Football · Venezuela Segunda Division · 18/10, 21:30

Prediction: Monagas II vs Deportivo Miranda FC

Team pages: Monagas II · Deportivo Miranda FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.64Total

Monagas II1.42

Deportivo Miranda FC1.21

1X2

41% 28% 31%

Monagas II Draw Deportivo Miranda FC

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Monagas II 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

DWLWDDWWLW

Deportivo Miranda FC 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WWWWDLLWLW

Head-to-head

Monagas II 1–2–3 Deportivo Miranda FC (6 last)

Deportivo Miranda FC1-1Monagas II
Monagas II2-0Deportivo Miranda FC
Deportivo Miranda FC0-0Monagas II
Monagas II2-3Deportivo Miranda FC
Deportivo Miranda FC2-1Monagas II
Monagas II1-2Deportivo Miranda FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Monagas II 1544 · Deportivo Miranda FC 1503

	Monagas II	Draw	Deportivo Miranda FC
Our model	41%	28%	31%
Market	41%	28%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 2.64 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Monagas II (rating 1544 vs 1503).
H2H favours Deportivo Miranda FC: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 12 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Monagas II	Deportivo Miranda FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.3	2.3 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.6	1.2 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/60/10%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.4	2.4 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.9 / 0.4	6.1 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

12.20

X3.20

22.88

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.00

2 (+0.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.52.00

Under 2.51.80

Diff.: 0.95 · xG: 3.45

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 12:29

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.05 → 2.20▲	Bet365 2.20
X	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
2	3.10 → 2.88▼	Bet365 2.88

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
17:55 +9’	2.05	3.20	3.10
10:11 +3’	2.20▲	3.10▼	2.90▼
12:25 +4’	2.20	3.20▲	2.88▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 2.25

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

Our recommendation on this match 4 odds moves recorded

Go premium to see the odds journey

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Monagas II 1–2–3 Deportivo Miranda FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
30/08/26 Venezuela Segunda Division	Deportivo Miranda FC	1-1 HT 1-1	Monagas II
31/05/26 Venezuela Segunda Division	Monagas II	2-0 HT 1-0	Deportivo Miranda FC
05/04/26 Venezuela Segunda Division	Deportivo Miranda FC	0-0 HT 0-0	Monagas II
21/09/25 Venezuela Segunda Division	Monagas II	2-3 HT 1-1	Deportivo Miranda FC
10/08/25 Venezuela Segunda Division	Deportivo Miranda FC	2-1 HT 0-0	Monagas II
15/06/25 Venezuela Segunda Division	Monagas II	1-2 HT 0-1	Deportivo Miranda FC

Standings · Venezuela Segunda Division · Segunda Division 2026, Central-East

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Monagas II	26	15	6	5	44	26	51
2	Deportivo Miranda FC	26	14	5	7	39	23	47
3	Aragua	26	12	9	5	32	17	45
4	Bolivar SC	26	13	4	9	34	29	43
5	Dynamo Puerto FC	26	9	8	9	32	30	35
6	Mineros	26	5	9	12	29	36	24
7	CS Maritimo de La Guaira	26	5	5	16	16	49	20
8	Atletico Avila	26	3	10	13	16	32	19

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Monagas II	Deportivo Miranda FC
Atletico Avila	1-0 W	4-0 W
Bolivar SC	1-2 L	1-2 L
Mineros	2-1 W	2-3 L
Dynamo Puerto FC	2-1 W	4-2 W
Aragua	2-2 D	1-2 L
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 1 L	2 W 0 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Monagas II

DWLWDDWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Atletico Avila Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
04/10	Bolivar SC Venezuela Segunda Division	1-1	1-2	1	9	L
27/09	Mineros Venezuela Segunda Division	1-1	2-1	6	8	W
13/09	Dynamo Puerto FC Venezuela Segunda Division	0-1	2-1	9	4	W
05/09	Aragua Venezuela Segunda Division	1-0	2-2	6	4	D
30/08	Deportivo Miranda FC Venezuela Segunda Division	1-1	1-1	2	5	D
23/08	Atletico Avila Venezuela Segunda Division	1-0	3-0	2	5	W
16/08	Bolivar SC Venezuela Segunda Division	2-1	2-3	8	6	L
09/08	Mineros Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	2-1	2	7	W
26/07	Dynamo Puerto FC Venezuela Segunda Division	1-1	2-2	4	9	D

Deportivo Miranda FC

WWWWDLLWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	Dynamo Puerto FC Venezuela Segunda Division	1-1	4-2	4	8	W
04/10	Mineros Venezuela Segunda Division	2-2	2-3	4	5	L
20/09	Atletico Avila Venezuela Segunda Division	1-0	4-0	6	4	W
13/09	Aragua Venezuela Segunda Division	0-1	1-2	6	4	L
06/09	Bolivar SC Venezuela Segunda Division	0-1	1-2	8	7	L
30/08	Monagas II Venezuela Segunda Division	1-1	1-1	6	5	D
23/08	Dynamo Puerto FC Venezuela Segunda Division	3-0	3-1	0	7	W
16/08	Mineros Venezuela Segunda Division	2-0	4-3	4	9	W
02/08	Atletico Avila Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	1-0	12	10	W
26/07	Aragua Venezuela Segunda Division	2-0	2-1	2	6	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Monagas II vs Deportivo Miranda FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Monagas II win (41%). Probabilities: Monagas II 41%, draw 28%, Deportivo Miranda FC 31%.

How many goals are expected in Monagas II vs Deportivo Miranda FC?

The model expects 2.64 goals (Monagas II 1.42 · Deportivo Miranda FC 1.21), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Monagas II vs Deportivo Miranda FC?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.