Football · England Northern League Division One · 17/10, 16:00

Prediction: Pontefract Collieries vs Bridlington Town

Team pages: Pontefract Collieries · Bridlington Town

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.37Total
Pontefract Collieries1.97
Bridlington Town1.4
1X2
50% 24% 26%
Pontefract Collieries Draw Bridlington Town
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Pontefract Collieries 8-1-1 (W-D-L)
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Bridlington Town 6-3-1 (W-D-L)
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Head-to-head
Pontefract Collieries 2–1–1 Bridlington Town (4 last)
  • Pontefract Collieries2-2Bridlington Town
  • Pontefract Collieries2-3Bridlington Town
  • Bridlington Town0-2Pontefract Collieries
  • Pontefract Collieries2-0Bridlington Town
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Pontefract Collieries 1536 · Bridlington Town 1591
Pontefract CollieriesDrawBridlington Town
Our model50%24%26%
Market50%24%26%
Estimated total (ours) 3.37 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bridlington Town (rating 1536 vs 1591).
  • H2H favours Pontefract Collieries: 2-1-1.
  • High corners: 13.6 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Pontefract CollieriesBridlington Town
Goals for / against (FT)2.5 / 1.32.4 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)1.3 / 0.31.1 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)80/10/10%60/20/20%
Corners (HT / FT)3.4 / 6.34 / 7.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.5 / 0.33.7 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Pontefract Collieries 2–1–1 Bridlington Town

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DateHomeScoreAway
14/02/26
England Northern League Division One
Pontefract Collieries2-2
HT 1-2
Bridlington Town
01/03/25
England Northern League Division One
Pontefract Collieries2-3
HT 0-2
Bridlington Town
26/10/24
England Northern League Division One
Bridlington Town0-2
HT 0-2
Pontefract Collieries
28/09/21
England Northern League Division One
Pontefract Collieries2-0
HT 0-0
Bridlington Town

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentPontefract CollieriesBridlington Town
Grimsby Borough 3-1 W 2-1 W
Ashington 2-1 W 2-2 D
Blyth Town 2-1 W 7-0 W
Record vs common 3 W 0 D 0 L 2 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Pontefract Collieries (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Pontefract Collieries

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
10/10 Grimsby Borough
England Northern League Division One
2-0 3-1 102 W
06/10 Ashington
England Northern League Division One
2-1 2-1 113 W
15/09 Blyth Spartans
England Northern League Division One
1-1 2-1 84 W
31/08 Liversedge
England Northern League Division One
2-0 5-0 47 W
25/04 Dunston UTS
England Northern League Division One
0-1 2-1 82 W
17/04 Emley AFC
England Northern League Division One
1-0 2-2 64 D
04/04 Lincoln Utd
England Northern League Division One
1-0 1-4 14 L
07/03 North Ferriby
England Northern League Division One
1-0 3-1 40 W
28/02 Blyth Town
England Northern League Division One
2-0 2-1 88 W
21/02 Bishop Auckland
England Northern League Division One
1-0 3-1 34 W

Bridlington Town

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
14/10 Stocksbridge PS
England Northern League Division One
0-0 1-0 95 W
15/09 West Auckland
England Northern League Division One
2-0 3-0 103 W
26/08 Grimsby Borough
England Northern League Division One
0-0 2-1 40 W
04/04 Blyth Town
England Northern League Division One
4-0 7-0 113 W
01/04 Grimsby Borough
England Northern League Division One
0-1 2-1 73 W
17/03 Ashington
England Northern League Division One
1-0 2-2 74 D
14/03 Hallam
England Northern League Division One
0-1 1-1 105 D
17/02 Garforth Town
England Northern League Division One
1-0 2-0 64 W
14/02 Pontefract Collieries
England Northern League Division One
2-1 2-2 35 D
20/01 Matlock Town
England Northern League Division One
1-0 2-3 66 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Pontefract Collieries vs Bridlington Town?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Pontefract Collieries win (50%). Probabilities: Pontefract Collieries 50%, draw 24%, Bridlington Town 26%.

How many goals are expected in Pontefract Collieries vs Bridlington Town?

The model expects 3.37 goals (Pontefract Collieries 1.97 · Bridlington Town 1.4), with a 56% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Pontefract Collieries vs Bridlington Town?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.