Football · Chile Tercera · 15/10, 00:00

Prediction: Quintero Unido vs CD Constitucion Unido

Team pages: Quintero Unido · CD Constitucion Unido

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.59Total
Quintero Unido2.3
CD Constitucion Unido1.29
1X2
59% 22% 19%
Quintero Unido Draw CD Constitucion Unido
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
2-1 9%
Recent form · 10 last
Quintero Unido 5-3-2 (W-D-L)
WLLWDWDWDW
CD Constitucion Unido 4-2-4 (W-D-L)
WDDWLLWLWL
Head-to-head
Quintero Unido 2–0 CD Constitucion Unido (2 last)
  • CD Constitucion Unido0-2Quintero Unido
  • Quintero Unido3-2CD Constitucion Unido
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Quintero Unido 1541 · CD Constitucion Unido 1499
Quintero UnidoDrawCD Constitucion Unido
Our model59%21%20%
Market58%23%19%
Estimated total (ours) 3.59 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Quintero Unido (rating 1541 vs 1499).
  • H2H favours Quintero Unido: 2-0-0.
  • High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 12.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Quintero UnidoCD Constitucion Unido
Goals for / against (FT)2.2 / 1.32.2 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)1.2 / 0.71.2 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/50/10%44/22/33%
Corners (HT / FT)2.5 / 5.62.5 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)6.6 / 0.56 / 0.9

Head-to-head (H2H) · Quintero Unido 2–0–0 CD Constitucion Unido

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DateHomeScoreAway
26/07/25
Chile Tercera
CD Constitucion Unido0-2
HT 0-1
Quintero Unido
06/04/25
Chile Tercera
Quintero Unido3-2
HT 0-1
CD Constitucion Unido

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentQuintero UnidoCD Constitucion Unido
Puente Alto 6-4 W 2-1 W
Deportes Rancagua 1-1 D 1-2 L
CD Imperial Unido 4-2 W 2-2 D
Naval Talcahuano 1-0 W 2-3 L
Chimbarongo FC 1-2 L 1-0 W
Lautaro de Buin 0-1 L 3-4 L
Atletico Oriente 3-0 W 5-0 W
Record vs common 4 W 1 D 2 L 3 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Quintero Unido (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Quintero Unido

WLLWDWDWDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
03/10 Puente Alto
Chile Tercera
4-3 6-4 38 W
26/09 Deportes Rancagua
Chile Tercera
1-1 1-1 79 D
15/08 CD Imperial Unido
Chile Tercera
2-0 4-2 44 W
05/07 Club Aguara
Chile Tercera
0-0 1-1 85 D
21/06 Puente Alto
Chile Tercera
2-1 4-1 10 W
13/06 Deportes Rancagua
Chile Tercera
1-1 1-1 39 D
06/06 Naval Talcahuano
Chile Tercera
0-0 1-0 76 W
30/05 Chimbarongo FC
Chile Tercera
0-1 1-2 613 L
25/04 Lautaro de Buin
Chile Tercera
0-0 0-1 510 L
19/04 Atletico Oriente
Chile Tercera
2-0 3-0 127 W

CD Constitucion Unido

WDDWLLWLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
03/10 Lautaro de Buin
Chile Tercera
1-2 3-4 49 L
05/09 Malleco Unido
Chile Tercera
5-0 5-0 39 W
23/08 Futuro FC
Chile Tercera
0-3 0-4 –– L
15/08 Puente Alto
Chile Tercera
0-0 2-1 28 W
08/08 Deportes Rancagua
Chile Tercera
1-1 1-2 510 L
05/08 Naval Talcahuano
Chile Tercera
0-2 2-3 123 L
26/07 Chimbarongo FC
Chile Tercera
– 1-0 –– W
11/07 CD Imperial Unido
Chile Tercera
1-0 2-2 103 D
04/07 Rodelindo Roman
Chile Tercera
1-0 1-1 15 D
13/06 Atletico Oriente
Chile Tercera
2-0 5-0 38 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Quintero Unido vs CD Constitucion Unido?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Quintero Unido win (59%). Probabilities: Quintero Unido 59%, draw 22%, CD Constitucion Unido 19%.

How many goals are expected in Quintero Unido vs CD Constitucion Unido?

The model expects 3.59 goals (Quintero Unido 2.3 · CD Constitucion Unido 1.29), with a 51% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Quintero Unido vs CD Constitucion Unido?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.