Prediction: Newcastle Town vs Lower Breck
Team pages: Newcastle Town · Lower Breck
- Newcastle Town3-3Lower Breck
| Newcastle Town | Draw | Lower Breck | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 22% | 29% |
| Market | 49% | 22% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Newcastle Town (rating 1529 vs 1473).
- Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Newcastle Town | Lower Breck | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1.3 | 1.9 / 2.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.5 | 0.9 / 1.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 22/11/67% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 3.8 | 3 / 5.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2 / 0.3 | 4.2 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Newcastle Town 0–1–0 Lower Breck
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/11/25 England Northern League Division One | Newcastle Town | 3-3 HT 3-1 | Lower Breck |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Newcastle Town
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09 | Lichfield City England Northern League Division One |
1-1 | 5-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 25/08 | Chasetown England Northern League Division One |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 11/08 | 1874 Northwich England Northern League Division One |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 28/03 | Shifnal Town England Northern League Division One |
2-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 24/03 | Congleton Town England Northern League Division One |
0-2 | 0-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 21/03 | Mossley England Northern League Division One |
0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 18/03 | Darlaston Town 1874 England Northern League Division One |
1-1 | 3-2 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 03/02 | Sporting Khalsa England Northern League Division One |
2-0 | 3-1 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 20/01 | Congleton Town England Northern League Division One |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 01/01 | Vauxhall Motors England Northern League Division One |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | L |
Lower Breck
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10 | Mossley England Northern League Division One |
0-2 | 1-3 | 12 | 5 | L |
| 23/09 | Atherton Collieries England Northern League Division One |
5-1 | 6-1 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 25/08 | Runcorn Linnets England Northern League Division One |
0-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 18/08 | Clitheroe England Northern League Division One |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 28/04 | Avro FC England Northern League Division One |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 04/04 | Kidsgrove Ath England Northern League Division One |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 17/03 | Trafford England Northern League Division One |
0-1 | 0-4 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 10/02 | Witton Albion England Northern League Division One |
2-1 | 3-4 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 30/12 | Bootle England Northern League Division One |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 22/11 | Newcastle Town England Northern League Division One |
1-3 | 3-3 | 5 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Newcastle Town vs Lower Breck?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Newcastle Town win (49%). Probabilities: Newcastle Town 49%, draw 22%, Lower Breck 29%.
How many goals are expected in Newcastle Town vs Lower Breck?
The model expects 3.79 goals (Newcastle Town 2.15 · Lower Breck 1.65), with a 54% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Newcastle Town vs Lower Breck?
The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.