Football · Chile Tercera · 17/10, 21:00

Prediction: Deportes Rancagua vs Malleco Unido

Team pages: Deportes Rancagua · Malleco Unido

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.06Total
Deportes Rancagua1.59
Malleco Unido1.46
1X2
40% 26% 34%
Deportes Rancagua Draw Malleco Unido
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Deportes Rancagua 7-3-0 (W-D-L)
WDWWWDWWDW
Malleco Unido 6-2-2 (W-D-L)
WWDWWDLWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Deportes Rancagua 1587 · Malleco Unido 1560
Deportes RancaguaDrawMalleco Unido
Our model40%26%34%
Market40%26%34%
Estimated total (ours) 3.06 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

  • High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 11.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Deportes RancaguaMalleco Unido
Goals for / against (FT)2.6 / 1.11.5 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)1.1 / 0.60.6 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/60/10%44/22/33%
Corners (HT / FT)2.7 / 5.91.9 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.8 / 0.66 / 1

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentDeportes RancaguaMalleco Unido
Comunal Cabrero 5-1 W 1-1 D
Club Aguara 1-1 D 1-0 W
CD Constitucion Unido 2-1 W 0-5 L
Puente Alto 5-1 W 2-1 W
Futuro FC 1-0 W 4-1 W
Chimbarongo FC 1-1 D 3-0 W
Record vs common 4 W 2 D 0 L 4 W 1 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Deportes Rancagua

WDWWWDWWDW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
14/10 CD Imperial Unido
Chile Tercera
2-1 4-3 47 W
26/09 Quintero Unido
Chile Tercera
1-1 1-1 19 D
05/09 Naval
Chile Tercera
1-0 4-1 62 W
22/08 Comunal Cabrero
Chile Tercera
1-1 5-1 114 W
16/08 Club Aguara
Chile Tercera
0-1 1-1 107 D
08/08 CD Constitucion Unido
Chile Tercera
1-1 2-1 610 W
01/08 Puente Alto
Chile Tercera
4-0 5-1 74 W
26/07 Futuro FC
Chile Tercera
0-0 1-0 58 W
11/07 Chimbarongo FC
Chile Tercera
0-0 1-1 45 D
27/06 CD Imperial Unido
Chile Tercera
1-1 2-1 58 W

Malleco Unido

WWDWWDLWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
03/10 Chimbarongo FC
Chile Tercera
1-0 3-0 78 W
05/09 CD Constitucion Unido
Chile Tercera
0-5 0-5 49 L
29/08 Rodelindo Roman
Chile Tercera
0-1 2-1 79 W
15/08 Lautaro de Buin
Chile Tercera
0-0 0-1 610 L
05/08 Comunal Cabrero
Chile Tercera
0-1 1-1 45 D
25/07 Club Aguara
Chile Tercera
– 1-0 –– W
12/07 Puente Alto
Chile Tercera
1-0 2-1 35 W
27/06 Naval Talcahuano
Chile Tercera
0-0 1-1 66 D
14/06 Futuro FC
Chile Tercera
2-1 4-1 23 W
03/05 Comunal Cabrero
Chile Tercera
1-0 1-0 38 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Deportes Rancagua vs Malleco Unido?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Deportes Rancagua win (40%). Probabilities: Deportes Rancagua 40%, draw 26%, Malleco Unido 34%.

How many goals are expected in Deportes Rancagua vs Malleco Unido?

The model expects 3.06 goals (Deportes Rancagua 1.59 · Malleco Unido 1.46), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Deportes Rancagua vs Malleco Unido?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.