Football · Thailand Division 3 · 24/10, 10:30
Prediction: Royal Navy vs Customs United
Team pages: Royal Navy · Customs United
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.1Total
Royal Navy2
Customs United1.09
1X2
Royal Navy
Draw
Customs United
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 63%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Royal Navy
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Customs United
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Royal Navy
4–1–1
Customs United
(6 last)
- Customs United1-1Royal Navy
- Royal Navy2-0Customs United
- Customs United1-3Royal Navy
- Customs United2-1Royal Navy
- Royal Navy3-0Customs United
- Royal Navy4-1Customs United
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Royal Navy 1524 · Customs United 1459
| Royal Navy | Draw | Customs United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 23% | 19% |
| Market | 57% | 24% | 19% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.1 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Royal Navy (rating 1524 vs 1459).
- H2H favours Royal Navy: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Royal Navy | Customs United | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1 | 1.5 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.3 | 0.5 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 5.4 | 1.2 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.6 / 0.3 | 4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Royal Navy 4–1–1 Customs United
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/11/25 Thailand Division 3 | Customs United | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Royal Navy |
| 15/03/25 Thailand Division 3 | Royal Navy | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Customs United |
| 16/11/24 Thailand Division 3 | Customs United | 1-3 HT 1-1 | Royal Navy |
| 13/03/22 Thailand Division 2 | Customs United | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Royal Navy |
| 31/10/21 Thailand Division 2 | Royal Navy | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Customs United |
| 17/03/21 Thailand Division 2 | Royal Navy | 4-1 HT 1-1 | Customs United |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Royal Navy | Customs United |
|---|---|---|
| Pluak Daeng United | 3-2 W | 3-3 D |
| Chachoengsao FC | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| BFB Pattaya City | 1-2 L | 2-0 W |
| Fleet FC | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Saimit Kabin United | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Marines FC Sattahip | 3-0 W | 2-1 W |
| ACDC FC | 2-2 D | 3-2 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 3 L | 4 W 1 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Royal Navy
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Pluak Daeng United Thailand Division 3 |
1-1 | 3-2 | 10 | 4 | W |
| 03/10 | Chachoengsao FC Thailand Division 3 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 19/09 | BFB Pattaya City Thailand Division 3 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 14/03 | Fleet FC Thailand Division 3 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 15 | L |
| 22/02 | Pluak Daeng United Thailand Division 3 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 14/02 | Saimit Kabin United Thailand Division 3 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 10/02 | Marines FC Sattahip Thailand Division 3 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 01/02 | ACDC FC Thailand Division 3 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 25/01 | Padriew City Thailand Division 3 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 23/11 | Fleet FC Thailand Division 3 |
0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
Customs United
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Marines FC Sattahip Thailand Division 3 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 10/10 | Burapha United Thailand Division 3 |
0-3 | 2-7 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 15/03 | ACDC FC Thailand Division 3 |
0-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 28/02 | Pluak Daeng United Thailand Division 3 |
2-1 | 3-3 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 21/02 | Saimit Kabin United Thailand Division 3 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 15/02 | Marines FC Sattahip Thailand Division 3 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 01/02 | Chachoengsao FC Thailand Division 3 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 5 | W |
| 24/01 | Bankhai United Thailand Division 3 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 17/01 | Fleet FC Thailand Division 3 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 11/01 | BFB Pattaya City Thailand Division 3 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Royal Navy vs Customs United?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Royal Navy win (57%). Probabilities: Royal Navy 57%, draw 24%, Customs United 19%.
How many goals are expected in Royal Navy vs Customs United?
The model expects 3.1 goals (Royal Navy 2 · Customs United 1.09), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Royal Navy vs Customs United?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.