Football · Algeria Division 2 · 19/10, 16:00

Prediction: GC Mascara vs USM El Harrach

Team pages: USM El Harrach

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.45Total

GC Mascara1.21

USM El Harrach1.24

1X2

34% 30% 35%

GC Mascara Draw USM El Harrach

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

GC Mascara 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

LWWDDLDDWW

USM El Harrach 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WWDWLWDWLW

Head-to-head

GC Mascara 1–1–2 USM El Harrach (4 last)

GC Mascara1-1USM El Harrach
USM El Harrach4-1GC Mascara
USM El Harrach1-0GC Mascara
GC Mascara1-0USM El Harrach

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · GC Mascara 1520 · USM El Harrach 1544

	GC Mascara	Draw	USM El Harrach
Our model	35%	30%	36%
Market	34%	31%	35%

Estimated total (ours) 2.45 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours USM El Harrach: 2-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	GC Mascara	USM El Harrach
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 0.9	1.8 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.3	0.5 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	33/44/22%	13/75/13%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 4.8	3 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.1 / 0.1	3.1 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.63

X2.90

22.55

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.95

2 (0)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 21.95

Under 21.85

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 2.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 09:14

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.63 → 2.63	Bet365 2.63
X	2.90 → 2.90	Bet365 2.90
2	2.55 → 2.55	Bet365 2.55

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
09:03 +11’	2.63	2.90	2.55

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · GC Mascara 1–1–2 USM El Harrach

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/05/26 Algeria Division 2	GC Mascara	1-1 HT 1-0	USM El Harrach
27/12/25 Algeria Division 2	USM El Harrach	4-1 HT 2-0	GC Mascara
23/04/22 Algeria Division 2	USM El Harrach	1-0	GC Mascara
04/01/22 Algeria Division 2	GC Mascara	1-0 HT 0-0	USM El Harrach

Standings · Algeria Division 2 · Ligue 2 26/27, Center-West

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	USM Blida	6	5	1	0	12	3	16
2	RC Kouba	5	4	1	0	11	1	13
3	MC Saida	5	4	1	0	7	3	13
4	GC Mascara	5	3	2	0	7	1	11
5	ES Mostaganem	6	3	1	2	9	7	10
6	IRB Sidi M'hamed Benali	6	3	1	2	10	10	10
7	USM El Harrach	5	3	1	1	9	6	10
8	ASM Oran	5	3	0	2	10	4	9
9	WA Mostaganem	5	1	3	1	7	7	6
10	NA Hussein Dey	6	2	0	4	7	9	6
11	ESM Kolea	6	2	0	4	7	10	6
12	WA Tlemcen	5	1	1	3	2	7	4
13	JSM Tiaret	6	1	1	4	9	8	4
14	MC El Bayadh	6	0	2	4	1	7	2
15	JRB Taghit	6	0	1	5	2	19	1
16	RC Arba	3	0	0	3	1	9	-4

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	GC Mascara	USM El Harrach
RC Kouba	0-2 L	0-4 L
WA Mostaganem	3-0 W	3-0 W
RC Arba	2-1 W	3-1 W
ASM Oran	2-3 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 2 L	3 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: USM El Harrach (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

GC Mascara

LWWDDLDDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/10	IRB Sidi M'hamed Benali Algeria Division 2	0-0	2-0	14	7	W
09/10	ES Mostaganem Algeria Division 2	–	1-0	–	–	W
03/10	USM Blida Algeria Division 2	1-1	1-1	6	6	D
26/09	MC El Bayadh Algeria Division 2	0-0	0-0	1	2	D
08/05	RC Kouba Algeria Division 2	0-1	0-2	1	4	L
01/05	USM El Harrach Algeria Division 2	1-0	1-1	0	5	D
25/04	MC Saida Algeria Division 2	1-0	1-1	1	0	D
18/04	WA Mostaganem Algeria Division 2	1-0	3-0	6	3	W
10/04	RC Arba Algeria Division 2	0-0	2-1	8	2	W
03/04	ASM Oran Algeria Division 2	0-1	2-3	6	9	L

USM El Harrach

WWDWLWDWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/10	RC Arba Algeria Division 2	1-1	3-1	9	9	W
08/10	RC Kouba Algeria Division 2	0-0	0-4	11	3	L
03/10	JRB Taghit Algeria Division 2	–	4-0	–	–	W
26/09	JSM Tiaret Algeria Division 2	1-1	1-1	2	2	D
19/09	ASM Oran Algeria Division 2	–	1-0	–	–	W
16/05	US Chaouia Algeria Division 2	0-0	1-2	7	4	L
08/05	WA Mostaganem Algeria Division 2	1-0	3-0	5	1	W
01/05	GC Mascara Algeria Division 2	0-1	1-1	3	5	D
25/04	ESM Kolea Algeria Division 2	1-1	2-1	1	0	W
18/04	JS Tixeraine Algeria Division 2	0-0	2-0	4	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in GC Mascara vs USM El Harrach?

According to our model, the most likely result is an USM El Harrach win (35%). Probabilities: GC Mascara 34%, draw 30%, USM El Harrach 35%.

How many goals are expected in GC Mascara vs USM El Harrach?

The model expects 2.45 goals (GC Mascara 1.21 · USM El Harrach 1.24), with a 54% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in GC Mascara vs USM El Harrach?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.