Football · Chile Tercera · 13/10, 17:00

Prediction: Atletico Oriente vs Comunal Cabrero

Team pages: Atletico Oriente · Comunal Cabrero

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.18Total
Atletico Oriente1.55
Comunal Cabrero1.62
1X2
35% 26% 38%
Atletico Oriente Draw Comunal Cabrero
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Atletico Oriente 4-2-4 (W-D-L)
LWWLDDLWWL
Comunal Cabrero 5-3-2 (W-D-L)
DWWWWDDWLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Atletico Oriente 1499 · Comunal Cabrero 1532
Atletico OrienteDrawComunal Cabrero
Our model36%26%39%
Market35%26%38%
Estimated total (ours) 3.18 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 9.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Atletico OrienteComunal Cabrero
Goals for / against (FT)1.8 / 1.91.8 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 0.71.1 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)33/22/44%60/30/10%
Corners (HT / FT)2.8 / 52.4 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.8 / 0.64.9 / 0.6

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentAtletico OrienteComunal Cabrero
Puente Alto 0-1 L 1-1 D
CD Imperial Unido 5-0 W 1-1 D
Lautaro de Buin 3-3 D 5-1 W
Futuro FC 1-1 D 1-0 W
CD Constitucion Unido 0-5 L 1-0 W
Deportes Rancagua 2-1 W 1-5 L
Record vs common 2 W 2 D 2 L 3 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Comunal Cabrero (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Atletico Oriente

LWWLDDLWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
11/09 Puente Alto
Chile Tercera
0-1 0-1 96 L
15/08 Chimbarongo FC
Chile Tercera
– 2-1 –– W
01/08 CD Imperial Unido
Chile Tercera
3-0 5-0 31 W
25/07 Rodelindo Roman
Chile Tercera
0-0 1-2 –– L
11/07 Lautaro de Buin
Chile Tercera
2-1 3-3 36 D
04/07 Futuro FC
Chile Tercera
1-0 1-1 27 D
13/06 CD Constitucion Unido
Chile Tercera
0-2 0-5 28 L
06/06 Puente Alto
Chile Tercera
0-1 3-2 69 W
30/05 Deportes Rancagua
Chile Tercera
0-1 2-1 60 W
01/05 CD Imperial Unido
Chile Tercera
0-0 1-3 96 L

Comunal Cabrero

DWWWWDDWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/09 Club Aguara
Chile Tercera
1-1 2-3 46 L
22/08 Deportes Rancagua
Chile Tercera
1-1 1-5 44 L
16/08 Naval Talcahuano
Chile Tercera
2-0 4-0 511 W
05/08 Malleco Unido
Chile Tercera
1-0 1-1 95 D
26/07 CD Imperial Unido
Chile Tercera
1-0 1-1 66 D
04/07 Lautaro de Buin
Chile Tercera
3-1 5-1 13 W
20/06 Futuro FC
Chile Tercera
1-0 1-0 56 W
13/06 Club Aguara
Chile Tercera
1-0 1-0 46 W
06/06 CD Constitucion Unido
Chile Tercera
0-0 1-0 86 W
30/05 Puente Alto
Chile Tercera
0-1 1-1 82 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Atletico Oriente vs Comunal Cabrero?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Comunal Cabrero win (38%). Probabilities: Atletico Oriente 35%, draw 26%, Comunal Cabrero 38%.

How many goals are expected in Atletico Oriente vs Comunal Cabrero?

The model expects 3.18 goals (Atletico Oriente 1.55 · Comunal Cabrero 1.62), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Atletico Oriente vs Comunal Cabrero?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.