Football · Kuwait League · 07/11, 15:25

Prediction: Al Arabi SC vs Al Naser SC

Team pages: Al Arabi SC · Al Naser SC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.08Total

Al Arabi SC2.04

Al Naser SC1.04

1X2

59% 23% 17%

Al Arabi SC Draw Al Naser SC

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Al Arabi SC 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WLLWDLDDWW

Al Naser SC 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WDDWWLLWWD

Head-to-head

Al Arabi SC 5–1 Al Naser SC (6 last)

Al Arabi SC2-1Al Naser SC
Al Naser SC2-1Al Arabi SC
Al Arabi SC2-1Al Naser SC
Al Naser SC0-3Al Arabi SC
Al Naser SC0-4Al Arabi SC
Al Arabi SC3-1Al Naser SC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Al Arabi SC 1496 · Al Naser SC 1520

	Al Arabi SC	Draw	Al Naser SC
Our model	60%	23%	18%
Market	59%	23%	17%

Estimated total (ours) 3.08 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Al Arabi SC: 5-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Al Arabi SC	Al Naser SC
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 1.3	1.7 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.5	0.6 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 5.2	2.6 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0.1	3.7 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.53

X3.90

25.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.90

2 (+1)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.80

Under 2.752.00

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 3.35

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 11:34

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.53 → 1.53	Bet365 1.53
X	3.90 → 3.90	Pinn 4.16 ★
2	5.00 → 5.25▲	Pinn 5.39

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 9.9% Pinnacle margin 8.6%

Time*	1	X	2
11:05 +9’	1.53	3.90	5.00
11:16 +4’	1.50▼	3.90	5.25▲
11:33 +2’	1.53▲	3.90	5.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
15:28 +34’	1.50	4.08	5.26
13:37 +58’	1.51▲	4.16▲	5.39▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Al Arabi SC 5–0–1 Al Naser SC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
30/05/26 Kuwait League	Al Arabi SC	2-1 HT 2-1	Al Naser SC
09/11/25 Kuwait League	Al Naser SC	2-1 HT 1-1	Al Arabi SC
27/02/25 Kuwait League	Al Arabi SC	2-1 HT 1-1	Al Naser SC
06/01/25 Kuwait League	Al Naser SC	0-3 HT 0-1	Al Arabi SC
07/05/24 Kuwait League	Al Naser SC	0-4 HT 0-1	Al Arabi SC
13/03/24 Kuwait League	Al Arabi SC	3-1 HT 2-0	Al Naser SC

Standings · Kuwait League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Al Kuwait SC	6	5	1	0	25	6	16
2	Kazma SC	6	4	2	0	10	5	14
3	Al Naser SC	7	4	1	2	12	15	13
4	Al Qadsia SC	6	4	0	2	11	5	12
5	Al Fahaheel SC	8	3	1	4	14	12	10
6	Al Salmiyah SC	6	3	1	2	7	6	10
7	Al Arabi SC	6	2	3	1	13	9	9
8	Al Shabab Club	8	2	2	4	11	17	8
9	Al Jahra	7	2	1	4	8	8	7
10	Al Tadamon SC	8	2	0	6	11	22	6
11	Al Salibikhaet SC	8	0	5	3	10	19	5
12	Al Sahel SC	6	1	1	4	3	11	4

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Al Arabi SC	Al Naser SC
Al Qadsia SC	3-0 W	0-3 L
Al Fahaheel SC	2-0 W	2-1 W
Al Jahra	1-2 L	1-1 D
Al Kuwait SC	3-3 D	1-7 L
Al Salmiyah SC	0-1 L	2-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 2 L	2 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Al Arabi SC (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Al Arabi SC

WLLWDLDDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	Al Qadsia SC Kuwait League	0-0	3-0	3	5	W
28/10	Al Fahaheel SC Kuwait League	2-0	2-0	3	5	W
09/10	Kazma SC Kuwait League	0-1	1-1	5	3	D
04/09	Al Salibikhaet SC Kuwait League	2-1	3-3	11	4	D
30/08	Al Jahra Kuwait League	1-0	1-2	8	2	L
25/08	Al Kuwait SC Kuwait League	1-2	3-3	4	4	D
29/06	Al Fahaheel SC Kuwait League	2-0	3-0	3	3	W
25/06	Al Salmiyah SC Kuwait League	0-0	0-1	6	2	L
22/06	Al Kuwait SC Kuwait League	1-1	2-3	3	3	L
19/06	Al Qadsia SC Kuwait League	0-0	2-0	6	5	W

Al Naser SC

WDDWWLLWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/11	Al Shabab Club Kuwait League	1-0	2-2	3	3	D
24/10	Al Sahel SC Kuwait League	2-0	3-0	4	6	W
18/10	Al Tadamon SC Kuwait League	1-1	2-1	2	4	W
09/10	Al Kuwait SC Kuwait League	0-1	1-7	1	2	L
04/09	Al Qadsia SC Kuwait League	0-2	0-3	3	1	L
30/08	Al Fahaheel SC Kuwait League	1-0	2-1	4	4	W
26/08	Al Salmiyah SC Kuwait League	0-0	2-1	1	4	W
26/06	Al Jahra Kuwait League	0-1	1-1	8	5	D
21/06	Al Tadamon SC Kuwait League	0-1	1-1	12	5	D
17/06	Al Shabab Club Kuwait League	1-0	3-0	12	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Al Arabi SC vs Al Naser SC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Al Arabi SC win (59%). Probabilities: Al Arabi SC 59%, draw 23%, Al Naser SC 17%.

How many goals are expected in Al Arabi SC vs Al Naser SC?

The model expects 3.08 goals (Al Arabi SC 2.04 · Al Naser SC 1.04), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Al Arabi SC vs Al Naser SC?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.