU FC 1-1 D 2-1 W
Royal Thai Army 0-1 L 1-0 W
Thonburi United FC 1-2 L 2-3 L
Suphanburi FC 0-1 L 0-1 L
Record vs common 0 W 1 D 3 L 2 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Assumption United (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Raj Pracha

LLDLWLLLDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
17/10 Bangkok FC
Thailand Division 3
0-1 0-3 23 L
11/10 Phetchaburi PBRU FC
Thailand Division 3
0-0 1-1 76 D
03/10 Royal Thai Army
Thailand Division 3
0-0 0-1 32 L
20/09 Samutsakhon City
Thailand Division 3
1-2 1-3 50 L
22/03 Thonburi United FC
Thailand Division 3
1-0 1-2 35 L
15/03 Samut Songkhram City
Thailand Division 3
2-1 4-2 42 W
07/03 Suphanburi FC
Thailand Division 3
0-1 0-1 28 L
01/03 Hua Hin City
Thailand Division 3
0-0 0-0 46 D
22/02 Assumption United
Thailand Division 3
0-0 0-2 63 L
15/02 Royal Thai Army
Thailand Division 3
0-2 0-2 134 L

Assumption United

LDLWLLLWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
18/10 VRN Muangnont FC
Thailand Division 3
0-2 1-2 66 L
10/10 Royal Thai Army
Thailand Division 3
0-0 1-0 43 W
03/10 Phetchaburi PBRU FC
Thailand Division 3
2-1 2-1 54 W
20/09 Thonburi United FC
Thailand Division 3
0-1 2-3 35 L
14/03 Thonburi United FC
Thailand Division 3
0-1 1-2 –– L
08/03 VRN Muangnont FC
Thailand Division 3
0-0 0-1 27 L
22/02 Raj Pracha
Thailand Division 3
0-0 2-0 43 W
14/02 Suphanburi FC
Thailand Division 3
0-0 0-1 53 L
11/02 Royal Thai Army
Thailand Division 3
0-0 0-0 43 D
01/02 Samut Sakhon
Thailand Division 3
0-0 0-3 27 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Raj Pracha vs Assumption United?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Assumption United win (45%). Probabilities: Raj Pracha 27%, draw 28%, Assumption United 45%.

How many goals are expected in Raj Pracha vs Assumption United?

The model expects 2.33 goals (Raj Pracha 0.98 · Assumption United 1.35), with a 55% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Raj Pracha vs Assumption United?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.