Football · Bolivia Copa Division Profesional · 13/11, 00:00
Prediction: Real Potosi vs Nacional Potosi
Team pages: Real Potosi · Nacional Potosi
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.93Total
Real Potosi1.49
Nacional Potosi1.44
1X2
Real Potosi
Draw
Nacional Potosi
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Real Potosi
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Nacional Potosi
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Real Potosi
3–3–0
Nacional Potosi
(6 last)
- Nacional Potosi1-1Real Potosi
- Nacional Potosi0-1Real Potosi
- Real Potosi2-2Nacional Potosi
- Real Potosi1-1Nacional Potosi
- Nacional Potosi0-1Real Potosi
- Real Potosi1-0Nacional Potosi
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Real Potosi 1547 · Nacional Potosi 1538
| Real Potosi | Draw | Nacional Potosi | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 27% | 35% |
| Market | 38% | 27% | 35% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.93 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Real Potosi: 3-3-0.
- Cards-heavy: 9.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Real Potosi | Nacional Potosi | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.4 | 3.1 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.9 | 0.9 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/20/40% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 4.3 | 2.3 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.9 / 0.3 | 4.7 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Real Potosi 3–3–0 Nacional Potosi
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11/26 Bolivia Primera Division | Nacional Potosi | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Real Potosi |
| 23/09/26 Bolivia Copa Division Profesional | Nacional Potosi | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Real Potosi |
| 20/09/26 Bolivia Copa Division Profesional | Real Potosi | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Nacional Potosi |
| 12/07/26 Bolivia Primera Division | Real Potosi | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Nacional Potosi |
| 08/02/26 America Friendlies | Nacional Potosi | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Real Potosi |
| 01/02/26 America Friendlies | Real Potosi | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Nacional Potosi |
Standings · Bolivia Copa Division Profesional · Copa Bolivia 2026, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nacional Potosi | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 24 | 7 | 17 |
| 2 | Always Ready | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 22 | 10 |
| 3 | Real Tomayapo | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 10 |
| 4 | Real Oruro | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 7 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Real Potosi
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11 | Bolivar Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 22/10 | Bolivar Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
2-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 9 | W |
| 07/10 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-2 | 4-2 | – | – | W |
| 03/10 | Club Aurora Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 3 | D |
| 30/09 | Academia de Balompie Boliviano Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
2-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 25/09 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-3 | 0-3 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 23/09 | Nacional Potosi Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 20/09 | Nacional Potosi Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 13 | D |
| 09/09 | Club Aurora Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 19/08 | Academia de Balompie Boliviano Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
2-0 | 3-2 | 3 | 5 | W |
Nacional Potosi
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11 | Oriente Petrolero Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-1 | 5-1 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 22/10 | Oriente Petrolero Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 08/10 | Always Ready Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
2-1 | 3-2 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 03/10 | Real Oruro Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 01/10 | Real Tomayapo Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 26/09 | Always Ready Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
3-0 | 9-0 | – | – | W |
| 23/09 | Real Potosi Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 20/09 | Real Potosi Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 13 | D |
| 09/09 | Real Oruro Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 04/09 | Real Tomayapo Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-0 | 5-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Real Potosi vs Nacional Potosi?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Real Potosi win (38%). Probabilities: Real Potosi 38%, draw 27%, Nacional Potosi 35%.
How many goals are expected in Real Potosi vs Nacional Potosi?
The model expects 2.93 goals (Real Potosi 1.49 · Nacional Potosi 1.44), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Real Potosi vs Nacional Potosi?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.