Football · Tunisia League 2 · 26/10, 14:30

Prediction: SC Ben Arous vs AS Megrine

Team pages: SC Ben Arous

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.35Total
SC Ben Arous1.36
AS Megrine0.99
1X2
44% 30% 26%
SC Ben Arous Draw AS Megrine
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
SC Ben Arous 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
WLLDLWLWDD
AS Megrine 3-6-1 (W-D-L)
DLDDDDWDWW
Head-to-head
SC Ben Arous 0–1–1 AS Megrine (2 last)
  • SC Ben Arous1-1AS Megrine
  • AS Megrine1-0SC Ben Arous
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SC Ben Arous 1493 · AS Megrine 1534
SC Ben ArousDrawAS Megrine
Our model44%30%26%
Market44%30%26%
Estimated total (ours) 2.35 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours AS Megrine (rating 1493 vs 1534).
  • High corners: 13.6 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 10.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

SC Ben ArousAS Megrine
Goals for / against (FT)1.5 / 0.81.3 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)0 / 10.6 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)0/0/100%43/43/14%
Corners (HT / FT)3.3 / 92.6 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5 / 1.75.5 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · SC Ben Arous 0–1–1 AS Megrine

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DateHomeScoreAway
27/04/26
Tunisia League 2
SC Ben Arous1-1AS Megrine
01/12/25
Tunisia League 2
AS Megrine1-0
HT 0-0
SC Ben Arous

Standings · Tunisia League 2 · Ligue 2 26/27, Group 1

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 AS Megrine 4310 8410
2 EM Mahdia 4220 758
3 CS Msaken 4220 648
4 CS Chebba 4211 437
5 Tataouine 4211 567
6 Sfax Railways 4130 436
7 BS Bouhajla 4121 245
8 AS Soliman 4121 865
9 SC Ben Arous 4121 645
10 Stade Soussien 4112 554
11 AS Agareb 4031 363
12 ES Beni-Khalled 4022 242
13 AS Gabes 4013 361
14 OC Kerkennah 4013 251

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentSC Ben ArousAS Megrine
BS Bouhajla 0-0 D 1-1 D
EM Mahdia 1-2 L 0-0 D
Record vs common 0 W 1 D 1 L 0 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: AS Megrine (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SC Ben Arous

WLLDLWLWDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
18/10 BS Bouhajla
Tunisia League 2
– 0-0 –– D
11/10 Tataouine
Tunisia League 2
0-1 2-2 88 D
03/10 AS Agareb
Tunisia League 2
– 3-0 –– W
26/09 EM Mahdia
Tunisia League 2
0-1 1-2 84 L
11/05 SA Menzel Bourguiba
Tunisia League 2
– 6-0 –– W
01/05 Tataouine
Tunisia League 2
– 0-1 –– L
27/04 AS Megrine
Tunisia League 2
– 1-1 –– D
18/04 CS Chebba
Tunisia League 2
– 0-1 –– L
13/04 AS Agareb
Tunisia League 2
0-1 0-1 118 L
04/04 Sfax Railways
Tunisia League 2
– 2-0 –– W

AS Megrine

DLDDDDWDWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
18/10 Stade Soussien
Tunisia League 2
1-0 2-0 57 W
10/10 AS Soliman
Tunisia League 2
2-0 3-2 27 W
03/10 ES Beni-Khalled
Tunisia League 2
– 1-1 75 D
26/09 AS Gabes
Tunisia League 2
0-0 2-1 46 W
11/05 US Bousalem
Tunisia League 2
– 2-2 –– D
01/05 BS Bouhajla
Tunisia League 2
0-0 1-1 44 D
27/04 SC Ben Arous
Tunisia League 2
– 1-1 –– D
18/04 EM Mahdia
Tunisia League 2
0-0 0-0 85 D
13/04 CS Hammam Lif
Tunisia League 2
0-2 0-3 54 L
04/04 OC Kerkennah
Tunisia League 2
1-0 1-1 27 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SC Ben Arous vs AS Megrine?

According to our model, the most likely result is a SC Ben Arous win (44%). Probabilities: SC Ben Arous 44%, draw 30%, AS Megrine 26%.

How many goals are expected in SC Ben Arous vs AS Megrine?

The model expects 2.35 goals (SC Ben Arous 1.36 · AS Megrine 0.99), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in SC Ben Arous vs AS Megrine?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.