Football · Argentina Nacional B · 17/10, 22:00
Prediction: CA San Telmo vs Defensores de Belgrano
Team pages: CA San Telmo · Defensores de Belgrano
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.07Total
CA San Telmo1.04
Defensores de Belgrano1.04
1X2
CA San Telmo
Draw
Defensores de Belgrano
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 66%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
CA San Telmo
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Defensores de Belgrano
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
CA San Telmo
2–4
Defensores de Belgrano
(6 last)
- Defensores de Belgrano1-0CA San Telmo
- Defensores de Belgrano1-2CA San Telmo
- CA San Telmo0-3Defensores de Belgrano
- CA San Telmo1-2Defensores de Belgrano
- Defensores de Belgrano0-1CA San Telmo
- Defensores de Belgrano2-0CA San Telmo
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · CA San Telmo 1501 · Defensores de Belgrano 1487
| CA San Telmo | Draw | Defensores de Belgrano | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 33% | 34% |
| Market | 33% | 33% | 33% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.07 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Defensores de Belgrano: 4-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CA San Telmo | Defensores de Belgrano | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.3 | 0.9 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.6 | 0.5 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 30/20/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4.9 | 2.3 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0.3 | 3.9 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · CA San Telmo 2–0–4 Defensores de Belgrano
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/05/26 Argentina Nacional B | Defensores de Belgrano | 1-0 HT 1-0 | CA San Telmo |
| 31/07/25 Argentina Nacional B | Defensores de Belgrano | 1-2 HT 0-1 | CA San Telmo |
| 23/02/25 Argentina Nacional B | CA San Telmo | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Defensores de Belgrano |
| 18/08/24 Argentina Nacional B | CA San Telmo | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Defensores de Belgrano |
| 01/04/24 Argentina Nacional B | Defensores de Belgrano | 0-1 HT 0-1 | CA San Telmo |
| 18/06/23 Argentina Nacional B | Defensores de Belgrano | 2-0 HT 1-0 | CA San Telmo |
Standings · Argentina Nacional B · Primera Nacional 2026, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ferro Carril Oeste | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 36 | 27 | 61 |
| 2 | Deportivo Moron | 33 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 51 | 34 | 58 |
| 3 | Godoy Cruz | 32 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 42 | 29 | 56 |
| 4 | Deportivo Madryn | 33 | 14 | 11 | 8 | 47 | 30 | 53 |
| 5 | Colon | 33 | 14 | 11 | 8 | 39 | 25 | 53 |
| 6 | CA Estudiantes Caseros | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 31 | 27 | 48 |
| 7 | Almirante Brown | 33 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 26 | 22 | 47 |
| 8 | Club Ciudad de Bolivar | 32 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 27 | 28 | 45 |
| 9 | Los Andes | 32 | 9 | 13 | 10 | 25 | 23 | 40 |
| 10 | CA Chaco For Ever | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 32 | 34 | 40 |
| 11 | Defensores de Belgrano | 33 | 8 | 13 | 12 | 25 | 32 | 37 |
| 12 | CA San Telmo | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 28 | 36 | 37 |
| 13 | Racing de Cordoba | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 29 | 39 | 37 |
| 14 | Club Atletico Mitre | 33 | 7 | 15 | 11 | 29 | 39 | 36 |
| 15 | Central Norte | 32 | 6 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 29 | 33 |
| 16 | All Boys | 32 | 6 | 15 | 11 | 18 | 28 | 33 |
| 17 | Acassuso | 33 | 8 | 8 | 17 | 25 | 35 | 32 |
| 18 | CA San Miguel | 33 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 26 | 39 | 32 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | CA San Telmo | Defensores de Belgrano |
|---|---|---|
| Almirante Brown | 3-2 W | 0-2 L |
| Los Andes | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Acassuso | 2-1 W | 0-3 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 0 L | 0 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: CA San Telmo (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CA San Telmo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Almirante Brown Argentina Nacional B |
2-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 27/09 | Club Atletico Mitre Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 19/09 | CA Estudiantes Caseros Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 12/09 | All Boys Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 05/09 | Los Andes Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | D |
| 30/08 | Godoy Cruz Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-3 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 26/08 | Acassuso Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 21/08 | Deportivo Moron Argentina Nacional B |
0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 16/08 | Quilmes Argentina Nacional B |
0-2 | 0-3 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 09/08 | Colon Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 8 | L |
Defensores de Belgrano
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Acassuso Argentina Nacional B |
0-2 | 0-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 04/10 | CA Chaco For Ever Argentina Nacional B |
0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 27/09 | Ferro Carril Oeste Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 20/09 | Central Norte Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 14/09 | Deportivo Madryn Argentina Nacional B |
2-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 9 | W |
| 09/09 | Los Andes Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 0 | D |
| 04/09 | Racing de Cordoba Argentina Nacional B |
2-0 | 3-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 29/08 | Club Ciudad de Bolivar Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 22/08 | Almirante Brown Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 15/08 | Atletico Rafaela Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CA San Telmo vs Defensores de Belgrano?
According to our model, the most likely result is a CA San Telmo win (33%). Probabilities: CA San Telmo 33%, draw 33%, Defensores de Belgrano 33%.
How many goals are expected in CA San Telmo vs Defensores de Belgrano?
The model expects 2.07 goals (CA San Telmo 1.04 · Defensores de Belgrano 1.04), with a 53% chance of over 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in CA San Telmo vs Defensores de Belgrano?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.