Football · Kenya Premier League · 11/10, 15:15
Prediction: AFC Leopards vs Bandari FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.64Total
AFC Leopards1.02
Bandari FC0.61
1X2
AFC Leopards
Draw
Bandari FC
Markets
Under 1.5 goals 50%
Not both to score 56%
Most likely score
0-0 21%
Recent form · 10 last
AFC Leopards
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Bandari FC
2-5-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
AFC Leopards
2–3–1
Bandari FC
(6 last)
- Bandari FC0-0AFC Leopards
- AFC Leopards0-0Bandari FC
- Bandari FC0-0AFC Leopards
- AFC Leopards2-0Bandari FC
- AFC Leopards1-0Bandari FC
- Bandari FC1-0AFC Leopards
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · AFC Leopards 1522 · Bandari FC 1519
| AFC Leopards | Draw | Bandari FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 36% | 20% |
| Market | 46% | 31% | 23% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.64 goals · Bet365 line 1.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 77%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours AFC Leopards: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 5.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| AFC Leopards | Bandari FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1 | 0.7 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.4 | 0.2 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/70/10% | 11/56/33% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 4.5 | 2.3 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.6 / 0 | 2.9 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · AFC Leopards 2–3–1 Bandari FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/02/26 Kenya Premier League | Bandari FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | AFC Leopards |
| 15/10/25 Kenya Premier League | AFC Leopards | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Bandari FC |
| 18/05/25 Kenya Premier League | Bandari FC | 0-0 | AFC Leopards |
| 22/12/24 Kenya Premier League | AFC Leopards | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Bandari FC |
| 05/05/24 Kenya Premier League | AFC Leopards | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Bandari FC |
| 22/10/23 Kenya Premier League | Bandari FC | 1-0 HT 0-0 | AFC Leopards |
Standings · Kenya Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3K FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | AFC Leopards | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | APS Bomet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Bandari FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Gor Mahia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Kakamega Homeboyz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | KCB | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Administration Police FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Mara Sugar FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Mathare United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Migori Youth | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Mombasa United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Muranga Seal | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Nairobi United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Posta Rangers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Shabana FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Tusker | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Ulinzi Stars | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | AFC Leopards | Bandari FC |
|---|---|---|
| Bidco United | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| APS Bomet | 1-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Kakamega Homeboyz | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Ulinzi Stars | 2-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Gor Mahia | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Tusker | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 3 L | 2 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: AFC Leopards (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
AFC Leopards
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/05 | Bidco United Kenya Premier League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 24/05 | APS Bomet Kenya Premier League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 16/05 | Kakamega Homeboyz Kenya Premier League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 13/05 | Ulinzi Stars Kenya Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 09/05 | Mara Sugar FC Kenya Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 26/04 | Gor Mahia Kenya Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 18/04 | Administration Police FC Kenya Premier League |
0-3 | 0-3 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 05/04 | Muranga Seal Kenya Premier League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 29/03 | Kariobangi Sharks Kenya Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 22/03 | Tusker Kenya Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
Bandari FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/05 | Mathare United Kenya Premier League |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 24/05 | Tusker Kenya Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 20/05 | APS Bomet Kenya Premier League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 10/05 | KCB Kenya Premier League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 06/05 | Posta Rangers Kenya Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 25/04 | Ulinzi Stars Kenya Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 19/04 | Gor Mahia Kenya Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 03/04 | Sofapaka FC Kenya Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 28/03 | Bidco United Kenya Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 22/03 | Kakamega Homeboyz Kenya Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in AFC Leopards vs Bandari FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a AFC Leopards win (45%). Probabilities: AFC Leopards 45%, draw 33%, Bandari FC 22%.
How many goals are expected in AFC Leopards vs Bandari FC?
The model expects 1.64 goals (AFC Leopards 1.02 · Bandari FC 0.61), with a 55% chance of under 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in AFC Leopards vs Bandari FC?
The model gives a 56% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.