Football · Argentina Nacional B · 10/10, 22:00

Prediction: CA Colegiales vs Tristan Suarez

Team pages: CA Colegiales · Tristan Suarez

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.49Total

CA Colegiales0.76

Tristan Suarez0.73

1X2

32% 39% 30%

CA Colegiales Draw Tristan Suarez

Markets

Under 1.5 goals 51% Not both to score 57%

Most likely score

0-0 24%

Recent form · 10 last

CA Colegiales 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

DLDWWLWLWW

Tristan Suarez 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

WWWLWDDDWD

Head-to-head

CA Colegiales 3–2–1 Tristan Suarez (6 last)

Tristan Suarez0-0CA Colegiales
Tristan Suarez2-2CA Colegiales
CA Colegiales1-0Tristan Suarez
CA Colegiales1-0Tristan Suarez
Tristan Suarez3-1CA Colegiales
CA Colegiales3-1Tristan Suarez

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CA Colegiales 1522 · Tristan Suarez 1552

	CA Colegiales	Draw	Tristan Suarez
Our model	31%	39%	29%
Market	32%	38%	30%

Estimated total (ours) 1.49 goals · Bet365 line 1.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 76%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours CA Colegiales: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CA Colegiales	Tristan Suarez
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1	1.1 / 0.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.5	0.7 / 0
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	50/50/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 6.1	1.6 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5 / 0.2	3.3 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.90

X2.45

23.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.85

2 (0)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 1.51.85

Under 1.51.95

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 1.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:37

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.90 → 2.90	Bet365 2.90
X	2.45 → 2.45	Bet365 2.45
2	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.6%

Time*	1	X	2
02:32 +5’	2.90	2.45	3.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · CA Colegiales 3–2–1 Tristan Suarez

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/05/26 Argentina Nacional B	Tristan Suarez	0-0 HT 0-0	CA Colegiales
14/09/25 Argentina Nacional B	Tristan Suarez	2-2 HT 1-1	CA Colegiales
10/05/25 Argentina Nacional B	CA Colegiales	1-0 HT 1-0	Tristan Suarez
01/03/20 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	CA Colegiales	1-0 HT 0-0	Tristan Suarez
13/09/19 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	Tristan Suarez	3-1 HT 1-1	CA Colegiales
28/04/19 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	CA Colegiales	3-1 HT 2-0	Tristan Suarez

Standings · Argentina Nacional B · Primera Nacional 2026, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Tristan Suarez	32	15	13	4	32	15	58
2	Club Atletico Temperley	32	15	11	6	38	26	56
3	Gimnasia Jujuy	32	15	9	8	48	40	54
4	CA Atlanta	31	16	4	11	35	28	52
5	Gimnasia y Tiro	31	13	9	9	32	27	48
6	Ferrocarril Midland	31	13	8	10	34	26	47
7	San Martin SJ	31	12	9	10	33	30	45
8	Deportivo Maipu	31	12	8	11	38	31	44
9	CA Colegiales	31	12	7	12	31	31	43
10	Atletico Rafaela	31	11	9	11	25	27	42
11	San Martin de Tucuman	31	9	13	9	34	32	40
12	Quilmes	32	10	9	13	30	27	39
13	Nueva Chicago	31	9	9	13	23	29	36
14	Agropecuario	31	9	9	13	26	35	36
15	Almagro	31	9	8	14	26	37	35
16	Patronato Parana	31	6	16	9	27	31	34
17	Chacarita Juniors	31	8	6	17	23	33	30
18	CA Guemes	31	5	8	18	23	53	23

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CA Colegiales	Tristan Suarez
San Martin SJ	0-2 L	0-0 D
Ferrocarril Midland	3-0 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 1 L	1 W 1 D 0 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CA Colegiales

DLDWWLWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/10	CA Guemes Argentina Nacional B	0-0	1-0	8	4	W
27/09	Chacarita Juniors Argentina Nacional B	2-1	2-1	1	9	W
20/09	San Martin SJ Argentina Nacional B	0-1	0-2	10	6	L
12/09	Nueva Chicago Argentina Nacional B	1-0	1-0	4	7	W
06/09	Club Atletico Temperley Argentina Nacional B	1-1	1-3	13	5	L
03/09	Ferrocarril Midland Argentina Nacional B	2-0	3-0	2	5	W
29/08	Deportivo Maipu Argentina Nacional B	0-0	1-0	8	6	W
22/08	Almagro Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
15/08	CA San Miguel Argentina Nacional B	0-1	0-2	8	4	L
09/08	Patronato Parana Argentina Nacional B	0-1	2-2	4	3	D

Tristan Suarez

WWWLWDDDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	Quilmes Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-0	4	4	D
27/09	Ferrocarril Midland Argentina Nacional B	1-0	1-0	3	5	W
21/09	CA Atlanta Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-0	4	5	D
16/09	San Martin SJ Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-0	2	2	D
12/09	Gimnasia y Tiro Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-0	1	1	D
05/09	San Martin de Tucuman Argentina Nacional B	1-0	2-0	4	2	W
29/08	Atletico Rafaela Argentina Nacional B	1-0	1-2	2	8	L
22/08	Agropecuario Argentina Nacional B	0-0	2-0	9	4	W
16/08	Almirante Brown Argentina Nacional B	2-0	3-1	4	4	W
10/08	Gimnasia Jujuy Argentina Nacional B	2-0	2-0	4	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CA Colegiales vs Tristan Suarez?

According to our model, the most likely result is a draw (39%). Probabilities: CA Colegiales 32%, draw 39%, Tristan Suarez 30%.

How many goals are expected in CA Colegiales vs Tristan Suarez?

The model expects 1.49 goals (CA Colegiales 0.76 · Tristan Suarez 0.73), with a 51% chance of under 1.5 goals.

Will both teams score in CA Colegiales vs Tristan Suarez?

The model gives a 57% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.