Prediction: Lautaro de Buin vs Club Aguara
Team pages: Lautaro de Buin · Club Aguara
- Club Aguara1-1Lautaro de Buin
- Lautaro de Buin5-3Club Aguara
- Club Aguara2-3Lautaro de Buin
| Lautaro de Buin | Draw | Club Aguara | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 25% | 22% |
| Market | 54% | 24% | 22% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lautaro de Buin (rating 1557 vs 1494).
- H2H favours Lautaro de Buin: 2-1-0.
- High corners: 11.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 12.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Lautaro de Buin | Club Aguara | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1.5 | 1.3 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.7 | 0.6 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 22/67/11% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 6.9 | 2 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6.4 / 0.4 | 6 / 0.7 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lautaro de Buin 2–1–0 Club Aguara
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/06/26 Chile Tercera | Club Aguara | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Lautaro de Buin |
| 30/08/25 Chile Tercera | Lautaro de Buin | 5-3 HT 0-3 | Club Aguara |
| 17/05/25 Chile Tercera | Club Aguara | 2-3 HT 2-1 | Lautaro de Buin |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Lautaro de Buin | Club Aguara |
|---|---|---|
| Chimbarongo FC | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Malleco Unido | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Rodelindo Roman | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Comunal Cabrero | 1-5 L | 3-2 W |
| Puente Alto | 3-1 W | 3-4 L |
| Deportes Rancagua | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 2 L | 2 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Lautaro de Buin (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lautaro de Buin
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | CD Constitucion Unido Chile Tercera |
2-1 | 4-3 | 7 | 9 | W |
| 23/08 | Chimbarongo FC Chile Tercera |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 20/08 | CD Imperial Unido Chile Tercera |
3-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 15/08 | Malleco Unido Chile Tercera |
0-0 | 1-0 | 11 | 10 | W |
| 01/08 | Rodelindo Roman Chile Tercera |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 11/07 | Atletico Oriente Chile Tercera |
1-2 | 3-3 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 04/07 | Comunal Cabrero Chile Tercera |
1-3 | 1-5 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 26/06 | Club Aguara Chile Tercera |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 13/06 | Puente Alto Chile Tercera |
2-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 10 | W |
| 06/06 | Deportes Rancagua Chile Tercera |
0-0 | 0-2 | 14 | 3 | L |
Club Aguara
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Comunal Cabrero Chile Tercera |
1-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 13/09 | Futuro FC Chile Tercera |
1-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 9 | D |
| 22/08 | Puente Alto Chile Tercera |
1-1 | 3-4 | 10 | 7 | L |
| 16/08 | Deportes Rancagua Chile Tercera |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 08/08 | Naval Talcahuano Chile Tercera |
1-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 11 | L |
| 02/08 | Chimbarongo FC Chile Tercera |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 25/07 | Malleco Unido Chile Tercera |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 11/07 | Rodelindo Roman Chile Tercera |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 05/07 | Quintero Unido Chile Tercera |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 26/06 | Lautaro de Buin Chile Tercera |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lautaro de Buin vs Club Aguara?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Lautaro de Buin win (53%). Probabilities: Lautaro de Buin 53%, draw 24%, Club Aguara 22%.
How many goals are expected in Lautaro de Buin vs Club Aguara?
The model expects 2.9 goals (Lautaro de Buin 1.81 · Club Aguara 1.09), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Lautaro de Buin vs Club Aguara?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.