Football · Venezuela Segunda Division · 11/10, 21:30
Prediction: Atletico El Vigia vs Urena SC
Team pages: Atletico El Vigia · Urena SC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.94Total
Atletico El Vigia1.97
Urena SC0.97
1X2
Atletico El Vigia
Draw
Urena SC
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Atletico El Vigia
8-1-1 (W-D-L)
Urena SC
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Atletico El Vigia
3–1–2
Urena SC
(6 last)
- Urena SC0-1Atletico El Vigia
- Atletico El Vigia1-2Urena SC
- Urena SC1-1Atletico El Vigia
- Urena SC1-0Atletico El Vigia
- Atletico El Vigia3-1Urena SC
- Atletico El Vigia3-1Urena SC
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Atletico El Vigia (rating 1557 vs 1462).
- H2H favours Atletico El Vigia: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 10.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Atletico El Vigia | Urena SC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.3 / 1.3 | 0.9 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.6 | 0.3 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 0/50/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 5 | 2.4 / 5.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.9 / 0.3 | 6 / 0.6 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Atletico El Vigia 3–1–2 Urena SC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08/26 Venezuela Segunda Division | Urena SC | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Atletico El Vigia |
| 24/05/26 Venezuela Segunda Division | Atletico El Vigia | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Urena SC |
| 29/03/26 Venezuela Segunda Division | Urena SC | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Atletico El Vigia |
| 27/09/25 Venezuela Segunda Division | Urena SC | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Atletico El Vigia |
| 17/08/25 Venezuela Segunda Division | Atletico El Vigia | 3-1 HT 2-1 | Urena SC |
| 25/06/25 Venezuela Cup | Atletico El Vigia | 3-1 HT 0-1 | Urena SC |
Standings · Venezuela Segunda Division · Segunda Division 2026, Central-West
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CD Lara | 29 | 19 | 6 | 4 | 51 | 22 | 63 |
| 2 | Barquisimeto | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 54 | 35 | 53 |
| 3 | Yaracuyanos | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 44 | 30 | 49 |
| 4 | Urena SC | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 41 | 34 | 46 |
| 5 | Zamora II | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 46 | 44 | 40 |
| 6 | Atletico El Vigia | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 40 | 50 | 40 |
| 7 | Academia Puerto Cabello II | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 38 | 44 | 34 |
| 8 | Atletico Barinas | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 50 | 61 | 32 |
| 9 | Real Frontera | 29 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 22 | 66 | 12 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Atletico El Vigia | Urena SC |
|---|---|---|
| Barquisimeto | 4-2 W | 0-3 L |
| Zamora II | 4-3 W | 0-3 L |
| Academia Puerto Cabello II | 1-1 D | 3-2 W |
| Real Frontera | 3-1 W | 1-0 W |
| CD Lara | 0-3 L | 0-1 L |
| Yaracuyanos | 1-0 W | 3-4 L |
| Atletico Barinas | 2-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 5 W 1 D 1 L | 2 W 1 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Atletico El Vigia (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Atletico El Vigia
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | Barquisimeto Venezuela Segunda Division |
1-1 | 4-2 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 30/09 | Zamora II Venezuela Segunda Division |
1-1 | 4-3 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 25/09 | Academia Puerto Cabello II Venezuela Segunda Division |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 20/09 | Real Frontera Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 17/09 | CD Lara Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-1 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 13/09 | Yaracuyanos Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 02/09 | Atletico Barinas Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-1 | 2-1 | 13 | 4 | W |
| 30/08 | Urena SC Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 23/08 | Barquisimeto Venezuela Segunda Division |
2-1 | 5-2 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 15/08 | Zamora II Venezuela Segunda Division |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
Urena SC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Atletico Barinas Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 27/09 | Barquisimeto Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-2 | 0-3 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 20/09 | Zamora II Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-1 | 0-3 | 10 | 6 | L |
| 17/09 | Academia Puerto Cabello II Venezuela Segunda Division |
1-2 | 3-2 | 2 | 9 | W |
| 13/09 | Real Frontera Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 06/09 | CD Lara Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-1 | 0-1 | 10 | 11 | L |
| 02/09 | Yaracuyanos Venezuela Segunda Division |
2-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 30/08 | Atletico El Vigia Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 23/08 | Atletico Barinas Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 09/08 | Barquisimeto Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 8 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Atletico El Vigia vs Urena SC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Atletico El Vigia win (60%). Probabilities: Atletico El Vigia 60%, draw 23%, Urena SC 17%.
How many goals are expected in Atletico El Vigia vs Urena SC?
The model expects 2.94 goals (Atletico El Vigia 1.97 · Urena SC 0.97), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Atletico El Vigia vs Urena SC?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.