Football · Bolivia Copa Division Profesional · 12/11, 00:00
Prediction: Independiente Petrolero vs Always Ready
Team pages: Independiente Petrolero · Always Ready
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.72Total
Independiente Petrolero1.53
Always Ready2.2
1X2
Independiente Petrolero
Draw
Always Ready
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
1-1 9%
Recent form · 10 last
Independiente Petrolero
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Always Ready
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Independiente Petrolero
1–2–3
Always Ready
(6 last)
- Always Ready2-0Independiente Petrolero
- Independiente Petrolero0-0Always Ready
- Independiente Petrolero5-2Always Ready
- Always Ready5-0Independiente Petrolero
- Independiente Petrolero3-7Always Ready
- Always Ready0-0Independiente Petrolero
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Independiente Petrolero 1517 · Always Ready 1541
| Independiente Petrolero | Draw | Always Ready | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 26% | 22% | 52% |
| Market | 26% | 22% | 52% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.72 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.7
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Always Ready: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Independiente Petrolero | Always Ready | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 1.4 | 1.9 / 2.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.7 | 0.8 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 40/20/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 3.2 | 2.3 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.7 | 4 / 0.6 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Independiente Petrolero 1–2–3 Always Ready
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10/26 Bolivia Primera Division | Always Ready | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Independiente Petrolero |
| 10/05/26 Bolivia Primera Division | Independiente Petrolero | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Always Ready |
| 14/12/25 Bolivia Primera Division | Independiente Petrolero | 5-2 HT 2-1 | Always Ready |
| 20/07/25 Bolivia Primera Division | Always Ready | 5-0 HT 3-0 | Independiente Petrolero |
| 18/12/24 Bolivia Clausura | Independiente Petrolero | 3-7 HT 1-3 | Always Ready |
| 15/09/24 Bolivia Clausura | Always Ready | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Independiente Petrolero |
Standings · Bolivia Copa Division Profesional · Copa Bolivia 2026, Group D
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bolivar | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 7 | 18 |
| 2 | Independiente Petrolero | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 11 | 16 |
| 3 | GV San Jose | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 6 |
| 4 | Blooming | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 20 | 4 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Independiente Petrolero
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11 | Club Aurora Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
2-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 8 | L |
| 21/10 | Club Aurora Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 07/10 | GV San Jose Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 05/10 | Bolivar Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 02/10 | Blooming Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 27/09 | GV San Jose Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 22/09 | Real Tomayapo Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
4-0 | 5-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 11/09 | Bolivar Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 01/09 | Real Tomayapo Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 20/08 | Blooming Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-2 | 5-2 | 6 | 4 | W |
Always Ready
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11 | The Strongest Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
2-1 | 4-1 | 3 | 9 | W |
| 23/10 | The Strongest Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 08/10 | Nacional Potosi Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-2 | 2-3 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 03/10 | Real Tomayapo Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
2-0 | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 30/09 | Real Oruro Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 26/09 | Nacional Potosi Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-3 | 0-9 | – | – | L |
| 19/09 | Academia de Balompie Boliviano Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-2 | 1-4 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 11/09 | Real Tomayapo Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 30/08 | Academia de Balompie Boliviano Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 20/08 | Real Oruro Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
2-1 | 4-2 | 8 | 7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Independiente Petrolero vs Always Ready?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Always Ready win (52%). Probabilities: Independiente Petrolero 26%, draw 22%, Always Ready 52%.
How many goals are expected in Independiente Petrolero vs Always Ready?
The model expects 3.72 goals (Independiente Petrolero 1.53 · Always Ready 2.2), with a 58% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Independiente Petrolero vs Always Ready?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.