Football · Kuwait League · 08/11, 15:25

Prediction: Al Salmiyah SC vs Kazma SC

Team pages: Al Salmiyah SC · Kazma SC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.39Total

Al Salmiyah SC1.13

Kazma SC1.26

1X2

32% 29% 39%

Al Salmiyah SC Draw Kazma SC

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Al Salmiyah SC 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

DWWLLWWLWD

Kazma SC 6-4-0 (W-D-L)

DWDWWDWDWW

Head-to-head

Al Salmiyah SC 1–2–3 Kazma SC (6 last)

Kazma SC3-0Al Salmiyah SC
Kazma SC1-1Al Salmiyah SC
Al Salmiyah SC0-1Kazma SC
Al Salmiyah SC3-1Kazma SC
Kazma SC4-3Al Salmiyah SC
Kazma SC3-3Al Salmiyah SC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Al Salmiyah SC 1510 · Kazma SC 1521

	Al Salmiyah SC	Draw	Kazma SC
Our model	32%	30%	38%
Market	33%	28%	39%

Estimated total (ours) 2.39 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Kazma SC: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Al Salmiyah SC	Kazma SC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.3	1.6 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.4	0.7 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 5.6	2 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5 / 0.1	3.9 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.75

X3.20

22.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.75

2 (-0.25)2.05

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.82

Under 2.251.98

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.75 → 2.75	Pinn 3.28 ★
X	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
2	2.30 → 2.30	Bet365 2.30

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1% Pinnacle margin 9.8%

Time*	1	X	2
17:09 +7’	2.75	3.20	2.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
16:50 +26’	3.28	3.03	2.16

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Al Salmiyah SC 1–2–3 Kazma SC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
29/06/26 Kuwait League	Kazma SC	3-0 HT 1-0	Al Salmiyah SC
31/12/25 Kuwait League	Kazma SC	1-1 HT 1-0	Al Salmiyah SC
14/09/25 Kuwait League	Al Salmiyah SC	0-1 HT 0-1	Kazma SC
15/01/25 Kuwait League	Al Salmiyah SC	3-1 HT 1-1	Kazma SC
17/08/24 Kuwait League	Kazma SC	4-3 HT 2-1	Al Salmiyah SC
02/02/24 Kuwait Cup	Kazma SC	3-3 HT 1-3	Al Salmiyah SC

Standings · Kuwait League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Al Kuwait SC	6	5	1	0	25	6	16
2	Kazma SC	6	4	2	0	10	5	14
3	Al Naser SC	7	4	1	2	12	15	13
4	Al Qadsia SC	6	4	0	2	11	5	12
5	Al Fahaheel SC	8	3	1	4	14	12	10
6	Al Salmiyah SC	6	3	1	2	7	6	10
7	Al Arabi SC	6	2	3	1	13	9	9
8	Al Shabab Club	8	2	2	4	11	17	8
9	Al Jahra	7	2	1	4	8	8	7
10	Al Tadamon SC	8	2	0	6	11	22	6
11	Al Salibikhaet SC	8	0	5	3	10	19	5
12	Al Sahel SC	6	1	1	4	3	11	4

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Al Salmiyah SC	Kazma SC
Al Salibikhaet SC	2-2 D	2-1 W
Al Jahra	1-0 W	1-0 W
Al Shabab Club	0-2 L	3-2 W
Al Sahel SC	1-0 W	0-0 D
Al Tadamon SC	2-0 W	3-1 W
Al Arabi SC	1-0 W	1-1 D
Al Fahaheel SC	2-1 W	1-1 D
Al Kuwait SC	3-3 D	0-0 D
Record vs common	5 W 2 D 1 L	4 W 4 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Al Salmiyah SC (3 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Al Salmiyah SC

DWWLLWWLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Al Salibikhaet SC Kuwait League	1-1	2-2	7	7	D
24/10	Al Jahra Kuwait League	1-0	1-0	8	4	W
10/10	Al Shabab Club Kuwait League	0-1	0-2	11	3	L
06/09	Al Sahel SC Kuwait League	0-0	1-0	8	10	W
01/09	Al Tadamon SC Kuwait League	2-0	2-0	5	5	W
26/08	Al Naser SC Kuwait League	0-0	1-2	3	4	L
29/06	Kazma SC Kuwait League	0-1	0-3	4	9	L
25/06	Al Arabi SC Kuwait League	0-0	1-0	5	2	W
22/06	Al Fahaheel SC Kuwait League	0-0	2-1	3	1	W
19/06	Al Kuwait SC Kuwait League	1-1	3-3	2	6	D

Kazma SC

DWDWWDWDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/10	Al Salibikhaet SC Kuwait League	1-1	2-1	5	3	W
19/10	Al Jahra Kuwait League	1-0	1-0	3	3	W
09/10	Al Arabi SC Kuwait League	1-0	1-1	3	3	D
06/09	Al Shabab Club Kuwait League	1-1	3-2	2	4	W
01/09	Al Sahel SC Kuwait League	0-0	0-0	7	8	D
27/08	Al Tadamon SC Kuwait League	1-1	3-1	7	2	W
29/06	Al Salmiyah SC Kuwait League	1-0	3-0	1	9	W
25/06	Al Kuwait SC Kuwait League	0-0	0-0	0	0	D
22/06	Al Qadsia SC Kuwait League	1-0	2-1	5	3	W
19/06	Al Fahaheel SC Kuwait League	0-1	1-1	4	6	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Al Salmiyah SC vs Kazma SC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Kazma SC win (39%). Probabilities: Al Salmiyah SC 32%, draw 29%, Kazma SC 39%.

How many goals are expected in Al Salmiyah SC vs Kazma SC?

The model expects 2.39 goals (Al Salmiyah SC 1.13 · Kazma SC 1.26), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Al Salmiyah SC vs Kazma SC?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.