Football · Bolivia Copa Division Profesional · 04/11, 00:00
Prediction: Club Aurora vs Independiente Petrolero
Team pages: Club Aurora · Independiente Petrolero
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.32Total
Club Aurora2.13
Independiente Petrolero1.19
1X2
Club Aurora
Draw
Independiente Petrolero
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Club Aurora
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Independiente Petrolero
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Club Aurora
2–1–3
Independiente Petrolero
(6 last)
- Independiente Petrolero4-0Club Aurora
- Independiente Petrolero1-1Club Aurora
- Club Aurora2-3Independiente Petrolero
- Independiente Petrolero2-4Club Aurora
- Club Aurora2-0Independiente Petrolero
- Independiente Petrolero2-1Club Aurora
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Club Aurora 1521 · Independiente Petrolero 1539
| Club Aurora | Draw | Independiente Petrolero | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 22% | 20% |
| Market | 58% | 22% | 20% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.32 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Independiente Petrolero: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Club Aurora | Independiente Petrolero | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.2 | 2.1 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.8 | 0.7 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.2 / 3.6 | 1.2 / 3.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.7 | 3.6 / 0.6 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Club Aurora 2–1–3 Independiente Petrolero
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10/26 Bolivia Copa Division Profesional | Independiente Petrolero | 4-0 HT 1-0 | Club Aurora |
| 05/08/26 Bolivia Primera Division | Independiente Petrolero | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Club Aurora |
| 04/11/25 Bolivia Primera Division | Club Aurora | 2-3 HT 1-0 | Independiente Petrolero |
| 27/05/25 Bolivia Primera Division | Independiente Petrolero | 2-4 HT 0-2 | Club Aurora |
| 31/10/24 Bolivia Clausura | Club Aurora | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Independiente Petrolero |
| 21/07/24 Bolivia Clausura | Independiente Petrolero | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Club Aurora |
Standings · Bolivia Copa Division Profesional · Copa Bolivia 2026, Group D
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bolivar | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 7 | 18 |
| 2 | Independiente Petrolero | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 11 | 16 |
| 3 | GV San Jose | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 6 |
| 4 | Blooming | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 20 | 4 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Club Aurora
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | Independiente Petrolero Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-1 | 0-4 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 07/10 | Academia de Balompie Boliviano Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 03/10 | Real Potosi Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 30/09 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 25/09 | Academia de Balompie Boliviano Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 19/09 | Universitario De Vinto Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-2 | 4-2 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 09/09 | Real Potosi Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 02/09 | Universitario De Vinto Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 18/08 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 16/11 | The Strongest Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 7 | L |
Independiente Petrolero
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | Club Aurora Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 07/10 | GV San Jose Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 05/10 | Bolivar Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 02/10 | Blooming Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 27/09 | GV San Jose Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 22/09 | Real Tomayapo Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
4-0 | 5-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 11/09 | Bolivar Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 01/09 | Real Tomayapo Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 20/08 | Blooming Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-2 | 5-2 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 09/11 | Nacional Potosi Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Club Aurora vs Independiente Petrolero?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Club Aurora win (58%). Probabilities: Club Aurora 58%, draw 22%, Independiente Petrolero 20%.
How many goals are expected in Club Aurora vs Independiente Petrolero?
The model expects 3.32 goals (Club Aurora 2.13 · Independiente Petrolero 1.19), with a 53% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Club Aurora vs Independiente Petrolero?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.