Football · Argentina Nacional B · 18/10, 22:00
Prediction: CA Guemes vs Almagro
Team pages: CA Guemes · Almagro
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.88Total
CA Guemes0.83
Almagro1.04
1X2
CA Guemes
Draw
Almagro
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 57%
Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
0-0 17%
Recent form · 10 last
CA Guemes
0-4-6 (W-D-L)
Almagro
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
CA Guemes
2–2–2
Almagro
(6 last)
- Almagro2-0CA Guemes
- Almagro0-1CA Guemes
- CA Guemes1-1Almagro
- CA Guemes1-0Almagro
- Almagro1-1CA Guemes
- CA Guemes1-2Almagro
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · CA Guemes 1403 · Almagro 1497
| CA Guemes | Draw | Almagro | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 27% | 34% | 38% |
| Market | 29% | 32% | 40% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.88 goals · Bet365 line 2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 63%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Almagro (rating 1403 vs 1497).
- Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CA Guemes | Almagro | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.3 / 1.4 | 1 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.6 | 0.5 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 0/80/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 2.8 | 1.5 / 3.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0.1 | 4.6 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · CA Guemes 2–2–2 Almagro
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/05/26 Argentina Nacional B | Almagro | 2-0 HT 0-0 | CA Guemes |
| 04/10/25 Argentina Nacional B | Almagro | 0-1 HT 0-0 | CA Guemes |
| 31/05/25 Argentina Nacional B | CA Guemes | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Almagro |
| 16/10/23 Argentina Nacional B | CA Guemes | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Almagro |
| 03/06/23 Argentina Nacional B | Almagro | 1-1 HT 0-0 | CA Guemes |
| 20/06/22 Argentina Nacional B | CA Guemes | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Almagro |
Standings · Argentina Nacional B · Primera Nacional 2026, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tristan Suarez | 33 | 15 | 14 | 4 | 32 | 15 | 59 |
| 2 | Club Atletico Temperley | 33 | 16 | 11 | 6 | 40 | 27 | 59 |
| 3 | CA Atlanta | 33 | 18 | 4 | 11 | 39 | 30 | 58 |
| 4 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 33 | 15 | 10 | 8 | 50 | 42 | 55 |
| 5 | Ferrocarril Midland | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 38 | 26 | 51 |
| 6 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 34 | 30 | 49 |
| 7 | Deportivo Maipu | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 40 | 32 | 48 |
| 8 | CA Colegiales | 33 | 13 | 8 | 12 | 32 | 31 | 47 |
| 9 | San Martin SJ | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 35 | 33 | 46 |
| 10 | San Martin de Tucuman | 33 | 10 | 13 | 10 | 35 | 33 | 43 |
| 11 | Atletico Rafaela | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 27 | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Almagro | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 30 | 39 | 41 |
| 13 | Agropecuario | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 27 | 35 | 40 |
| 14 | Quilmes | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 30 | 28 | 39 |
| 15 | Patronato Parana | 33 | 7 | 16 | 10 | 29 | 32 | 37 |
| 16 | Nueva Chicago | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 24 | 32 | 36 |
| 17 | Chacarita Juniors | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 25 | 35 | 33 |
| 18 | CA Guemes | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 23 | 56 | 23 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | CA Guemes | Almagro |
|---|---|---|
| Patronato Parana | 0-2 L | 1-0 W |
| CA Colegiales | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Quilmes | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Chacarita Juniors | 0-0 D | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 3 L | 2 W 2 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Almagro (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CA Guemes
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Patronato Parana Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 04/10 | CA Colegiales Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 26/09 | Quilmes Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 20/09 | Ferrocarril Midland Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 12/09 | CA Atlanta Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 06/09 | Gimnasia y Tiro Argentina Nacional B |
0-2 | 1-3 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 30/08 | San Martin de Tucuman Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 24/08 | Atletico Rafaela Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 19/08 | Chacarita Juniors Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 15/08 | Club Atletico Mitre Argentina Nacional B |
1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 5 | D |
Almagro
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Chacarita Juniors Argentina Nacional B |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 04/10 | San Martin SJ Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 2-1 | 0 | 3 | W |
| 27/09 | Nueva Chicago Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 19/09 | Club Atletico Temperley Argentina Nacional B |
1-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 12/09 | Deportivo Maipu Argentina Nacional B |
2-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 06/09 | Gimnasia Jujuy Argentina Nacional B |
1-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 30/08 | Patronato Parana Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 22/08 | CA Colegiales Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 15/08 | Deportivo Moron Argentina Nacional B |
0-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 09/08 | Quilmes Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CA Guemes vs Almagro?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Almagro win (39%). Probabilities: CA Guemes 28%, draw 33%, Almagro 39%.
How many goals are expected in CA Guemes vs Almagro?
The model expects 1.88 goals (CA Guemes 0.83 · Almagro 1.04), with a 54% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in CA Guemes vs Almagro?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.