Football · Kuwait League · 07/11, 17:40

Prediction: Al Jahra vs Al Qadsia SC

Team pages: Al Jahra · Al Qadsia SC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.55Total

Al Jahra0.54

Al Qadsia SC2.01

1X2

9% 19% 72%

Al Jahra Draw Al Qadsia SC

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 53% Not both to score 53%

Most likely score

0-2 16%

Recent form · 10 last

Al Jahra 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LWDLWLDLLW

Al Qadsia SC 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

LLWDWLWWWL

Head-to-head

Al Jahra 1–1–4 Al Qadsia SC (6 last)

Al Qadsia SC3-0Al Jahra
Al Jahra0-2Al Qadsia SC
Al Qadsia SC2-1Al Jahra
Al Jahra1-2Al Qadsia SC
Al Qadsia SC1-1Al Jahra
Al Jahra3-1Al Qadsia SC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Al Jahra 1464 · Al Qadsia SC 1565

	Al Jahra	Draw	Al Qadsia SC
Our model	8%	21%	71%
Market	9%	18%	73%

Estimated total (ours) 2.55 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Al Qadsia SC (rating 1464 vs 1565).
H2H favours Al Qadsia SC: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Al Jahra	Al Qadsia SC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.1	1.4 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.7	0.7 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/10/70%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.1 / 2.8	2.4 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0	3.1 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

19.50

X5.00

21.22

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.75)1.88

2 (-1.75)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 31.90

Under 31.90

Diff.: 0.75 · xG: 2.25

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 01:28

	Bet365	Best now
1	9.50 → 9.00▼	Bet365 9.00
X	5.00 → 5.00	Pinn 5.14 ★
2	1.22 → 1.28▲	Bet365 1.28

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 8.9% Pinnacle margin 9.7%

Time*	1	X	2
11:12 +5’	9.50	5.00	1.22
01:26 +2’	9.00▼	5.00	1.28▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
20:07 +77’	8.44	5.14	1.27

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 3

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Al Jahra 1–1–4 Al Qadsia SC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
29/05/26 Kuwait League	Al Qadsia SC	3-0 HT 1-0	Al Jahra
08/11/25 Kuwait League	Al Jahra	0-2 HT 0-1	Al Qadsia SC
23/12/23 Kuwait League	Al Qadsia SC	2-1 HT 1-0	Al Jahra
30/08/23 Kuwait League	Al Jahra	1-2 HT 1-0	Al Qadsia SC
09/02/23 Kuwait League	Al Qadsia SC	1-1 HT 0-0	Al Jahra
15/09/22 Kuwait League	Al Jahra	3-1 HT 1-0	Al Qadsia SC

Standings · Kuwait League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Al Kuwait SC	6	5	1	0	25	6	16
2	Kazma SC	6	4	2	0	10	5	14
3	Al Naser SC	7	4	1	2	12	15	13
4	Al Qadsia SC	6	4	0	2	11	5	12
5	Al Fahaheel SC	8	3	1	4	14	12	10
6	Al Salmiyah SC	6	3	1	2	7	6	10
7	Al Arabi SC	6	2	3	1	13	9	9
8	Al Shabab Club	8	2	2	4	11	17	8
9	Al Jahra	7	2	1	4	8	8	7
10	Al Tadamon SC	8	2	0	6	11	22	6
11	Al Salibikhaet SC	8	0	5	3	10	19	5
12	Al Sahel SC	6	1	1	4	3	11	4

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Al Jahra	Al Qadsia SC
Al Fahaheel SC	3-0 W	2-1 W
Kazma SC	0-1 L	1-2 L
Al Kuwait SC	0-1 L	0-1 L
Al Arabi SC	2-1 W	0-3 L
Al Shabab Club	2-3 L	4-0 W
Al Naser SC	1-1 D	3-0 W
Al Tadamon SC	0-1 L	2-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 4 L	4 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Al Qadsia SC (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Al Jahra

LWDLWLDLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	Al Fahaheel SC Kuwait League	1-0	3-0	3	2	W
24/10	Al Salmiyah SC Kuwait League	0-1	0-1	9	4	L
19/10	Kazma SC Kuwait League	0-1	0-1	2	3	L
11/10	Al Salibikhaet SC Kuwait League	0-1	1-1	2	12	D
05/09	Al Kuwait SC Kuwait League	0-1	0-1	2	3	L
30/08	Al Arabi SC Kuwait League	0-1	2-1	3	2	W
26/08	Al Shabab Club Kuwait League	0-1	2-3	1	5	L
26/06	Al Naser SC Kuwait League	1-0	1-1	2	5	D
21/06	Al Shabab Club Kuwait League	0-0	2-1	3	1	W
17/06	Al Tadamon SC Kuwait League	0-1	0-1	1	2	L

Al Qadsia SC

LLWDWLWWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	Al Arabi SC Kuwait League	0-0	0-3	10	5	L
28/10	Al Shabab Club Kuwait League	2-0	4-0	9	3	W
10/10	Al Tadamon SC Kuwait League	1-0	2-0	3	4	W
04/09	Al Naser SC Kuwait League	2-0	3-0	1	1	W
31/08	Al Kuwait SC Kuwait League	0-0	0-1	2	1	L
25/08	Al Fahaheel SC Kuwait League	2-1	2-1	6	5	W
29/06	Al Kuwait SC Kuwait League	0-0	0-0	5	5	D
25/06	Al Fahaheel SC Kuwait League	0-0	2-0	9	1	W
22/06	Kazma SC Kuwait League	0-1	1-2	3	3	L
19/06	Al Arabi SC Kuwait League	0-0	0-2	6	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Al Jahra vs Al Qadsia SC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Al Qadsia SC win (72%). Probabilities: Al Jahra 9%, draw 19%, Al Qadsia SC 72%.

How many goals are expected in Al Jahra vs Al Qadsia SC?

The model expects 2.55 goals (Al Jahra 0.54 · Al Qadsia SC 2.01), with a 58% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Al Jahra vs Al Qadsia SC?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.