Football · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · 25/10, 19:00

Prediction: Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn vs General Lamadrid

Team pages: Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn · General Lamadrid

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.73Total

Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn1.12

General Lamadrid0.61

1X2

48% 32% 20%

Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn Draw General Lamadrid

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 53% Not both to score 55%

Most likely score

0-0 19%

Recent form · 10 last

Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn 3-5-2 (W-D-L)

WLDLDDWDWD

General Lamadrid 2-6-2 (W-D-L)

WWLDDDDLDD

Head-to-head

Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn 1–1–1 General Lamadrid (3 last)

General Lamadrid1-1Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn
General Lamadrid3-2Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn
Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn1-0General Lamadrid

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn 1512 · General Lamadrid 1501

	Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn	Draw	General Lamadrid
Our model	47%	35%	19%
Market	49%	31%	21%

Estimated total (ours) 1.73 goals · Bet365 line 2 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 72%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 10 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn	General Lamadrid
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1.1	0.5 / 0.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.3	0.2 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/50/10%	20/70/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.9	2.1 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.8 / 0.8	4.2 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.83

X2.90

24.33

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.98

2 (+0.5)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 22.00

Under 21.80

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 1.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 22:13

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.83 → 1.83	Pinn 2.06 ★
X	2.90 → 2.90	Bet365 2.90
2	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.1% Pinnacle margin 12.5%

Time*	1	X	2
22:09 +4’	1.83	2.90	4.33

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
07:11 +2’	2.06	2.75	3.62

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn 1–1–1 General Lamadrid

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/10/26 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	General Lamadrid	1-1 HT 1-0	Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn
07/09/25 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	General Lamadrid	3-2 HT 1-1	Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn
26/05/25 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn	1-0 HT 0-0	General Lamadrid

Standings · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · Primera C 2026, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Lujan	32	19	7	6	46	22	64
2	Canuelas FC	32	17	10	5	43	22	61
3	Deportivo Espanol	32	12	16	4	26	16	52
4	Leones de Rosario	32	13	12	7	31	25	51
5	Central Cordoba de Rosario	32	13	10	9	32	23	49
6	General Lamadrid	32	9	14	9	23	27	41
7	Sportivo Barracas	32	11	7	14	32	32	40
8	El Porvenir	32	8	16	8	28	32	40
9	Central Ballester	32	10	8	14	29	34	38
10	CA Atlas	32	9	10	13	24	29	37
11	CA Claypole	32	9	9	14	27	40	36
12	Yupanqui	32	8	11	13	33	36	35
13	Fenix	32	8	10	14	24	32	34
14	Deportivo Muniz	32	6	11	15	23	38	29

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn	General Lamadrid
Yupanqui	1-1 D	0-0 D
Victoriano Arenas	1-1 D	1-0 W
Canuelas FC	2-1 W	0-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 0 L	1 W 1 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn

WLDLDDWDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	General Lamadrid Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	1-1	6	8	D
12/10	Juventud Unida San Miguel Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	2-1	2-1	8	7	W
04/10	Sacachispas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	3	10	D
26/09	Argentino de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	2-1	6	4	W
20/09	CA Lugano Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	1-1	6	7	D
12/09	Yupanqui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	1-1	6	4	D
06/09	Berazategui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-2	3	7	L
30/08	Victoriano Arenas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	1-1	5	4	D
24/08	Centro Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-2	3	6	L
15/08	Canuelas FC Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	2-1	2-1	3	9	W

General Lamadrid

WWLDDDDLDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	1-1	8	8	D
12/10	Sportivo Barracas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	0	0	D
05/10	Lujan Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-1	5	7	L
26/09	Yupanqui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	4	6	D
20/09	Leones de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	1-1	5	7	D
13/09	JJ Urquiza Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	2	3	D
06/09	CA Atlas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	1	3	D
31/08	Canuelas FC Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-2	0-2	7	3	L
21/08	Deportivo Muniz Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	2-0	5	1	W
15/08	Victoriano Arenas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	4	7	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn vs General Lamadrid?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn win (48%). Probabilities: Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn 48%, draw 32%, General Lamadrid 20%.

How many goals are expected in Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn vs General Lamadrid?

The model expects 1.73 goals (Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn 1.12 · General Lamadrid 0.61), with a 58% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn vs General Lamadrid?

The model gives a 55% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.