Football · Argentina Liga Profesional · 30/10, 21:00

Prediction: Estudiantes Rio Cuarto vs Gimnasia LP

Team pages: Estudiantes Rio Cuarto · Gimnasia LP

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.26Total

Estudiantes Rio Cuarto0.72

Gimnasia LP1.55

1X2

16% 28% 56%

Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Draw Gimnasia LP

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 61% Not both to score 52%

Most likely score

0-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

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Gimnasia LP 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

LLWWDDDDWW

Head-to-head

Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 0–1 Gimnasia LP (1 last)

Gimnasia LP1-0Estudiantes Rio Cuarto

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 1413 · Gimnasia LP 1545

	Estudiantes Rio Cuarto	Draw	Gimnasia LP
Our model	16%	28%	56%
Market	16%	28%	56%

Estimated total (ours) 2.26 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gimnasia LP (rating 1413 vs 1545).
Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Estudiantes Rio Cuarto	Gimnasia LP
Goals for / against (FT)	0.7 / 1.4	1.5 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.1 / 0.5	0.5 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/70/30%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 4.9	2.8 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.1	5 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

15.75

X3.30

21.65

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)1.90

2 (-0.75)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 21.88

Under 21.93

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 2.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:52

	Bet365	Best now
1	5.75 → 5.75	Bet365 5.75
X	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
2	1.65 → 1.65	Bet365 1.65

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.3%

Time*	1	X	2
00:38 +14’	5.75	3.30	1.65

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 0–0–1 Gimnasia LP

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/04/26 Argentina Liga Profesional	Gimnasia LP	1-0 HT 1-0	Estudiantes Rio Cuarto

Standings · Argentina Liga Profesional · Primera LPF 2026, Clausura, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Rosario Central	14	8	4	2	22	11	28
2	Argentinos Jrs	13	7	4	2	17	11	25
3	Gimnasia LP	14	7	4	3	21	18	25
4	Belgrano	13	6	4	3	14	10	22
5	Sarmiento	14	6	3	5	22	21	21
6	River Plate	13	6	2	5	18	13	20
7	Barracas Central	13	5	4	4	11	10	19
8	Huracan	14	5	4	5	12	14	19
9	Independiente Rivadavia	13	5	4	4	17	21	19
10	Atlético Tucumán	14	4	5	5	13	13	17
11	Banfield	14	3	5	6	15	20	14
12	CA Tigre	14	3	4	7	13	16	13
13	Racing Club	13	3	3	7	14	20	12
14	Estudiantes Rio Cuarto	13	2	3	8	8	17	9
15	CA Aldosivi	13	2	2	9	14	22	8

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Estudiantes Rio Cuarto	Gimnasia LP
Sarmiento	0-2 L	2-0 W
Huracan	1-1 D	2-1 W
Atlético Tucumán	0-1 L	1-1 D
Independiente Rivadavia	1-2 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 3 L	2 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Gimnasia LP (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Estudiantes Rio Cuarto

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	CA Aldosivi Argentina Liga Profesional	0-0	2-1	7	5	W
11/10	River Plate Argentina Liga Profesional	0-1	0-1	2	2	L
05/10	Racing Club Argentina Liga Profesional	0-2	1-2	9	4	L
21/09	Belgrano Argentina Liga Profesional	0-0	1-2	5	4	L
15/09	Instituto AC Cordoba Argentina Liga Profesional	0-0	1-2	3	5	L
04/09	Sarmiento Argentina Liga Profesional	0-1	0-2	14	2	L
30/08	Huracan Argentina Liga Profesional	1-1	1-1	2	6	D
22/08	San Lorenzo Argentina Liga Profesional	0-0	0-0	0	4	D
17/08	Atlético Tucumán Argentina Liga Profesional	0-0	0-1	4	5	L
08/08	Independiente Rivadavia Argentina Liga Profesional	0-0	1-2	3	4	L

Gimnasia LP

LLWWDDDDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/10	Sarmiento Argentina Liga Profesional	1-0	2-0	3	5	W
16/10	Huracan Argentina Liga Profesional	1-0	2-1	3	7	W
09/10	Atlético Tucumán Argentina Liga Profesional	0-0	1-1	10	6	D
03/10	Independiente Rivadavia Argentina Liga Profesional	0-1	1-1	3	4	D
19/09	Banfield Argentina Liga Profesional	1-1	2-2	5	2	D
13/09	Argentinos Jrs Argentina Liga Profesional	1-0	1-1	3	6	D
05/09	CA Tigre Argentina Liga Profesional	1-0	2-1	5	7	W
29/08	Rosario Central Argentina Liga Profesional	0-0	2-1	3	5	W
22/08	Gimnasia Mendoza Argentina Liga Profesional	0-2	2-3	6	3	L
15/08	Estudiantes LP Argentina Liga Profesional	0-1	0-4	2	8	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Estudiantes Rio Cuarto vs Gimnasia LP?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Gimnasia LP win (56%). Probabilities: Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 16%, draw 28%, Gimnasia LP 56%.

How many goals are expected in Estudiantes Rio Cuarto vs Gimnasia LP?

The model expects 2.26 goals (Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 0.72 · Gimnasia LP 1.55), with a 52% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Estudiantes Rio Cuarto vs Gimnasia LP?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.