Football · Bolivia Primera Division · 16/10, 21:00

Prediction: Academia de Balompie Boliviano vs Real Potosi

Team pages: Academia de Balompie Boliviano · Real Potosi

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.54Total

Academia de Balompie Boliviano1.27

Real Potosi1.27

1X2

36% 27% 36%

Academia de Balompie Boliviano Draw Real Potosi

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Academia de Balompie Boliviano 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

DWLLDLWLLL

Real Potosi 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

DWWDDLDWWW

Head-to-head

Academia de Balompie Boliviano 0–3 Real Potosi (3 last)

Real Potosi3-1Academia de Balompie Boliviano
Academia de Balompie Boliviano2-3Real Potosi
Real Potosi3-1Academia de Balompie Boliviano

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Academia de Balompie Boliviano 1425 · Real Potosi 1567

	Academia de Balompie Boliviano	Draw	Real Potosi
Our model	35%	29%	35%
Market	37%	26%	37%

Estimated total (ours) 2.54 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Real Potosi (rating 1425 vs 1567).
H2H favours Real Potosi: 3-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Academia de Balompie Boliviano	Real Potosi
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 2	1.1 / 0.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.3	0.4 / 0.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/30/20%	30/70/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.5 / 3.1	2.6 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.2	5.1 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

12.50

X3.60

22.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.90

2 (0)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 32.02

Under 31.77

Diff.: 0.65 · xG: 2.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 21:39

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.8%

Time*	1	X	2
21:37 +2’	2.50	3.60	2.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Academia de Balompie Boliviano 0–0–3 Real Potosi

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Date	Home	Score	Away
30/09/26 Bolivia Copa Division Profesional	Real Potosi	3-1 HT 2-0	Academia de Balompie Boliviano
19/08/26 Bolivia Copa Division Profesional	Academia de Balompie Boliviano	2-3 HT 0-2	Real Potosi
09/07/26 Bolivia Primera Division	Real Potosi	3-1 HT 2-1	Academia de Balompie Boliviano

Standings · Bolivia Primera Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Bolivar	21	15	3	3	55	22	48
2	Always Ready	20	13	6	1	47	13	45
3	The Strongest	21	12	6	3	39	23	42
4	Real Potosi	21	9	8	4	28	14	35
5	Oriente Petrolero	21	10	3	8	37	27	33
6	Club Aurora	21	7	10	4	33	29	31
7	Guabira	21	8	5	8	33	43	29
8	Nacional Potosi	21	8	4	9	32	30	28
9	Blooming	21	6	9	6	30	23	27
10	Independiente Petrolero	20	7	4	9	27	35	25
11	Real Oruro	21	7	3	11	35	51	24
12	San Antonio Bulo Bulo	21	6	3	12	21	40	21
13	Academia de Balompie Boliviano	21	6	2	13	31	46	20
14	Universitario De Vinto	21	5	3	13	27	42	18
15	Real Tomayapo	21	4	5	12	15	39	17
16	GV San Jose	21	3	8	10	25	38	17

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Academia de Balompie Boliviano	Real Potosi
Oriente Petrolero	0-1 L	2-1 W
The Strongest	1-2 L	1-0 W
Blooming	1-6 L	2-0 W
Universitario De Vinto	2-0 W	2-0 W
GV San Jose	2-2 D	0-0 D
Guabira	0-1 L	1-1 D
Real Oruro	4-1 W	2-0 W
Real Tomayapo	1-1 D	0-1 L
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 4 L	5 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Real Potosi (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Academia de Balompie Boliviano

DWLLDLWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	Oriente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	0-1	1	5	L
15/09	The Strongest Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	1-2	2	9	L
13/09	Blooming Bolivia Primera Division	0-2	1-6	3	4	L
04/09	Universitario De Vinto Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	2-0	0	4	W
28/08	Bolivar Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	1-4	6	3	L
22/08	GV San Jose Bolivia Primera Division	2-0	2-2	3	6	D
16/08	Nacional Potosi Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	0-2	1	0	L
07/08	Guabira Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	0-1	9	2	L
04/08	Real Oruro Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	4-1	5	4	W
01/08	Real Tomayapo Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	1-1	1	5	D

Real Potosi

DWWDDLDWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	The Strongest Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	1-0	9	5	W
15/09	Real Oruro Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	2-0	9	3	W
12/09	Oriente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	2-1	3	9	W
05/09	Guabira Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	1-1	2	7	D
27/08	Real Tomayapo Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	0-1	4	9	L
22/08	Club Aurora Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	0-0	4	4	D
16/08	Always Ready Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	1-1	7	6	D
09/08	Blooming Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	2-0	9	4	W
06/08	Universitario De Vinto Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	2-0	3	6	W
02/08	GV San Jose Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	0-0	7	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Academia de Balompie Boliviano vs Real Potosi?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Academia de Balompie Boliviano win (36%). Probabilities: Academia de Balompie Boliviano 36%, draw 27%, Real Potosi 36%.

How many goals are expected in Academia de Balompie Boliviano vs Real Potosi?

The model expects 2.54 goals (Academia de Balompie Boliviano 1.27 · Real Potosi 1.27), with a 60% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Academia de Balompie Boliviano vs Real Potosi?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.