Football · Algeria Division 2 · 24/10, 16:00

Prediction: ESM Kolea vs GC Mascara

Team pages: ESM Kolea · GC Mascara

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.01Total

ESM Kolea1

GC Mascara1.01

1X2

34% 31% 35%

ESM Kolea Draw GC Mascara

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 67% Not both to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

ESM Kolea 1-0-9 (W-D-L)

LLLLLLWLLL

GC Mascara 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

WWDDLDDWWW

Head-to-head

ESM Kolea 3–2–1 GC Mascara (6 last)

GC Mascara1-1ESM Kolea
ESM Kolea1-0GC Mascara
GC Mascara1-0ESM Kolea
ESM Kolea1-0GC Mascara
GC Mascara0-0ESM Kolea
ESM Kolea2-1GC Mascara

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · ESM Kolea 1403 · GC Mascara 1546

	ESM Kolea	Draw	GC Mascara
Our model	33%	33%	34%
Market	35%	29%	36%

Estimated total (ours) 2.01 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours GC Mascara (rating 1403 vs 1546).
H2H favours ESM Kolea: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	ESM Kolea	GC Mascara
Goals for / against (FT)	0.6 / 2	1.2 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.4	0.4 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/70/20%	33/56/11%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 3.7	2.5 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.2 / 0.1	3.7 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.55

X3.10

22.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.93

2 (0)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 2.252.05

Under 2.251.75

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 05:14

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.55 → 2.55	Bet365 2.55
X	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
2	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
05:10 +4’	2.55	3.10	2.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · ESM Kolea 3–2–1 GC Mascara

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/02/26 Algeria Division 2	GC Mascara	1-1 HT 1-0	ESM Kolea
17/10/25 Algeria Division 2	ESM Kolea	1-0 HT 1-0	GC Mascara
12/04/25 Algeria Division 2	GC Mascara	1-0	ESM Kolea
22/11/24 Algeria Division 2	ESM Kolea	1-0 HT 0-0	GC Mascara
11/05/24 Algeria Division 2	GC Mascara	0-0	ESM Kolea
12/01/24 Algeria Division 2	ESM Kolea	2-1 HT 1-0	GC Mascara

Standings · Algeria Division 2 · Ligue 2 26/27, Center-West

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	USM Blida	6	5	1	0	12	3	16
2	RC Kouba	6	4	2	0	11	1	14
3	GC Mascara	6	4	2	0	8	1	14
4	MC Saida	5	4	1	0	7	3	13
5	USM El Harrach	6	3	1	2	9	7	10
6	ES Mostaganem	6	3	1	2	9	7	10
7	IRB Sidi M'hamed Benali	6	3	1	2	10	10	10
8	ASM Oran	6	3	1	2	10	4	10
9	WA Mostaganem	6	1	3	2	8	9	6
10	NA Hussein Dey	6	2	0	4	7	9	6
11	ESM Kolea	6	2	0	4	7	10	6
12	WA Tlemcen	5	1	1	3	2	7	4
13	JSM Tiaret	6	1	1	4	9	8	4
14	MC El Bayadh	6	0	2	4	1	7	2
15	JRB Taghit	6	0	1	5	2	19	1
16	RC Arba	4	1	0	3	3	10	-1

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	ESM Kolea	GC Mascara
IRB Sidi M'hamed Benali	1-3 L	2-0 W
ES Mostaganem	2-3 L	1-0 W
USM Blida	0-1 L	1-1 D
MC El Bayadh	1-0 W	0-0 D
RC Kouba	0-3 L	0-2 L
USM El Harrach	1-2 L	1-0 W
MC Saida	0-2 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 6 L	3 W 3 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: GC Mascara (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

ESM Kolea

LLLLLLWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	IRB Sidi M'hamed Benali Algeria Division 2	0-1	1-3	6	4	L
13/10	ES Mostaganem Algeria Division 2	1-1	2-3	5	5	L
09/10	USM Blida Algeria Division 2	0-0	0-1	3	5	L
03/10	MC El Bayadh Algeria Division 2	1-0	1-0	8	5	W
19/09	RC Kouba Algeria Division 2	0-1	0-3	5	5	L
08/05	NA Hussein Dey Algeria Division 2	0-0	1-3	3	4	L
01/05	WA Tlemcen Algeria Division 2	0-0	0-2	2	3	L
25/04	USM El Harrach Algeria Division 2	1-1	1-2	0	0	L
18/04	JS El Biar Algeria Division 2	0-0	0-1	3	1	L
10/04	MC Saida Algeria Division 2	0-0	0-2	2	1	L

GC Mascara

WWDDLDDWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/10	USM El Harrach Algeria Division 2	0-0	1-0	3	5	W
13/10	IRB Sidi M'hamed Benali Algeria Division 2	0-0	2-0	14	7	W
09/10	ES Mostaganem Algeria Division 2	–	1-0	–	–	W
03/10	USM Blida Algeria Division 2	1-1	1-1	6	6	D
26/09	MC El Bayadh Algeria Division 2	0-0	0-0	1	2	D
08/05	RC Kouba Algeria Division 2	0-1	0-2	1	4	L
01/05	USM El Harrach Algeria Division 2	1-0	1-1	0	5	D
25/04	MC Saida Algeria Division 2	1-0	1-1	1	0	D
18/04	WA Mostaganem Algeria Division 2	1-0	3-0	6	3	W
10/04	RC Arba Algeria Division 2	0-0	2-1	8	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in ESM Kolea vs GC Mascara?

According to our model, the most likely result is an GC Mascara win (35%). Probabilities: ESM Kolea 34%, draw 31%, GC Mascara 35%.

How many goals are expected in ESM Kolea vs GC Mascara?

The model expects 2.01 goals (ESM Kolea 1 · GC Mascara 1.01), with a 57% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in ESM Kolea vs GC Mascara?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.