Football · Bolivia Copa Division Profesional · 04/11, 23:00
Prediction: Nacional Potosi vs Oriente Petrolero
Team pages: Nacional Potosi · Oriente Petrolero
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.32Total
Nacional Potosi2.21
Oriente Petrolero1.11
1X2
Nacional Potosi
Draw
Oriente Petrolero
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
2-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Nacional Potosi
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Oriente Petrolero
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Nacional Potosi
2–2–2
Oriente Petrolero
(6 last)
- Oriente Petrolero3-2Nacional Potosi
- Oriente Petrolero1-0Nacional Potosi
- Oriente Petrolero1-1Nacional Potosi
- Nacional Potosi3-1Oriente Petrolero
- Oriente Petrolero2-2Nacional Potosi
- Nacional Potosi4-1Oriente Petrolero
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nacional Potosi 1559 · Oriente Petrolero 1546
| Nacional Potosi | Draw | Oriente Petrolero | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 21% | 17% |
| Market | 62% | 20% | 18% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.32 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 10.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Nacional Potosi | Oriente Petrolero | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 3 / 1.1 | 1.6 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.5 | 0.9 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/20/20% | 70/10/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.3 | 2.2 / 3.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.1 / 0.3 | 5.4 / 0.7 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Nacional Potosi 2–2–2 Oriente Petrolero
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/10/26 Bolivia Copa Division Profesional | Oriente Petrolero | 3-2 HT 2-0 | Nacional Potosi |
| 03/08/26 Bolivia Primera Division | Oriente Petrolero | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Nacional Potosi |
| 15/11/25 Bolivia Copa Division Profesional | Oriente Petrolero | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Nacional Potosi |
| 12/11/25 Bolivia Copa Division Profesional | Nacional Potosi | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Oriente Petrolero |
| 20/09/25 Bolivia Primera Division | Oriente Petrolero | 2-2 HT 1-0 | Nacional Potosi |
| 30/07/25 Bolivia Primera Division | Nacional Potosi | 4-1 HT 2-0 | Oriente Petrolero |
Standings · Bolivia Copa Division Profesional · Copa Bolivia 2026, Group C
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | The Strongest | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 13 | 14 |
| 2 | Oriente Petrolero | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 9 | 13 |
| 3 | Guabira | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 15 | 12 |
| 4 | Universitario De Vinto | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 17 | 7 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nacional Potosi
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/10 | Oriente Petrolero Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 08/10 | Always Ready Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
2-1 | 3-2 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 03/10 | Real Oruro Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 01/10 | Real Tomayapo Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 26/09 | Always Ready Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
3-0 | 9-0 | – | – | W |
| 23/09 | Real Potosi Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 20/09 | Real Potosi Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 13 | D |
| 09/09 | Real Oruro Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 04/09 | Real Tomayapo Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-0 | 5-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 23/12 | Bolivar Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
2-1 | 4-1 | 3 | 8 | W |
Oriente Petrolero
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/10 | Nacional Potosi Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
2-0 | 3-2 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 08/10 | Universitario De Vinto Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 04/10 | Guabira Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 01/10 | The Strongest Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 27/09 | Universitario De Vinto Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-1 | 0-3 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 21/09 | Blooming Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 10 | W |
| 09/09 | Guabira Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 31/08 | Blooming Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 19/08 | The Strongest Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 7 | L |
| 15/11 | Nacional Potosi Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 7 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nacional Potosi vs Oriente Petrolero?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Nacional Potosi win (62%). Probabilities: Nacional Potosi 62%, draw 21%, Oriente Petrolero 18%.
How many goals are expected in Nacional Potosi vs Oriente Petrolero?
The model expects 3.32 goals (Nacional Potosi 2.21 · Oriente Petrolero 1.11), with a 53% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Nacional Potosi vs Oriente Petrolero?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.