Football · Kuwait League · 01/11, 18:00

Prediction: Al Qadsia SC vs Al Arabi SC

Team pages: Al Qadsia SC · Al Arabi SC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.66Total

Al Qadsia SC1.56

Al Arabi SC1.1

1X2

47% 28% 25%

Al Qadsia SC Draw Al Arabi SC

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Al Qadsia SC 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WLLWDWLWWW

Al Arabi SC 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WWLLWDLDDW

Head-to-head

Al Qadsia SC 1–1–4 Al Arabi SC (6 last)

Al Arabi SC2-0Al Qadsia SC
Al Arabi SC0-0Al Qadsia SC
Al Arabi SC3-4Al Qadsia SC
Al Arabi SC2-0Al Qadsia SC
Al Qadsia SC1-2Al Arabi SC
Al Arabi SC1-0Al Qadsia SC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Al Qadsia SC 1579 · Al Arabi SC 1485

	Al Qadsia SC	Draw	Al Arabi SC
Our model	47%	28%	25%
Market	47%	27%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 2.66 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Al Qadsia SC (rating 1579 vs 1485).
H2H favours Al Arabi SC: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Al Qadsia SC	Al Arabi SC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 0.8	1.9 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.3	0.9 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/40/10%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 4.4	2.8 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0.2	3.2 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.90

X3.25

23.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.98

2 (+0.5)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.90

Under 2.51.90

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 2.85

Market movement

Match winner · 4 moves · last 06:13

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.95 → 1.90▼	Bet365 1.90
X	3.30 → 3.25▼	Pinn 3.29
2	3.30 → 3.50▲	Pinn 3.98 ★

See the full journey (4)

Bet365 margin 12% Pinnacle margin 9.9%

Time*	1	X	2
12:28 +19’	1.95	3.30	3.30
08:50 +14’	2.10▲	3.25▼	3.00▼
19:44 +5’	1.90▼	3.30▲	3.50▲
06:11 +2’	1.90	3.25▼	3.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
19:41 +8’	1.84	3.29	3.98

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Al Qadsia SC 1–1–4 Al Arabi SC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
19/06/26 Kuwait League	Al Arabi SC	2-0 HT 0-0	Al Qadsia SC
13/06/26 Kuwait League	Al Arabi SC	0-0 HT 0-0	Al Qadsia SC
28/01/26 Kuwait Super Cup	Al Arabi SC	3-4 HT 3-1	Al Qadsia SC
11/01/26 Kuwait Crown Prince Cup	Al Arabi SC	2-0 HT 0-0	Al Qadsia SC
17/12/25 Kuwait League	Al Qadsia SC	1-2 HT 0-1	Al Arabi SC
02/05/25 Kuwait League	Al Arabi SC	1-0 HT 1-0	Al Qadsia SC

Standings · Kuwait League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Al Kuwait SC	6	5	1	0	25	6	16
2	Kazma SC	6	4	2	0	10	5	14
3	Al Qadsia SC	5	4	0	1	11	2	12
4	Al Naser SC	6	4	0	2	10	13	12
5	Al Salmiyah SC	6	3	1	2	7	6	10
6	Al Fahaheel SC	6	3	0	3	12	7	9
7	Al Shabab Club	6	2	1	3	8	12	7
8	Al Arabi SC	5	1	3	1	10	9	6
9	Al Sahel SC	6	1	1	4	3	11	4
10	Al Jahra	6	1	1	4	5	8	4
11	Al Salibikhaet SC	7	0	4	3	8	17	4
12	Al Tadamon SC	7	1	0	6	8	21	3

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Al Qadsia SC	Al Arabi SC
Al Kuwait SC	0-1 L	3-3 D
Al Fahaheel SC	2-1 W	2-0 W
Kazma SC	1-2 L	1-1 D
Al Salmiyah SC	3-2 W	0-1 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 2 L	1 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Al Arabi SC (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Al Qadsia SC

WLLWDWLWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/10	Al Shabab Club Kuwait League	2-0	4-0	9	3	W
10/10	Al Tadamon SC Kuwait League	1-0	2-0	3	4	W
04/09	Al Naser SC Kuwait League	2-0	3-0	1	1	W
31/08	Al Kuwait SC Kuwait League	0-0	0-1	2	1	L
25/08	Al Fahaheel SC Kuwait League	2-1	2-1	6	5	W
29/06	Al Kuwait SC Kuwait League	0-0	0-0	5	5	D
25/06	Al Fahaheel SC Kuwait League	0-0	2-0	9	1	W
22/06	Kazma SC Kuwait League	0-1	1-2	3	3	L
19/06	Al Arabi SC Kuwait League	0-0	0-2	6	5	L
16/06	Al Salmiyah SC Kuwait League	3-1	3-2	0	9	W

Al Arabi SC

WWLLWDLDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/10	Al Fahaheel SC Kuwait League	2-0	2-0	3	5	W
09/10	Kazma SC Kuwait League	0-1	1-1	5	3	D
04/09	Al Salibikhaet SC Kuwait League	2-1	3-3	11	4	D
30/08	Al Jahra Kuwait League	1-0	1-2	8	2	L
25/08	Al Kuwait SC Kuwait League	1-2	3-3	4	4	D
29/06	Al Fahaheel SC Kuwait League	2-0	3-0	3	3	W
25/06	Al Salmiyah SC Kuwait League	0-0	0-1	6	2	L
22/06	Al Kuwait SC Kuwait League	1-1	2-3	3	3	L
19/06	Al Qadsia SC Kuwait League	0-0	2-0	6	5	W
16/06	Kazma SC Kuwait League	0-0	2-0	4	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Al Qadsia SC vs Al Arabi SC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Al Qadsia SC win (47%). Probabilities: Al Qadsia SC 47%, draw 28%, Al Arabi SC 25%.

How many goals are expected in Al Qadsia SC vs Al Arabi SC?

The model expects 2.66 goals (Al Qadsia SC 1.56 · Al Arabi SC 1.1), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Al Qadsia SC vs Al Arabi SC?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.