Football · Argentina Torneo A · 04/10, 22:00
Prediction: CA Alvarado vs Defensores de Belgrano VR
Team pages: CA Alvarado · Defensores de Belgrano VR
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.1Total
CA Alvarado1.78
Defensores de Belgrano VR0.32
1X2
CA Alvarado
Draw
Defensores de Belgrano VR
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 65%
Not both to score 59%
Most likely score
1-0 21%
Recent form · 10 last
CA Alvarado
4-5-1 (W-D-L)
Defensores de Belgrano VR
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
CA Alvarado
0–5–1
Defensores de Belgrano VR
(6 last)
- Defensores de Belgrano VR2-2CA Alvarado
- CA Alvarado0-0Defensores de Belgrano VR
- Defensores de Belgrano VR0-0CA Alvarado
- CA Alvarado0-0Defensores de Belgrano VR
- Defensores de Belgrano VR1-0CA Alvarado
- CA Alvarado1-1Defensores de Belgrano VR
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · CA Alvarado 1540 · Defensores de Belgrano VR 1517
| CA Alvarado | Draw | Defensores de Belgrano VR | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 73% | 22% | 5% |
| Market | 74% | 20% | 6% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.1 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 65%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CA Alvarado | Defensores de Belgrano VR | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 0.7 | 1 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.1 | 0.5 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/90/0% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 5.2 | 1.8 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0.3 | 4 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · CA Alvarado 0–5–1 Defensores de Belgrano VR
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09/26 Argentina Torneo A | Defensores de Belgrano VR | 2-2 HT 1-2 | CA Alvarado |
| 18/02/19 Argentina Torneo A | CA Alvarado | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Defensores de Belgrano VR |
| 05/05/18 Argentina Torneo A | Defensores de Belgrano VR | 0-0 HT 0-0 | CA Alvarado |
| 29/04/18 Argentina Torneo A | CA Alvarado | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Defensores de Belgrano VR |
| 23/04/17 Argentina Torneo A | Defensores de Belgrano VR | 1-0 HT 1-0 | CA Alvarado |
| 23/03/17 Argentina Cup | CA Alvarado | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Defensores de Belgrano VR |
Standings · Argentina Torneo A · Torneo Federal A 2026, Main round, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CA Alvarado | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 15 |
| 2 | Cipolletti | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 15 |
| 3 | Olimpo B Blanca | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 13 |
| 4 | Sportivo y Biblioteca Atenas | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 13 |
| 5 | Kimberley Mar del Plata | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 11 |
| 6 | CDA Monte Maiz | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 11 |
| 7 | Club Villa Mitre | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 10 |
| 8 | Huracan Las Heras | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 7 |
| 9 | Juventud Antoniana | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 2 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CA Alvarado
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Defensores de Belgrano VR Argentina Torneo A |
2-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 20/09 | Olimpo B Blanca Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | D |
| 13/09 | Cipolletti Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 06/09 | Sportivo y Biblioteca Atenas Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 3-2 | 9 | 6 | W |
| 30/08 | Kimberley Mar del Plata Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 23/08 | CDA Monte Maiz Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 11 | 2 | D |
| 16/08 | Club Villa Mitre Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 12/08 | Huracan Las Heras Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 08/08 | Juventud Antoniana Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 11/07 | Santamarina Tandil Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
Defensores de Belgrano VR
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | CA Alvarado Argentina Torneo A |
1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 20/09 | CA Sarmiento de la Banda Argentina Torneo A |
2-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 06/09 | San Martin Formosa Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 30/08 | CA 9 de Julio Rafaela Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 23/08 | Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 17/08 | Sportivo Belgrano Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 12/08 | CA Douglas Haig Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 09/08 | Sol de America de Formosa Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 02/08 | CA Bartolome Mitre Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 25/07 | Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CA Alvarado vs Defensores de Belgrano VR?
According to our model, the most likely result is a CA Alvarado win (74%). Probabilities: CA Alvarado 74%, draw 21%, Defensores de Belgrano VR 6%.
How many goals are expected in CA Alvarado vs Defensores de Belgrano VR?
The model expects 2.1 goals (CA Alvarado 1.78 · Defensores de Belgrano VR 0.32), with a 54% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in CA Alvarado vs Defensores de Belgrano VR?
The model gives a 59% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.