Football · Algeria Division 2 · 24/10, 16:00

Prediction: CR Beni Thour vs USM Annaba

Team pages: CR Beni Thour · USM Annaba

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.23Total

CR Beni Thour0.93

USM Annaba1.3

1X2

26% 30% 44%

CR Beni Thour Draw USM Annaba

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

CR Beni Thour 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

DWDLWLLLWL

USM Annaba 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

DLLLWLWWLD

Head-to-head

CR Beni Thour 0–1–2 USM Annaba (3 last)

CR Beni Thour0-0USM Annaba
USM Annaba2-1CR Beni Thour
CR Beni Thour0-2USM Annaba

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CR Beni Thour 1466 · USM Annaba 1490

	CR Beni Thour	Draw	USM Annaba
Our model	25%	31%	44%
Market	26%	29%	45%

Estimated total (ours) 2.23 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours USM Annaba: 2-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CR Beni Thour	USM Annaba
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.7	0.9 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.7	0.6 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	33/33/33%	25/38/38%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.4 / 4.8	2 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0	3.1 / 0

Odds Bet365

13.40

X3.10

22.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)2.00

2 (-0.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 21.75

Under 22.05

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:18

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
X	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
2	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
04:12 +6’	3.40	3.10	2.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · CR Beni Thour 0–1–2 USM Annaba

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/04/26 Algeria Division 2	CR Beni Thour	0-0 HT 0-0	USM Annaba
22/11/25 Algeria Division 2	USM Annaba	2-1 HT 1-1	CR Beni Thour
28/12/19 Algeria Cup	CR Beni Thour	0-2	USM Annaba

Standings · Algeria Division 2 · Ligue 2 26/27, Center-East

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	MSP Batna	6	4	2	0	7	3	14
2	JS Azazga	6	3	2	1	8	4	11
3	USM Annaba	6	3	1	2	9	4	10
4	MO Constantine	6	2	4	0	5	3	10
5	NC Magra	6	3	1	2	5	6	10
6	AS Khroub	6	2	3	1	5	4	9
7	JSM Skikda	5	3	0	2	6	4	9
8	NRB Beni Oulbene	6	2	2	2	4	4	8
9	US Chaouia	6	2	2	2	3	5	8
10	MO Bejaia	5	2	1	2	6	4	7
11	Paradou AC	5	2	1	2	5	4	7
12	CA Batna	6	1	3	2	3	4	6
13	NRB Teleghma	6	1	2	3	7	9	5
14	IRB Nezla	5	1	1	3	4	7	4
15	CR Beni Thour	5	1	0	4	5	11	3
16	JS Djijel	5	0	1	4	1	7	1

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CR Beni Thour	USM Annaba
MO Constantine	1-2 L	0-0 D
MO Bejaia	1-3 L	0-1 L
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 2 L	0 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: USM Annaba (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CR Beni Thour

DWDLWLLLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/10	JS Azazga Algeria Division 2	0-1	0-3	1	4	L
13/10	IRB Nezla Algeria Division 2	1-0	2-1	4	6	W
09/10	MSP Batna Algeria Division 2	1-2	1-2	5	9	L
02/10	MO Constantine Algeria Division 2	1-1	1-2	9	5	L
26/09	MO Bejaia Algeria Division 2	–	1-3	–	–	L
09/05	IB Khemis El Khechna Algeria Division 2	1-0	3-2	5	1	W
02/05	US Biskra Algeria Division 2	0-1	0-2	2	1	L
21/04	MSP Batna Algeria Division 2	0-0	0-0	4	1	D
17/04	HB Chelghoum Laid Algeria Division 2	2-1	3-2	10	5	W
10/04	USM Annaba Algeria Division 2	0-0	0-0	3	2	D

USM Annaba

DLLLWLWWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	CA Batna Algeria Division 2	–	0-0	–	–	D
13/10	NRB Teleghma Algeria Division 2	1-2	1-2	5	4	L
09/10	US Chaouia Algeria Division 2	2-0	3-0	4	3	W
02/10	Paradou AC Algeria Division 2	1-1	2-1	7	5	W
26/09	AS Khroub Algeria Division 2	–	0-1	–	–	L
18/09	NC Magra Algeria Division 2	1-0	3-0	0	3	W
09/05	CA Batna Algeria Division 2	0-2	0-2	0	0	L
02/05	MO Bejaia Algeria Division 2	0-0	0-1	4	1	L
21/04	JS Djijel Algeria Division 2	0-1	0-1	5	2	L
17/04	MO Constantine Algeria Division 2	0-0	0-0	11	7	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CR Beni Thour vs USM Annaba?

According to our model, the most likely result is an USM Annaba win (44%). Probabilities: CR Beni Thour 26%, draw 30%, USM Annaba 44%.

How many goals are expected in CR Beni Thour vs USM Annaba?

The model expects 2.23 goals (CR Beni Thour 0.93 · USM Annaba 1.3), with a 54% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in CR Beni Thour vs USM Annaba?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.