Football · Argentina Torneo A · 11/10, 22:30

Prediction: Sportivo Belgrano vs CA Sarmiento de la Banda

Team pages: Sportivo Belgrano · CA Sarmiento de la Banda

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.1Total
Sportivo Belgrano1.35
CA Sarmiento de la Banda0.75
1X2
50% 30% 20%
Sportivo Belgrano Draw CA Sarmiento de la Banda
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 65% Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
1-0 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Sportivo Belgrano 1-4-5 (W-D-L)
DDDDLLLWLL
CA Sarmiento de la Banda 2-3-5 (W-D-L)
WDDDLWLLLL
Head-to-head
Sportivo Belgrano 1–1–1 CA Sarmiento de la Banda (3 last)
  • CA Sarmiento de la Banda3-0Sportivo Belgrano
  • Sportivo Belgrano4-1CA Sarmiento de la Banda
  • CA Sarmiento de la Banda0-0Sportivo Belgrano
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sportivo Belgrano 1443 · CA Sarmiento de la Banda 1454
Sportivo BelgranoDrawCA Sarmiento de la Banda
Our model50%31%20%
Market50%30%20%
Estimated total (ours) 2.1 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Sportivo BelgranoCA Sarmiento de la Banda
Goals for / against (FT)0.5 / 1.60.9 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 0.80.3 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/20/60%20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)1.6 / 42.5 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.4 / 0.24.6 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Sportivo Belgrano 1–1–1 CA Sarmiento de la Banda

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DateHomeScoreAway
23/08/26
Argentina Torneo A
CA Sarmiento de la Banda3-0
HT 1-0
Sportivo Belgrano
07/09/25
Argentina Torneo A
Sportivo Belgrano4-1
HT 0-0
CA Sarmiento de la Banda
31/08/24
Argentina Torneo A
CA Sarmiento de la Banda0-0
HT 0-0
Sportivo Belgrano

Standings · Argentina Torneo A · Torneo Federal A 2026, Main round, Group A

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 San Martin Formosa 8521 14517
2 Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy 8431 6215
3 Sol de America de Formosa 8422 9714
4 Defensores de Belgrano VR 8413 6313
5 CA Douglas Haig 8332 12712
6 CA 9 de Julio Rafaela 8332 9612
7 CA Bartolome Mitre 8125 3105
8 CA Sarmiento de la Banda 8125 6145
9 Sportivo Belgrano 8125 3145

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentSportivo BelgranoCA Sarmiento de la Banda
CA Douglas Haig 0-4 L 1-3 L
Sol de America de Formosa 0-2 L 0-0 D
CA Bartolome Mitre 2-0 W 1-1 D
Defensores de Belgrano VR 0-2 L 0-2 L
San Martin Formosa 0-2 L 0-3 L
CA 9 de Julio Rafaela 1-1 D 1-4 L
Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy 0-0 D 0-1 L
Record vs common 1 W 2 D 4 L 0 W 2 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Sportivo Belgrano (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sportivo Belgrano

DDDDLLLWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
13/09 CA Douglas Haig
Argentina Torneo A
0-2 0-4 43 L
07/09 Sol de America de Formosa
Argentina Torneo A
0-1 0-2 45 L
30/08 CA Bartolome Mitre
Argentina Torneo A
1-0 2-0 44 W
23/08 CA Sarmiento de la Banda
Argentina Torneo A
0-1 0-3 51 L
17/08 Defensores de Belgrano VR
Argentina Torneo A
0-1 0-2 97 L
12/08 San Martin Formosa
Argentina Torneo A
0-1 0-2 00 L
08/08 CA 9 de Julio Rafaela
Argentina Torneo A
0-1 1-1 18 D
01/08 Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy
Argentina Torneo A
0-0 0-0 48 D
25/07 Escobar FC
Argentina Torneo A
2-1 2-2 –– D
12/07 Sportivo Las Parejas
Argentina Torneo A
0-0 0-0 56 D

CA Sarmiento de la Banda

WDDDLWLLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
20/09 Defensores de Belgrano VR
Argentina Torneo A
0-2 0-2 114 L
13/09 San Martin Formosa
Argentina Torneo A
0-3 0-3 610 L
06/09 CA 9 de Julio Rafaela
Argentina Torneo A
0-3 1-4 124 L
30/08 Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy
Argentina Torneo A
0-1 0-1 66 L
23/08 Sportivo Belgrano
Argentina Torneo A
1-0 3-0 21 W
16/08 CA Douglas Haig
Argentina Torneo A
0-0 1-3 16 L
13/08 Sol de America de Formosa
Argentina Torneo A
0-0 0-0 25 D
08/08 CA Bartolome Mitre
Argentina Torneo A
0-0 1-1 63 D
26/07 Tucuman Central
Argentina Torneo A
0-1 1-1 35 D
12/07 San Martin Formosa
Argentina Torneo A
2-0 2-0 24 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sportivo Belgrano vs CA Sarmiento de la Banda?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Sportivo Belgrano win (50%). Probabilities: Sportivo Belgrano 50%, draw 30%, CA Sarmiento de la Banda 20%.

How many goals are expected in Sportivo Belgrano vs CA Sarmiento de la Banda?

The model expects 2.1 goals (Sportivo Belgrano 1.35 · CA Sarmiento de la Banda 0.75), with a 52% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Sportivo Belgrano vs CA Sarmiento de la Banda?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.