Football · Argentina Nacional B · 17/10, 22:00

Prediction: Deportivo Moron vs Club Atletico Mitre

Team pages: Deportivo Moron · Club Atletico Mitre

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.55Total

Deportivo Moron1.64

Club Atletico Mitre0.91

1X2

53% 28% 19%

Deportivo Moron Draw Club Atletico Mitre

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Deportivo Moron 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WDDWWWLLWL

Club Atletico Mitre 2-5-3 (W-D-L)

WDLDDDLLWD

Head-to-head

Deportivo Moron 3–2–1 Club Atletico Mitre (6 last)

Club Atletico Mitre1-3Deportivo Moron
Deportivo Moron3-0Club Atletico Mitre
Club Atletico Mitre0-0Deportivo Moron
Deportivo Moron1-2Club Atletico Mitre
Club Atletico Mitre0-0Deportivo Moron
Deportivo Moron1-0Club Atletico Mitre

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Deportivo Moron 1530 · Club Atletico Mitre 1478

	Deportivo Moron	Draw	Club Atletico Mitre
Our model	54%	27%	20%
Market	52%	29%	18%

Estimated total (ours) 2.55 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Deportivo Moron (rating 1530 vs 1478).
H2H favours Deportivo Moron: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Deportivo Moron	Club Atletico Mitre
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.2	0.7 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.1	0.4 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/40/0%	10/70/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 4.3	2 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.8 / 0.4	3.4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.75

X3.10

25.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.77

2 (+0.5)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 21.98

Under 21.82

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.75 → 1.75	Bet365 1.75
X	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
2	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.4%

Time*	1	X	2
01:07 +9’	1.75	3.10	5.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportivo Moron 3–2–1 Club Atletico Mitre

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
31/05/26 Argentina Nacional B	Club Atletico Mitre	1-3 HT 0-2	Deportivo Moron
28/09/25 Argentina Nacional B	Deportivo Moron	3-0 HT 2-0	Club Atletico Mitre
25/05/25 Argentina Nacional B	Club Atletico Mitre	0-0 HT 0-0	Deportivo Moron
22/09/24 Argentina Nacional B	Deportivo Moron	1-2 HT 0-2	Club Atletico Mitre
04/05/24 Argentina Nacional B	Club Atletico Mitre	0-0 HT 0-0	Deportivo Moron
18/09/22 Argentina Nacional B	Deportivo Moron	1-0 HT 0-0	Club Atletico Mitre

Standings · Argentina Nacional B · Primera Nacional 2026, Group A

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Ferro Carril Oeste	32	18	7	7	36	27	61
2	Deportivo Moron	33	17	7	9	51	34	58
3	Godoy Cruz	32	16	8	8	42	29	56
4	Deportivo Madryn	33	14	11	8	47	30	53
5	Colon	33	14	11	8	39	25	53
6	CA Estudiantes Caseros	33	13	9	11	31	27	48
7	Almirante Brown	33	12	11	10	26	22	47
8	Club Ciudad de Bolivar	32	11	12	9	27	28	45
9	Los Andes	32	9	13	10	25	23	40
10	CA Chaco For Ever	33	10	10	13	32	34	40
11	Defensores de Belgrano	33	8	13	12	25	32	37
12	CA San Telmo	32	9	10	13	28	36	37
13	Racing de Cordoba	32	9	10	13	29	39	37
14	Club Atletico Mitre	33	7	15	11	29	39	36
15	Central Norte	32	6	15	11	20	29	33
16	All Boys	32	6	15	11	18	28	33
17	Acassuso	33	8	8	17	25	35	32
18	CA San Miguel	33	6	14	13	26	39	32

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Deportivo Moron	Club Atletico Mitre
Colon	2-1 W	0-0 D
CA San Miguel	2-1 W	2-0 W
Central Norte	0-0 D	2-2 D
CA San Telmo	2-2 D	0-2 L
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 0 L	1 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Deportivo Moron (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Deportivo Moron

WDDWWWLLWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	CA Estudiantes Caseros Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-2	5	7	L
03/10	All Boys Argentina Nacional B	1-0	2-1	9	4	W
27/09	Los Andes Argentina Nacional B	1-0	1-2	2	5	L
20/09	Godoy Cruz Argentina Nacional B	1-1	1-2	8	4	L
13/09	Racing de Cordoba Argentina Nacional B	1-0	2-1	2	4	W
05/09	Colon Argentina Nacional B	2-0	2-1	3	6	W
30/08	CA San Miguel Argentina Nacional B	0-0	2-1	3	7	W
27/08	Central Norte Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-0	7	2	D
21/08	CA San Telmo Argentina Nacional B	2-0	2-2	1	7	D
15/08	Almagro Argentina Nacional B	2-0	2-0	3	6	W

Club Atletico Mitre

WDLDDDLLWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	Colon Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-0	6	2	D
03/10	CA San Miguel Argentina Nacional B	0-0	2-0	5	6	W
27/09	CA San Telmo Argentina Nacional B	0-1	0-2	2	4	L
19/09	Acassuso Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-2	4	0	L
13/09	CA Chaco For Ever Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-0	4	1	D
05/09	Ferro Carril Oeste Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-0	4	5	D
30/08	Central Norte Argentina Nacional B	2-0	2-2	6	2	D
22/08	Deportivo Madryn Argentina Nacional B	0-1	0-4	4	2	L
15/08	CA Guemes Argentina Nacional B	1-1	1-1	4	5	D
09/08	Defensores de Belgrano Argentina Nacional B	1-1	2-1	4	8	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Deportivo Moron vs Club Atletico Mitre?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Deportivo Moron win (53%). Probabilities: Deportivo Moron 53%, draw 28%, Club Atletico Mitre 19%.

How many goals are expected in Deportivo Moron vs Club Atletico Mitre?

The model expects 2.55 goals (Deportivo Moron 1.64 · Club Atletico Mitre 0.91), with a 55% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Deportivo Moron vs Club Atletico Mitre?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.