Football · Venezuela Segunda Division · 10/10, 21:30
Prediction: Monagas II vs Atletico Avila
Team pages: Monagas II · Atletico Avila
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.54Total
Monagas II1.99
Atletico Avila0.56
1X2
Monagas II
Draw
Atletico Avila
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53%
Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
2-0 16%
Recent form · 10 last
Monagas II
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Atletico Avila
0-2-8 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Monagas II
3–0
Atletico Avila
(3 last)
- Atletico Avila0-3Monagas II
- Monagas II2-0Atletico Avila
- Atletico Avila0-1Monagas II
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Monagas II (rating 1555 vs 1395).
- H2H favours Monagas II: 3-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 11.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Monagas II | Atletico Avila | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 1.4 | 0.3 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.6 | 0.1 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 10/40/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4.3 | 1.7 / 3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6.1 / 0.4 | 5.2 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Monagas II 3–0–0 Atletico Avila
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08/26 Venezuela Segunda Division | Atletico Avila | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Monagas II |
| 22/05/26 Venezuela Segunda Division | Monagas II | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Atletico Avila |
| 29/03/26 Venezuela Segunda Division | Atletico Avila | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Monagas II |
Standings · Venezuela Segunda Division · Segunda Division 2026, Central-East
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Monagas II | 25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 43 | 26 | 48 |
| 2 | Deportivo Miranda FC | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 35 | 21 | 44 |
| 3 | Aragua | 25 | 11 | 9 | 5 | 29 | 17 | 42 |
| 4 | Bolivar SC | 25 | 12 | 4 | 9 | 31 | 29 | 40 |
| 5 | Dynamo Puerto FC | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 30 | 26 | 35 |
| 6 | Mineros | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 29 | 33 | 24 |
| 7 | CS Maritimo de La Guaira | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 16 | 46 | 20 |
| 8 | Atletico Avila | 25 | 3 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 31 | 19 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Monagas II | Atletico Avila |
|---|---|---|
| Bolivar SC | 1-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Mineros | 2-1 W | 0-2 L |
| Dynamo Puerto FC | 2-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Aragua | 2-2 D | 0-1 L |
| Deportivo Miranda FC | 1-1 D | 0-4 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 1 L | 0 W 0 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Monagas II (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Monagas II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Bolivar SC Venezuela Segunda Division |
1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 9 | L |
| 27/09 | Mineros Venezuela Segunda Division |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 8 | W |
| 13/09 | Dynamo Puerto FC Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 05/09 | Aragua Venezuela Segunda Division |
1-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 30/08 | Deportivo Miranda FC Venezuela Segunda Division |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 23/08 | Atletico Avila Venezuela Segunda Division |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 16/08 | Bolivar SC Venezuela Segunda Division |
2-1 | 2-3 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 09/08 | Mineros Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 26/07 | Dynamo Puerto FC Venezuela Segunda Division |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 9 | D |
| 06/06 | Aragua Venezuela Segunda Division |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 8 | W |
Atletico Avila
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Dynamo Puerto FC Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 27/09 | Aragua Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 20/09 | Deportivo Miranda FC Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-1 | 0-4 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 06/09 | Mineros Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 30/08 | Bolivar SC Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 23/08 | Monagas II Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-1 | 0-3 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 16/08 | Dynamo Puerto FC Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 8 | L |
| 09/08 | Aragua Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 02/08 | Deportivo Miranda FC Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 10 | L |
| 07/06 | Mineros Venezuela Segunda Division |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Monagas II vs Atletico Avila?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Monagas II win (71%). Probabilities: Monagas II 71%, draw 21%, Atletico Avila 8%.
How many goals are expected in Monagas II vs Atletico Avila?
The model expects 2.54 goals (Monagas II 1.99 · Atletico Avila 0.56), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Monagas II vs Atletico Avila?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.