Football · Argentina Nacional B · 10/10, 22:00
Prediction: CA Estudiantes Caseros vs Deportivo Moron
Team pages: CA Estudiantes Caseros · Deportivo Moron
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.2Total
CA Estudiantes Caseros1.19
Deportivo Moron1.01
1X2
CA Estudiantes Caseros
Draw
Deportivo Moron
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 62%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
CA Estudiantes Caseros
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Deportivo Moron
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
CA Estudiantes Caseros
1–1–4
Deportivo Moron
(6 last)
- Deportivo Moron2-0CA Estudiantes Caseros
- Deportivo Moron1-1CA Estudiantes Caseros
- CA Estudiantes Caseros0-1Deportivo Moron
- Deportivo Moron0-1CA Estudiantes Caseros
- Deportivo Moron2-1CA Estudiantes Caseros
- Deportivo Moron1-0CA Estudiantes Caseros
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · CA Estudiantes Caseros 1493 · Deportivo Moron 1550
| CA Estudiantes Caseros | Draw | Deportivo Moron | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 32% | 30% |
| Market | 38% | 34% | 29% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.2 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 66%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Deportivo Moron (rating 1493 vs 1550).
- H2H favours Deportivo Moron: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CA Estudiantes Caseros | Deportivo Moron | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 0.9 | 1.8 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.1 / 0.1 | 1.3 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/80/10% | 70/30/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 5 | 1.9 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.4 / 0.3 | 4.9 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · CA Estudiantes Caseros 1–1–4 Deportivo Moron
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/05/26 Argentina Nacional B | Deportivo Moron | 2-0 HT 1-0 | CA Estudiantes Caseros |
| 01/09/25 Argentina Nacional B | Deportivo Moron | 1-1 HT 1-0 | CA Estudiantes Caseros |
| 26/04/25 Argentina Nacional B | CA Estudiantes Caseros | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Deportivo Moron |
| 03/04/22 Argentina Nacional B | Deportivo Moron | 0-1 HT 0-0 | CA Estudiantes Caseros |
| 29/12/20 Argentina Nacional B | Deportivo Moron | 2-1 HT 1-1 | CA Estudiantes Caseros |
| 07/03/20 Argentina Nacional B | Deportivo Moron | 1-0 HT 1-0 | CA Estudiantes Caseros |
Standings · Argentina Nacional B · Primera Nacional 2026, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ferro Carril Oeste | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 36 | 27 | 61 |
| 2 | Deportivo Moron | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 51 | 32 | 58 |
| 3 | Deportivo Madryn | 32 | 14 | 11 | 7 | 46 | 28 | 53 |
| 4 | Godoy Cruz | 31 | 15 | 8 | 8 | 40 | 28 | 53 |
| 5 | Colon | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 39 | 25 | 52 |
| 6 | Almirante Brown | 31 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 23 | 18 | 46 |
| 7 | CA Estudiantes Caseros | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 29 | 27 | 45 |
| 8 | Club Ciudad de Bolivar | 32 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 27 | 28 | 45 |
| 9 | Los Andes | 31 | 9 | 13 | 9 | 24 | 21 | 40 |
| 10 | CA Chaco For Ever | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 28 | 31 | 36 |
| 11 | Defensores de Belgrano | 31 | 8 | 12 | 11 | 23 | 27 | 36 |
| 12 | Racing de Cordoba | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 28 | 38 | 36 |
| 13 | Club Atletico Mitre | 32 | 7 | 14 | 11 | 29 | 39 | 35 |
| 14 | CA San Telmo | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 25 | 34 | 34 |
| 15 | All Boys | 32 | 6 | 15 | 11 | 18 | 28 | 33 |
| 16 | Central Norte | 31 | 6 | 14 | 11 | 19 | 28 | 32 |
| 17 | CA San Miguel | 32 | 6 | 13 | 13 | 25 | 38 | 31 |
| 18 | Acassuso | 32 | 7 | 8 | 17 | 22 | 35 | 29 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | CA Estudiantes Caseros | Deportivo Moron |
|---|---|---|
| Colon | 0-1 L | 2-1 W |
| CA San Miguel | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| CA San Telmo | 1-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Acassuso | 1-0 W | 4-1 W |
| Central Norte | 1-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 2 L | 3 W 2 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Deportivo Moron (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CA Estudiantes Caseros
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | Colon Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 26/09 | CA San Miguel Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 19/09 | CA San Telmo Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 13/09 | Acassuso Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 06/09 | CA Chaco For Ever Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 30/08 | Ferro Carril Oeste Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 23/08 | Central Norte Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 16/08 | Chacarita Juniors Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 08/08 | Deportivo Madryn Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 01/08 | Defensores de Belgrano Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
Deportivo Moron
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | All Boys Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 2-1 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 27/09 | Los Andes Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 20/09 | Godoy Cruz Argentina Nacional B |
1-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 13/09 | Racing de Cordoba Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 05/09 | Colon Argentina Nacional B |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 30/08 | CA San Miguel Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 27/08 | Central Norte Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 21/08 | CA San Telmo Argentina Nacional B |
2-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 7 | D |
| 15/08 | Almagro Argentina Nacional B |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 09/08 | Acassuso Argentina Nacional B |
3-1 | 4-1 | 2 | 9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CA Estudiantes Caseros vs Deportivo Moron?
According to our model, the most likely result is a CA Estudiantes Caseros win (38%). Probabilities: CA Estudiantes Caseros 38%, draw 33%, Deportivo Moron 29%.
How many goals are expected in CA Estudiantes Caseros vs Deportivo Moron?
The model expects 2.2 goals (CA Estudiantes Caseros 1.19 · Deportivo Moron 1.01), with a 55% chance of over 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in CA Estudiantes Caseros vs Deportivo Moron?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.